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Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/06/2024

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Oct 02, 2024
Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Sunday, October 6, 2024
Venue:  Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
Where to Watch:  FOX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Raiders +2.5, Broncos -2.5; Over/Under:  36 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Raiders +2.5, Broncos -2.5; Over/Under:  36 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Raiders +2.5, Broncos -2.5; Over/Under:  36 points

Season Record

Las Vegas Raiders:  2-2 (3rd place, AFC West)
Denver Broncos:  2-2 (4th place, AFC West)

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Recent Form
Las Vegas Raiders:  won their last game at home against the Cleveland Browns 20-16.
Denver Broncos:  won their last game on the road against the New York Jets 10-9.


Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos Preview and Analysis


The Raiders are entering this game with a 2-2 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Cleveland Browns 20-16. Gardner Minshew II was the starting QB and he completed 14/24 passes for 130 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Alexander Mattison led the team in rushing yards with 60. Jakobi Meyers led the receivers with 49 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Robert Spillane led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Isaiah Pola-Mao and Charles Snowden each led the defense in sacks with 1. Tre'von Moehrig came away with the only interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
The Broncos are entering this game with a 2-2 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-1 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the New York Jets 10-9. Bo Nix was the starting QB and he completed 12/25 passes for 60 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Javonte Williams led the team in rushing yards with 77. Courtland Sutton led the receivers with 60 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. P.J. Locke led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while P.J. Locke, Justin Strnad, John Franklin-Myers, and Nik Bonitto each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.


Raiders vs Broncos Prediction

The current betting odds have the Broncos listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Broncos haven't looked great in their games this season with their 2-2 record overall, but they have looked a lot better lately. They started the season 0-2, but they have won 2 games in a row now. They have pulled off some upset wins in those games too, beating both the Buccaneers and the Jets on the road. Now they are coming back with some momentum on their side and they will be looking to get their first home win of the season here. Meanwhile, the Raiders haven't looked good in their games this season with their 2-2 record overall, and things just keep getting worse for them. They pulled off an upset win on the road against the Ravens before following up with a bad home loss to the Panthers. Now they are coming off a home win against the Browns in their last one, but it also looks like Davante Adams has played his last snap for the team. The Raiders are a bit of a mess right now and this is going to be a tough divisional game for them on the road. The Broncos offense hasn't been great this season with Bo Nix still finding his way, but they have been doing enough to win in their last 2 games, along with the help of their really good defense. The Raiders don't have a great offense with Minshew and the defense hasn't really been that great either so the Broncos have the edge here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Broncos to cover the spread in this game. 

Raiders Broncos Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 6, 2024 (4:05 pm ET start time) is Broncos 19 Raiders 13.
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NFL Betting Trends


Las Vegas Raiders: 12-6 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 8-4 ATS versus division opponents. 6-2 ATS vs. poor offensive teams - scoring 17 or less points/game. 13-7 UNDER as an underdog. 5-1 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 7-2 UNDER off a home win. 

Denver Broncos: 4-11 ATS as a favorite. 4-8 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less. 5-10 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 1-5 ATS versus poor rushing teams - averaging 90 rushing yards/game or less. 23-15 UNDER in all games. 17-9 UNDER against conference opponents. 6-3 UNDER after scoring 14 points or less last game.

Key Injuries


Las Vegas Raiders:  A. Abdullah (RB) Questionable - Back. D. Adams (WR) Out - Hamstring. K. Mauga (LB) Questionable - Calf. M. Mayer (TE) Out - Non-injury. T. Munford (T) Doubtful - Knee. M. Crosby (DE) Doubtful - Ankle. C. Wilkins (DT) Injured - Knee. D. Deablo (LB) Out - Oblique. K. Miller (T) Injured - Shoulder. T. Wilson (DE) Injured - Knee. D. Richardson (CB) Out - Hamstring.

Denver Broncos:  N. Adkins (TE) Injured - Shoulder. J. Skinner (SAF) Out - Ankle. J. Reynolds (WR) Injured - Achilles.

Notable Quotes


"Team effort. Thought guys bought into what the plan was. Obviously, there were some changes you saw. What we did in the run game, got other players involved. I thought defensively for the most part, what we wanted to do with the quarterback, we did.” - Antonio Pierce after his team’s win against the Browns in their last game. 


“It was a gritty win. I’m proud of how we fought. ... I don’t know that either team expected the weather to impact the game like it did that much in the first half.” - Sean Payton after his team’s win against the Jets in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Las Vegas Raiders
WR Meyers, Jakobi
WR Tucker, Tre 
TE Bowers, Brock 
QB Minshew II, Gardner
RB White, Zamir 

Denver Broncos
WR Sutton, Courtland 
WR Reynolds, Josh
WR Humphrey, Lil'Jordan 
TE Dulcich, Greg
QB Nix, Bo
RB Williams, Javonte 
FB Burton, Michael

Statistical Leaders


Las Vegas Raiders
Passing: G. Minshew (877)
Rushing: Z. White (152)
Receiving: B. Bowers (216)
Touchdowns: A. Mattison (3)

Denver Broncos
Passing: B. Nix (660)
Rushing: J. Williams (129)
Receiving: C. Sutton (192)
Touchdowns: B. Nix (2)

Coaches:
Las Vegas Raiders: Antonio Pierce (2nd season)
Denver Broncos: Sean Payton (2nd season)