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Kansas State Wildcats vs Iowa State Cyclones Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/30/2024

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Nov 29, 2024
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 30, 2024
Venue:  Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, IA 
Where to Watch:  FOX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  KSU +2, ISU -2; Over/Under:  51.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  KSU +2.5, ISU -2.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  KSU +2.5, ISU -2.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points

Season Record

Kansas State Wildcats:  8-3 (5-3) (5th place, Big 12)
Iowa State Cyclones:  9-2 (6-2) (1st place, Big 12)

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Recent Form
Kansas State Wildcats:  won their last game at home against the Cincinnati Bearcats 41-15.
Iowa State Cyclones:  won their last game on the road against the Utah Utes 31-28.


Kansas State Wildcats vs Iowa State Cyclones Preview and Analysis


Kansas State is entering this game with an 8-3 record overall and they have a 5-3 record in their conference games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 3-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Cincinnati 41-15. Avery Johnson was the starting QB and he completed 13/23 passes for 147 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. DJ Giddens led the team in rushing yards with 143 and 2 TDs. Tre Spivey led the receivers with 63 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. VJ Payne led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Ryan Davis led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Brendan Mott came away with the only interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
Iowa State is entering this game with a 9-2 record overall and they have a 6-2 record in their conference games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 4-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Utah 31-28. Rocco Becht was the starting QB and he completed 20/38 passes for 256 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Carson Hansen led the team in rushing yards with 57 and 2 TDs. Jayden Higgins led the receivers with 155 receiving yards on 9 receptions and 1 TD. Malik Verdon led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 7 assisted tackles while Malik Verdon and Jack Sadowsky each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with the only interception for them in that one.


Kansas State vs Iowa State Prediction

The current betting odds have iowa State listed as a 2 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Iowa State has looked really good in their games this season with their 9-2 record overall and their 6-2 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big 12. They are still fighting to get into the Big 12 Championship game and need a win here. They have looked great in their home games this season with their 5-1 home record and they are coming off a win over Utah last week. Meanwhile, Kansas State has looked good in their games this season with their 8-3 record overall and their 5-3 conference record which has them in the top half of the Big 12. They have been ranked for most of the season and were the favorites to win this conference coming into the season, but 3 losses has them on the outside looking in now. They have struggled more in their road games with their 3-2 road record. They are coming off a big win over Cincinnati in their last one, but their motivation here has to be in question with their playoff hopes pretty much down the drain. This is a big game for Iowa State as they still have a chance to make the Big 12 Championship so they are going to bring their best effort here, and the home advantage will help them get over the line in this one. The best way to place a bet here is on Iowa State to cover the spread in this game. 

Kansas State Iowa State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 30, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Iowa State 27 Kansas State 24.
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NCAAF Betting Trends


Kansas State Wildcats: 6-1 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 9-5 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. 9-4 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. 6-1 OVER as an underdog. 6-3 OVER in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56. 8-4 OVER vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att.

Iowa State Cyclones: 3-6 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 4-8 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 3-6 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 200  rushing yards/game or more. 6-11 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play or more. 6-2 OVER off a road win. 

Key Injuries


Kansas State Wildcats:  D. Edwards (RB) Probable - Undisclosed. B. Palmer (LB) Out - Knee.

Iowa State Cyclones:  T. Moore (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. Brahmer (TE) Questionable - Leg. C. Bacon (LB) Questionable - Leg. D. Surges (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Jackson (WR) Out - Leg.

Notable Quotes


“It was an inspired win by our guys. I'm proud of the whole team, proud of our seniors for responding to the adversity that we’ve had. We knew we needed to start fast, and we did start fast. Our defense really made them one-dimensional early on, and then we did some really good things.” - Chris Klieman after his team’s win against Cincinnati in their last game. 


“Everyone counted us out two weeks ago. We didn’t flinch, we didn’t waver and we just keep fighting.” - Matt Campbell after his team’s win against Utah in their last game.


Starting Lineups


Kansas State Wildcats
WR Johnson, Keagan 
WR Cephas, Dante 
WR Brown, Jayce
TE Oakley, Garrett 
QB Johnson, Avery
RB Giddens, DJ 

Iowa State Cyclones
WR Higgins, Jayden 
WR Ngoyi, Beni
WR Noel, Jaylin 
TE Brahmer, Benjamin 
TE Klotz, Stevo 
QB Becht, Rocco
RB Sama III, Abu

Statistical Leaders


Kansas State Wildcats
Passing: A. Johnson (2297)
Rushing: D. Giddens (1271)
Receiving: J. Brown (657)
Touchdowns: D. Giddens (8)

Iowa State Cyclones
Passing: R. Becht (2884)
Rushing: C. Hansen (560)
Receiving: J. Higgins (1015)
Touchdowns: C. Hansen (11)

Coaches:
Kansas State Wildcats: Chris Klieman (6th season)
Iowa State Cyclones: Matt Campbell (9th season)