Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/04/2024

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Wednesday, December 4, 2024

Venue:  Kaseya Center, Miami, FL

Where to Watch:  NBA TV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Lakers +1, Heat -1; Over/Under:  219 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Lakers +1, Heat -1; Over/Under:  219 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Lakers +1, Heat -1; Over/Under:  219 points

Los Angeles Lakers:  12-9 (4th place, Pacific Division)

Miami Heat:  9-10 (3rd place, Southeast Division)

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Los Angeles Lakers:  5-5 last 10

Miami Heat:  5-5 last 10

The Lakers are entering this game with a 12-9 record overall this season and they are 5-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Minnesota Timberwolves. D'Angelo Russell led the team in points in that game with 20 while Anthony Davis was next on the team with 12 points. Anthony Davis and D'Angelo Russell each led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Anthony Davis led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 40.5% from the field, 19.4% from 3-point range, and 71.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.9 PPG against them. The Lakers have an ATS record of 8-13 this season and their O/U record is 9-12.

The Heat are entering this game with a 9-10 record overall this season and they are 4-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Toronto Raptors and the Boston Celtics. Jaime Jaquez Jr. and Tyler Herro each led the team in points in that game with 19 while Bam Adebayo was next on the team with 15 points. Bam Adebayo and Haywood Highsmith each led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Jaime Jaquez Jr. led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 35.6% from the field, 22.9% from 3-point range, and 82.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 110.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.8 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 8-11 this season and their O/U record is 10-9.

The current betting odds have the Lakers listed as a 1 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Lakers have looked good in their games this season with their 12-9 record overall, but that record has them in the middle of the West at the moment as they have slipped away from their hot start to the season. They haven't looked as good in their road games this year with their 5-6 road record, but they are coming off a bad loss to the Timberwolves in their last one and will be looking to bounce back in a big way here. Meanwhile, the Heat haven't looked great in their games this season with their 9-10 record overall which has them in the middle of the East. They haven't looked great on their home court either, going 4-4 in their home games this season. They have lost 2 games in a row now and they are usually a team that gets off to a really slow start every year. They have been dealing with an injury to their star player Jimmy Butler, but they have also struggled to beat some weaker teams in the league lately. The Heat will be at home for this game, but LeBron will bring his best effort for this game against his former team, especially when the Lakers have also been struggling and need to bounce back here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Lakers to cover the spread in this game. 

Lakers Heat Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, December 4, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Lakers 111 Heat 104.

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Los Angeles Lakers: 1-5 ATS versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season. 14-28 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days. 23-5 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%). 23-8 OVER when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days.

Miami Heat: 14-7 1H ATS against Pacific division opponents. 28-18 OVER in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5. 45-26 1H OVER when the line is +3 to -3. 18-9 1H OVER vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game.

Los Angeles Lakers:  J. Hood-Schifino (SG) Day To Day - Groin. B. James (SG) Day To Day - Heel. A. Reaves (SG) Day To Day - Pelvis. J. Vanderbilt (PF) Out - Knee. J. Hayes (C) Out - Ankle. C. Wood (PF) Out - Knee.

Miami Heat:  K. Love (PF) Day To Day - Back. J. Butler (SF) Day To Day - Knee. K. Ware (C) Day To Day - Foot. J. Richardson (SG) Day To Day - Head. N. Jović (PF) Day To Day - Ankle.

"The second half of the Denver game. I said that was an aberration. I said it to the group, I said it to you guys. It’s looking more and more like it’s not an aberration." - JJ Redick after his team’s loss against the Timberwolves in their game on Monday.

“He’s built a career being able to make (restricted area) shots and make those look easy. It’s just one of those stretches that sometimes you can’t explain.” - Erik Spoelstra on Bam Adebayo’s shooting troubles. 

PG Austin Reaves

SG Dalton Knecht

SF Rui Hachimura

PF LeBron James

C Anthony Davis

PG Tyler Herro

SG Terry Rozier

SF Jimmy Butler 

PF Haywood Highsmith

C Bam Adebayo

PPG: A. Davis (27.8)

APG: L. James (9.1)

Reb/G: A. Davis (11.5)

PPG: T. Herro (23.7)

APG: T. Herro (4.9)

Reb/G: B. Adebayo (9.8)

Coaches:

Los Angeles Lakers: JJ Redick (1st season)

Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (17th season)