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Los Angeles Dodgers vs Houston Astros Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/27/2024

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Jul 26, 2024
Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Saturday, July 27, 2024
Venue:  Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
Where to Watch:  SCHN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Dodgers +114, Astros -135; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Dodgers +115, Astros -135; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Dodgers +115, Astros -135; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

Los Angeles Dodgers:  62-42 (1st place, NL West)
Houston Astros:  53-49 (1st place, AL West)

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Recent Form
Los Angeles Dodgers:  7-3 last 10
Houston Astros:  5-5 last 10



Los Angeles Dodgers vs Houston Astros Preview and Analysis


The Dodgers are entering this series off a win and won their 4-game series against the San Francisco Giants 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 62-42 record overall and have a road record of 28-22. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Astros on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .773 OPS. Gavin Stone is their starting pitcher on Friday while rookie pitcher Justin Wrobleski is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 0-1 with a 4.40 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 3 hits through 4.1 IP against the Boston Red Sox.

The Astros are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the Oakland Athletics 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 53-49 record overall and have a home record of 28-21. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .738 OPS. Framber Valdez is their starting pitcher on Friday while Ronel Blanco is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 9-5 with a 2.75 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 5 strikeouts on 6 hits through 5.2 innings played against the Seattle Mariners.


Dodgers vs Astros Prediction

The current betting odds have the Astros listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dodgers have looked really good in their games this season with their 62-42 record overall which leads the NL West with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have looked good in their road games too with their 28-22 road record. Meanwhile, the Astros have looked good in their games this season with their 53-49 record overall which now has them leading the AL West as they have overtaken the Mariners. They have also looked better in their home games with their 28-21 home record. The Astros haven't looked good in their games lately but they will be looking to bounce back at home as they look to pull away at the top of the division now. They are going to have a solid starter on the mound in this one with Blanco going. Blanco is 9-5 with a 2.75 ERA this year and hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts. He did give up 4 earned runs in his last start, but that has been a rare occasion for him this season so expect him to bounce back with a better performance here. The Dodgers are going to have Wrobleski on the mound in this one and he has looked good lately, giving up no runs in his last start. His team has still lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting though and he is 0-1 this season with a 4.40 ERA, only in his rookie season too. The Dodgers have the best offense in the MLB right now but Blanco has the ability to shut them down here, and the Astros also have one of the best offenses in the MLB that can match the Dodgers with runs. The Astros have the edge with this pitching matchup and they will do some damage to this rookie on offense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Astros to win this game.

Dodgers Astros Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 27, 2024 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Astros 4 Dodgers 1.
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MLB Betting Trends


Los Angeles Dodgers: 30-37 (-16.85 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 67 games. 20-16 to the under in their last 36 away games. 9-6 to the under with their first 5 team total in their last 15 games. 

Houston Astros: 21-9 (+11.70 units) on the moneyline in their last 30 games. 31-15 (+17.70 units) on the runline in their last 46 games. 51-35 to the under in their last 86 games. 

Key Injuries


Los Angeles Dodgers:  C. Taylor (LF) Early Aug - Groin. M. Rojas (SS) Out indefinitely - Forearm. D. May (SP) out of season - Elbow. Y. Yamamoto (SP) Out indefinitely - Tricep. M. Muncy (3B) Out indefinitely - Oblique. W. Buehler (SP) Out indefinitely - Hip. M. Betts (SS) Out indefinitely - Hand. M. Grove (SP) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. R. Brasier (RP) Out indefinitely - Calf. E. Sheehan (SP) out for season - Elbow. B. Graterol (RP) Early August - Shoulder. T. Gonsolin (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Brogdon (RP) Out indefinitely - Foot.

Houston Astros:  K. Graveman (RP) out for season - Shoulder. J. Verlander (SP) Early July - Neck. C. Javier (SP) out of season - Forearm. J. Urquidy (SP) out for season - Forearm. B. Sousa (RP) out for season - Shoulder. O. Ortega (RP) Late July - Elbow. P. Murfee (SP) Mid July - Elbow. L. McCullers Jr. (SP) Early July - Forearm. L. Garcia (SP) Mid July - Elbow. K. Tucker (RF) Out indefinitely - Shin.


Notable Quotes


“That’s like a dream scenario, right? You get two of the best players of our generation to finally play together. Shohei always talked about playing with Clayton. Clayton got to watch Shohei from the sidelines for give months. Worked out great.” - Dave Roberts after his team’s win against the Giants in their game on Thursday.


“Hunter Brown set the tone from the beginning. He kind of has that ace feeling to him. We are expecting him to go out there and deliver what he just did.” - Joe Espada after his team’s win against the A’s in their game on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Los Angeles Dodgers
S Ohtani (L) DH
T Hernández (R) LF
F Freeman (L) 1B
A Pages (R) CF
G Lux (L) 2B
J Heyward (L) RF
K Hernández (R) 3B
A Barnes (R) C
N Ahmed (R) SS

Houston Astros
J Altuve (R) 2B
A Bregman (R) 3B
Y Alvarez (L) DH
Y Diaz (R) C
J Peña (R) SS
J Meyers (R) CF
M Dubón (R) LF
J Singleton (L) 1B
C McCormick (R) RF

Statistical Leaders


Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average:  Nick Ahmed (.429)
Hits:  Shohei Ohtani (124)
Home Runs:  Shohei Ohtani (31)
RBI:  Shohei Ohtani (74)
Stolen Bases:  Shohei Ohtani (24)
Wins:  Gavin Stone (9)
Saves:  Evan Phillips (15)
ERA:  Eduardo Salazar (0.00)

Houston Astros
Batting Average:  César Salazar (.318)
Hits:  Jose Altuve (126)
Home Runs:  Yordan Alvarez (20)
RBI:  Yordan Alvarez (54)
Stolen Bases:  Jose Altuve (15)
Wins:  Ronel Blanco (9)
Saves:  Josh Hader (20)
ERA:  Dylan Coleman (0.00)

Managers:
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (9th season)
Houston Astros: Joe Espada (1st season)