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Maryland Terrapins vs Penn State Nittany Lions Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/30/2024

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Nov 29, 2024
Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 30, 2024
Venue:  Beaver Stadium, University Park, PA 
Where to Watch:  Big Ten Network


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Maryland +25, Penn State -25; Over/Under:  50.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Maryland +24.5, Penn State -24.5; Over/Under:  50 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Maryland +24.5, Penn State -24.5; Over/Under:  50.5 points

Season Record

Maryland Terrapins:  4-7 (1-7) (17th place, Big Ten)
Penn State Nittany Lions:  10-1 (7-1) (4th place, Big ten)

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Recent Form
Maryland Terrapins:  lost their last game at home against the Iowa Hawkeyes 29-13.
Penn State Nittany Lions:  won their last game on the road against the Minnesota Golden Gophers 26-25.


Maryland Terrapins vs Penn State Nittany Lions Preview and Analysis


Maryland is entering this game with a 4-7 record overall and they have a 1-7 record in their conference games too. They are 3-4 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Iowa 29-13. MJ Morris was the starting QB and he completed 12/23 passes for 103 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Nolan Ray led the team in rushing yards with 48. Tai Felton led the receivers with 57 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 2 TDs. Dante Trader Jr. led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Caleb Wheatland led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
Penn State is entering this game with a 10-1 record overall and they have a 7-1 record in their conference games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 5-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Minnesota 26-25. Drew Allar was the starting QB and he completed 21/28 passes for 244 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Nick Singleton led the team in rushing yards with 63 and 1 TD. Tyler Warren led the receivers with 102 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Kobe King led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Tony Rojas led the defense in sacks with 1. Dominic DeLuca came away with the only interception for them in that one.


Maryland vs Penn State Prediction

The current betting odds have Penn State listed as a 25 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Penn State has looked great in their games this season with their 10-1 record overall and their 7-1 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big Ten. Their 1 loss to Ohio State has them out of the Big Ten Championship, but they are still a playoff team and will be looking to finish the regular season strong after a close call last week, beating Minnesota by 1 point. Meanwhile, Maryland hasn't looked good in their games this season with their 4-7 record overall and their 1-7 conference record which has them right near the bottom of the Big Ten. They are coming off another bad loss in their last one, losing at home to Iowa 29-13, and they have looked worse in their road games this year with their 1-3 road record. Penn State has a really good defense and they will be looking to clean things up after last week so they can get themselves ready for a playoff run. They won't give up as many points against this weaker Maryland offense and Maryland has been giving up a ton of points on defense all season so they won't do much to stop this Penn State offense at home either. The best way to place a bet here is on Penn State to cover the spread in this game. 

Maryland Penn State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 30, 2024 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Penn State 42 Maryland 10.
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NCAAF Betting Trends


Maryland Terrapins: 4-7 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 6-10 1H ATS off a loss against a conference rival. 10-16 1H ATS against conference opponents. 6-2 UNDER as a road underdog. 7-3 UNDER versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play or more. 4-1 UNDER in games played on a grass field.

Penn State Nittany Lions: 23-13 ATS in all lined games. 22-9 ATS as a favorite. 12-7 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 6-3 UNDER off a road win against a conference rival. 8-3 UNDER after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 9-5 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins.

Key Injuries


Maryland Terrapins:  B. Edwards (QB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. White (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Gooden (LB) Out - Undisclosed. C. McDonald (RB) Out - Undisclosed. B. Lee (DB) Out - Undisclosed. I. Wright (OL) Out - Undisclosed.

Penn State Nittany Lions:  A. Ford (DT) Out - Lower Body. A. Donkoh (OL) Out - Knee. K. Wylie (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Winston (SAF) Questionable - Undisclosed. E. Washington (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Wallace (RB) Questionable - Lower Body. K. Saunders (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Rappleyea (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Dinkins (SAF) Questionable - Undisclosed. Z. Fisher (DE) Out - Undisclosed. J. Cross (TE) Out - Undisclosed. E. Black (WR) Out - Undisclosed.

Notable Quotes


“The kid's a warrior. He's been banged up all year. I very rarely come in and talk about injuries because those are excuses and I'm not about that. Billy came to me and said, ‘Coach, I want to try to go.’ And he really gave us a chance." - Mike Locksley after his team’s loss against Iowa in their last game. 


“I just felt like we needed to be aggressive and end the game on our terms.” - James Franklin after his team’s win against Minnesota in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Maryland Terrapins
WR Prather, Kaden 
WR Felton, Tai 
WR Smith Jr., Octavian
TE Howard, Preston 
QB Edwards Jr., Billy
RB Hemby, Roman

Penn State Nittany Lions
WR Wallace III, Harrison 
WR Fleming, Julian 
WR Clifford, Liam
TE Warren, Tyler 
QB Allar, Drew 
RB Singleton, Nicholas

Statistical Leaders


Maryland Terrapins
Passing: B. Edwards (2881)
Rushing: R. Hemby (543)
Receiving: T. Felton (1097)
Touchdowns: T. Felton (9)

Penn State Nittany Lions
Passing: D. Allar (2497)
Rushing: K. Allen (664)
Receiving: T. Warren (910)
Touchdowns: N. Singleton (9)

Coaches:
Maryland Terrapins: Mike Locksley (7th season)
Penn State Nittany Lions: James Franklin (11th season)