Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/17/2024

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 17, 2024

Venue:  Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Raiders +7.5, Dolphins -7.5; Over/Under:  44.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Raiders +7.5, Dolphins -7.5; Over/Under:  44.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Raiders +8, Dolphins -8; Over/Under:  44.5 points

Las Vegas Raiders:  2-7 (4th place, AFC West)

Miami Dolphins:  3-6 (2nd place, AFC East)

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Las Vegas Raiders:  lost their last game on the road against the Cincinnati Bengals 41-24.

Miami Dolphins:  won their last game on the road against the Los Angeles Rams 23-15.

The Raiders are entering this game with a 2-7 record overall and they have a 0-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-3 in their home games, 1-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Cincinnati Bengals 41-24. Gardner Minshew II was the starting QB and he completed 10/17 passes for 124 passing yards before getting replaced by Desmond Ridder who completed 11/16 passes for 74 yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Alexander Mattison led the team in rushing yards with 36. Jakobi Meyers led the receivers with 105 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Tre'von Moehrig led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Tre'von Moehrig and John Jenkins each led the defense in sacks with 0.5. Jack Jones came away with the only interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Dolphins are entering this game with a 3-6 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-3 in their home games, 2-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Los Angeles Rams 23-15. Tua Tagovailoa was the starting QB and he completed 20/28 passes for 207 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. De’Von Achane led the team in rushing yards with 37. Jaylen Waddle led the receivers with 57 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Jordyn Brooks led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Calais Campbell, Jevon Holland, Quinton Bell, and Chop Robinson each led the defense in sacks with 1. Anthony Walker Jr. came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have the Dolphins listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dolphins haven't looked good in their games this season with their 3-6 record overall, but that record still has them in 2nd place of the AFC East. They would need a lot of help from a Bills collapse to win this division, but a Wild Card spot is still in play for this team. They were struggling for weeks without their starting QB and still lost 2 games in a row when they got him back from injury, but both losses were within a field goal and now they are coming off a win in their last one against the Rams which will give them some momentum going forward. Meanwhile, the Raiders have looked terrible in their games this season with their 2-7 record overall which has them at the bottom of the AFC West with one of the worst records in the entire NFL. This team has been a complete disaster this season with a bad defense giving up a ton of points in their games and a really up and down offense that doesn't really have an answer at QB. They have been playing all season with a QB carousel and it has been tough for this offense to find any kind of rhythm. The defense hasn't been keeping them in games either and they are going to struggle to stop this high flying Dolphins offense that has looked a lot better in their last 3 games with Tua back. The Dolphins defense also looked a lot better in their win over the Rams and they will be looking to carry over their momentum from that win. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dolphins to cover the spread in this game. 

Raiders Dolphins Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 17, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Dolphins 27 Raiders 16.

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Las Vegas Raiders: 5-9 1H ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 3-9 1H ATS in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 2-7 1H ATS after allowing 30 points or more last game. 7-2 UNDER after allowing 30 points or more last game. 6-1 UNDER after a loss by 14 or more points. 10-5 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record.

Miami Dolphins: 9-5 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5. 5-1 ATS when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=25%). 7-3 ATS vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season. 14-7 UNDER in home games. 9-5 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5. 3-0 UNDER off an upset win as an underdog.

Las Vegas Raiders:  None.

Miami Dolphins:  T. Hill (WR) Questionable - Wrist. D. Eskridge (WR) Injured - Personal. C. Smith (CB) Injured - Knee. P. McMorris (SAF) Questionable - Calf. E. Ogbah (LB) Injured - Bicep. K. Kohou (CB) Injured - Neck. S. Duck (CB) Injured - Ankle. T. Armstead (T) Injured - Knee. T. Bowser (OLB) Injured - Knee. R. Cracraft (WR) Questionable - Shoulder. Z. Sieler (DT) Injured - Eye. A. Jackson (OL) Out - Knee. A. Ingold (FB) Questionable - Calf. J. Hill (TE) Injured - Shoulder. J. Holland (SAF) Questionable - Hand. R. Jones (OL) Injured - Knee. J. Poyer (SAF) Injured - Rest. C. Campbell (DT) Injured - Rest.

“Today wasn’t a good day at the office. We’ve got the bye week to reset, and when I say everything, it’s everything. That wasn't a good enough effort." - Antonio Pierce after his team’s loss against the Bengals in their last game. 

“We’ve come a long way through however many losses in a row. The resilience of this team with the external noise, everyone counting us out, hopefully this is an opportunity to not waste. Hopefully we can go on a run with this win and find our rhythm.” - Tua Tagovailoa after his team’s win against the LA Rams in their last game. 

WR Tucker, Tre 

WR Meyers, Jakobi

WR Turner, DJ 

TE Bowers, Brock 

QB Minshew II, Gardner

RB Mattison, Alexander

WR Waddle, Jaylen  

WR Hill, Tyreek 

WR Washington, Malik 

TE Smith, Jonnu

QB Tagovailoa, Tua

RB Achane, De'Von

FB Ingold, Alec

Passing: G. Minshew (1501)

Rushing: A. Mattison (301)

Receiving: B. Bowers (580)

Touchdowns: A. Mattison (4)

Passing: T. Tagovailoa (1155)

Rushing: D. Achane (457)

Receiving: T. Hill (462)

Touchdowns: D. Achane (5)

Coaches:

Las Vegas Raiders: Antonio Pierce (2nd season)

Miami Dolphins: Mike McDaniel (3rd season)