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Louisville Cardinals vs Virginia Cavaliers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 01/24/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Sunday, Jan 23, 2022
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Monday, January 24, 2022
Venue:  John Paul Jones Arena, Charlottesville, VA
Where to Watch:  ESPN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Louisville NL, UVA NL; Over/Under:  NL points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Louisville NL, UVA NL; Over/Under:  NL points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Louisville +5.5, UVA -5.5; Over/Under:  122.5 points
 

Season Record

Louisville Cardinals:  11-8 (7th place, ACC)
Virginia Cavaliers:  11-8 (8th place, ACC)
 
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Louisville Cardinals vs Virginia Cavaliers Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Louisville Cardinals:  1-4 last 5
Virginia Cavaliers:  2-3 last 5
 
 
 

Louisville Cardinals Analysis

Louisville is coming into this game with an 11-8 record overall and they are 2-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 10th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 5-4 in their conference games this season. They have lost 4 of their last 5 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. Their last win was against the Boston College Eagles while their 4 losses in that span came against the Florida State Seminoles, the NC State Wolfpack, the Pittsburgh Panthers, and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish in their last game. Jarrod West led the team in points in that game off the bench with 14 while Malik Williams was next on the team with 11 points. Mason Faulkner led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Jae'Lyn Withers led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 47.5% from the field, 47.6% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 69.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.8 PPG against them. Louisville has an ATS record of 6-12-1 this season and their O/U record is 8-11.
 
 

Virginia Cavaliers Analysis

UVA is coming into this game with an 11-8 record overall and they are 6-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 10th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 5-4 in their conference games this season. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. Their last win was against the Pittsburgh Panthers while their 2 losses in that span came against the Wake Forest Demon Deacons and the NC State Wolfpack in their last game. Armaan Franklin led the team in points in that game with 14 while Jayden Gardner was next on the team with 13 points. Kihei Clark led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Francisco Caffaro led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 41.8% from the field, 58.8% from 3-point range, and 77.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 62.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 59.7 PPG against them. UVA has an ATS record of 8-11 this season and their O/U record is 9-10.
 

 

Louisville vs Virginia Prediction

Virginia is coming into this game as a 5.5 point favorite with the current betting odds according to the bookmakers. UVA has been playing much better in their recent games compared to the start of their conference play. Louisville has the same record in their conference games but they have lost a majority of their games recently with 1 win in their last 5 games, they have not been playing well. The best bet to place in this game is on Virginia to cover the spread here.
 
Louisville Virginia Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Monday, January 24, 2022 (7:00 pm ET start time) is UVA 64 Louisville 56.
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NCAAB Betting Trends

 
Louisville Cardinals: 2-10 O/U after a game with 9 or less assists. 1-9 O/U after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher. 4-13 O/U after a game where they attempted 7 or less free throws. 37-68 O/U after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread. 49-78 O/U off a loss against a conference rival.
Virginia Cavaliers: 22-35 ATS as a favorite. 13-23 ATS as a home favorite or pick. 15-23 ATS in all home games. 14-28 ATS after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher. 3-10 ATS after 2 or more consecutive overs. 
 

Key Injuries

 
Louisville Cardinals:  M. James (G) out for season - Achilles injury.
Virginia Cavaliers:  None.
 

Notable Quotes

 
“We couldn't make shots around the basket. No one is trying to miss them. We’ve got to make two footers and three footers, and we’ve got to be able to do with contact and it’s plagued our team.” - Chris Mack after his team’s loss against Notre Dame.
 
 
“We've thought we've been playing some better basketball, it's pretty much done with a seven man rotation.” - Tony Bennett on his team’s rotation in their conference games.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Louisville Cardinals
D. Davis 
N. Locke 
J. West 
M. Williams 
J. Withers
 
Virginia Cavaliers
R. Beekman 
K. Clark 
A. Franklin 
J. Gardner 
K. Shedrick
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Louisville Cardinals
PPG: N. Locke (10.5)
APG: J. West (3.2)
Reb/G: M. Williams (8.6)
 
Virginia Cavaliers
PPG: J. Gardner (13.9)
APG: R. Beekman (4.6)
Reb/G: J. Gardner (6.8)
 
Coaches:
Louisville Cardinals: Chris Mack (4th season)
Virginia Cavaliers: Tony Bennett (13th season)