Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, December 15, 2024
Venue: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Dolphins +3, Texans -3; Over/Under: 47 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Dolphins +3, Texans -3; Over/Under: 47 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Dolphins +3, Texans -3; Over/Under: 47 points
Season Record
Miami Dolphins: 6-7 (2nd place, AFC East)
Houston Texans: 8-5 (1st place, AFC South)
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Miami Dolphins: won their last game at home against the New York Jets 32-26 in overtime.
Houston Texans: won their last game on the road against the Jacksonville Jaguars 23-20.
Miami Dolphins vs Houston Texans Preview and Analysis
The Dolphins are entering this game with a 6-7 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-3 in their home games, 2-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the New York Jets 32-26 in OT. Tua Tagovailoa was the starting QB and he completed 33/47 passes for 331 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. De’Von Achane led the team in rushing yards with 24 and 1 TD. Tyreek Hill led the receivers with 115 receiving yards on 10 receptions and 1 TD. Kendall Fuller led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Zach Sieler led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Texans are entering this game with an 8-5 record overall and they have a 4-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-2 in their home games, 4-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Jacksonville Jaguars 23-20. C. J. Stroud was the starting QB and he completed 22/34 passes for 242 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Joe Mixon led the team in rushing yards with 101 and 1 TD. Nico Collins led the receivers with 119 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Kamari Lassiter led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Derek Stingley Jr. came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Dolphins vs Texans Prediction
The current betting odds have the Texans listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Texans have looked good in their games this season with their 8-5 record overall which has them leading the AFC South. Their division is a bit of a disaster with some bad teams in it, but they haven't clinched anything yet either so they are going to bring their best effort coming out of their bye week here. Meanwhile, the Dolphins haven't looked great in their games this season with their 6-7 record overall, but that record still has them in 2nd place of the AFC East and in playoff contention. The Bills have already clinched the AFC East so they can't win the division, but they have a chance at the Wild Card in the AFC and need to pretty much win out. They are coming off a nice win over the Jets in their last one, but they needed OT to win that game and were trailing for most of the time. That was a game they needed to win and didn't look great in it. They have also looked a lot worse in their road games this year with their 2-4 road record and they looked terrible in Green Bay in their last road game. The Dolphins have been an up and down team for weeks, but the Texans have a chance to really solidify themselves in the division with a win here and they are the rested team coming out of their bye week. The Dolphins escaped the Jets with a win at home in OT in their last one, but they won't get out of Houston with a win. The best way to place a bet here is on the Texans to cover the spread in this game.
Dolphins Texans Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 15, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Texans 27 Dolphins 20.
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NFL Betting Trends
Miami Dolphins: 1-4 ATS against AFC South division opponents. 4-8 ATS in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 4-9 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 12-7 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 12-4 UNDER after playing a division game.
Houston Texans: 9-4 ATS after playing a division game. 34-15 1H ATS in all games. 7-2 1H ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less. 29-18 UNDER in all games. 22-9 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 6-3 UNDER off a win against a division rival.
Key Injuries
Miami Dolphins: K. Kohou (CB) Questionable - Back. K. Lamm (T) Injured - Back. R. Mostert (RB) Questionable - Hip. B. Chubb (LB) Questionable - Knee. B. Ferguson (LS) Questionable - Illness. C. Goode (LB) Questionable - Knee. A. Walker (LB) Questionable - Hamstring. B. Jones (DT) Injured - Shoulder. K. Fuller (CB) Injured - Concussion. I. Wynn (OL) Injured - Quad. T. Hill (WR) Injured - Wrist. J. Poyer (SAF) Injured - Rest. T. Armstead (T) Questionable - Knee. A. Ingold (FB) Injured - Calf. C. Campbell (DT) Injured - Rest.
Houston Texans: None.
Notable Quotes
“Just know we were getting after everyone inside the huddle to make sure you're blocking the way you need to block, you're running the routes the way you need to be — you need to be in the right spots." - Tua Tagovailoa after their win against the Jets in their last game.
“Yeah, it’s a win for us, a big win for us. Now, we need a break. It’s been a long time. ... It's 13 weeks straight now. It’s been a long time and our guys, I think we felt that toward the end of the game. Our guys are gassed. The bye week is coming up at a perfect time for us.” - DeMeco Ryans after his team’s win against the Jags in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Miami Dolphins
WR Waddle, Jaylen
WR Hill, Tyreek
WR Washington, Malik
TE Smith, Jonnu
QB Tagovailoa, Tua
RB Achane, De'Von
FB Ingold, Alec
Houston Texans
WR Collins, Nico
WR Dell, Tank
WR Metchie III, John
TE Schultz, Dalton
QB Stroud, C.J.
RB Mixon, Joe
Statistical Leaders
Miami Dolphins
Passing: T. Tagovailoa (2456)
Rushing: D. Achane (600)
Receiving: T. Hill (769)
Touchdowns: D. Achane (10)
Houston Texans
Passing: C. Stroud (3117)
Rushing: J. Mixon (887)
Receiving: N. Collins (832)
Touchdowns: J. Mixon (12)
Coaches:
Miami Dolphins: Mike McDaniel (3rd season)
Houston Texans: DeMeco Ryans (2nd season)