Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/19/2021

Game Time: 6:00 pm ET, Sunday, December 19, 2021

Venue:  Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI

Where to Watch:  BSSUN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Heat -5, Pistons +5; Over/Under:  NL points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Heat -6, Pistons +6; Over/Under:  204 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Heat -6.5, Pistons +6.5; Over/Under:  204.5 points

 

Miami Heat:  18-12 (1st place, Southeast Division)

Detroit Pistons:  4-23 (5th place, Central Division)

 

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Miami Heat:  5-5 last 10

Detroit Pistons:  0-10 last 10

 

 

 

The Heat are coming into this game with an 18-12 record overall and they are 10-8 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 4 of their last 5 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game winning streak after another win in their last game. Their last loss was against the Cleveland Cavaliers while their 4 wins in that span came against the Milwaukee Bucks, the Chicago Bulls, the Philadelphia 76ers, and the Orlando Magic in their last game. Max Strus went off in that game as he led the team in points off the bench with 32 while Gabe Vincent was next on the team with 27 points. Kyle Lowry led the team in assists in that game with 15 while Omer Yurtseven led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 50% from the field, 54.3% from 3-point range, and 73.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 107.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 103.8 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 18-12 this season and their O/U record is 17-13.

 

 

The Pistons are coming into this game with a 4-23 record overall and they are 2-11 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 14 of their last 15 games and are coming into this one on a 13 game losing streak after another loss in their last game. Their last win was against the Indiana Pacers while their 14 losses in that span came against the Sacramento Kings, the Golden State Warriors, the Los Angeles Lakers, the Miami Heat, the Milwaukee Bucks, the Los Angeles Clippers, the LA Lakers again, the Portland Trail Blazers, the Phoenix Suns, the Oklahoma City Thunder, the Washington Wizards, the New Orleans Pelicans, the Brooklyn Nets, and the Pacers in their last game. They still have a game against the Houston Rockets on Saturday night that still needs to be played with that result pending so this will be the 2nd leg of a back-to-back for them on Sunday night. In their game against the Pacers, Saddiq Bey led the team in points in that game with 28 while Cade Cunningham was next on the team with 19 points. Bey and Saben Lee off the bench both led the team in assists in that game with 5 each while Bey led the team in rebounds himself with 10. They were 49.4% from the field, 28% from 3-point range, and 86.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 100.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.9 PPG against them. The Pistons have an ATS record of 13-14 this season and their O/U record is 14-13.

 

 

The Heat are coming into this game as a 5 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Heat have been injured in their recent games but they are still finding ways to win with the players they still have playing. The Pistons have been so bad this season, they have just 4 wins and they are on a back-to-back in this game. The Pistons cannot be trusted at all with the way they have been playing this season and the Heat have shown that they can still win games with their starters out. The best bet to place in this game is on the Heat to cover the spread here. 

 

Heat Pistons Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Sunday, December 19, 2021 (6:00 pm ET start time) is Heat 109 Pistons 96.

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Miami Heat: 5-2 O/U as a road favorite of 6 points or less. 17-10 O/U in December games. 30-22 O/U against Central division opponents. 5-1 O/U when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days. 32-14 O/U after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread. 5-1 O/U off a road win against a division rival.  

Detroit Pistons: 16-9 O/U in December games. 21-11 O/U when playing 4 or less games in 10 days. 27-16 O/U when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days. 5-9 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 1-5 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less. 

 

 

Miami Heat:  J. Butler (PF) Out indefinitely - Tailbone injury. T. Herro (SG) Ques Sun - Quadricep injury. C. Martin (SF) Out indefinitely - Illness. V. Oladipo (SG) Late Dec - Quadricep injury. B. Adebayo (C) Mid Jan - Thumb injury. M. Morris (PF) Out indefinitely - Neck injury.

Detroit Pistons:  J. Grant (SF) Late Jan - Thumb injury. K. Olynyk (PF) Late Dec - Knee injury.

 

 

 

"That's what we do; we've got shooters and we've got a lot guys who put in time in the gym and work on it. We're going to keep playing that way if shots are falling. We're making then, so why not keep shooting them?" - Max Strus on their win against the Magic on Friday night.

 

 

"It's a game of runs and they made more of them. We have to play physical without fouling. The effort was there but our communication on the rotation has to be better." - Saddiq Bey on their loss against the Pacers on Thursday night.

 

 

 

PG     Kyle Lowry

SG     Duncan Robinson

SF     Max Strus

PF     P.J. Tucker

C     Dewayne Dedmon

 

PG     Killian Hayes

SG     Cade Cunningham 

SF     Hamidou Diallo

PF     Saddiq Bey

C     Isaiah Stewart

 

 

PPG: J. Butler (22.8)

APG: K. Lowry (8.1)

Reb/G: B. Adebayo (10.2)

 

PPG: J. Grant (20.1)

APG: C. Cunningham (4.5)

Reb/G: I. Stewart (8.1)

 

Coaches:

Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (14th season)

Detroit Pistons: Dwane Casey (4th season)