LSU Tigers vs Florida Gators Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/16/2024

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 16, 2024

Venue:  Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, FL

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  LSU -4.5, Florida +4.5; Over/Under:  55 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  LSU -4, Florida +4; Over/Under:  55 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  LSU -4.5, Florida +4.5; Over/Under:  55.5 points

LSU Tigers:  6-3 (3-2) (8th place, SEC)

Florida Gators:  4-5 (2-4) (12th place, SEC)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Wayne Root is on a HOT STREAK in college football on an 8-1 CFB RUN for +$6,900 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

LSU Tigers:  lost their last game at home against the Alabama Crimson Tide 42-13.

Florida Gators:  lost their last game on the road against the Texas Longhorns 49-17.

LSU is entering this game with a 6-3 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their conference games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Alabama 42-13. Garrett Nussmeier was the starting QB and he completed 27/42 passes for 239 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Caden Durham led the team in rushing yards with 63. Kyren Lacy led the receivers with 79 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Whit Weeks led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 8 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Florida is entering this game with a 4-5 record overall and they have a 2-4 record in their conference games too. They are 3-2 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Texas 49-17. Aidan Warner was the starting QB and he completed 12/25 passes for 132 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Ja'Kobi Jackson led the team in rushing yards with 116 and 1 TD. Chimere Dike led the receivers with 95 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Trikweze Bridges led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while T.J. Searcy led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have LSU listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. LSU has looked good in their games this season with their 6-3 record overall and their 3-2 conference record which has them in the top half of the SEC, but they are coming off a loss in their last one which pretty much sealed their fate for making the playoffs this year. They didn't just lose in their last one either, they were embarrassed at home by Alabama in a 42-13 loss. Their offense looked terrible in that game as they got nothing done, but that hasn't been the case for most of the season as they do have a really good offense and they will be looking to bounce back in this game. Meanwhile, Florida hasn't looked good in their games this season with their 4-5 record overall and their 2-4 conference record which has them in the bottom half of the SEC. They don't have any chance of making the CFP and the only thing left they have to play for is bowl eligibility. They are also coming off a terrible loss in their last one though, losing 49-17 to Texas, and their defense has been a big problem all year with the points they have been giving up in their games. Their offense hasn't looked great either as they have been really inconsistent and as bad as LSU has been on defense this season, they will be able to slow down this Florida offense. Florida doesn't really have the offense to compete with LSU either and LSU will be looking to put up a ton of points after that bad loss last week. The best way to place a bet here is on LSU to cover the spread in this game. 

LSU Florida Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 16, 2024 (3:30 pm ET start time) is LSU 38 Florida 21.

Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this LSU Tigers Florida Gators prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.

LSU Tigers: 4-7 ATS in road lined games. 2-7 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. 7-14 1H ATS against conference opponents. 23-13 OVER in all lined games. 17-9 OVER as a favorite. 8-2 OVER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 7-1 OVER after allowing 37 points or more last game.

Florida Gators: 5-1 ATS off a road loss against a conference rival. 4-1 ATS after a loss by 17 or more points. 7-4 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 21-13 OVER in all lined games. 14-6 OVER as an underdog. 10-5 OVER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 16-6 OVER against conference opponents.

LSU Tigers:  J. Watkins (WR) Out - Foot. M. Frazier (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Roberts (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. P. Malbrue (DE) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Ibieta (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. G. Dellinger (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Crawford (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Allen (SAF) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Adams (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. W. Weeks (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. H. Perkins (LB) Out - Knee. K. Parker (WR) Out - Undisclosed. T. Holly (RB) Out - Suspension. J. Guillory (DT) Out - Achilles. J. Emery (RB) Out - Knee.

Florida Gators:  D. Manuel (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. George (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. E. Badger (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Moore (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Lagway (QB) Questionable - Leg. T. Webb (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Johnson (RB) Questionable - Lower Body. A. Turner (DB) Questionable - Shoulder. J. Jackson (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. E. Wilson (WR) Out - Hip. J. Marshall (DB) Out - Shoulder. G. Mertz (QB) Out - Knee. K. Jackson (WR) Out - Knee. J. Lyons (DL) Out - Ankle.

“We’re disappointed in the way we performed. I’m disappointed that we didn’t live up to the standards of LSU football. That affects us more than the damn playoffs.” - Brian Kelly after his team’s loss against Alabama in their last game.

“It got out of hand in the first half. You looked up and the game was over. Aidan fought his tail off out there today. ... You go into the game understanding that you’re playing with your third quarterback, and you know you have to defend them, and we did not do that.”  - Billy Napier after his team’s loss against Texas in their last game. 

WR Lacy, Kyren 

WR Daniels, CJ 

WR Anderson, Aaron

TE Taylor, Mason 

QB Nussmeier, Garrett 

RB Williams, Josh 

WR Dike, Chimere

WR Burke, Marcus

WR Mizell, Aidan

TE Hansen, Hayden

QB Lagway, DJ 

RB Johnson Jr., Montrell 

Passing: G. Nussmeier (2866)

Rushing: C. Durham (460)

Receiving: K. Lacy (697)

Touchdowns: C. Durham (8)

Passing: D. Lagway (1071)

Rushing: J. Baugh (411)

Receiving: E. Badger (560)

Touchdowns: J. Baugh (6)

Coaches:

LSU Tigers: Brian Kelly (3rd season)

Florida Gators: Billy Napier (3rd season)