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Kansas State Wildcats vs Colorado Buffaloes Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/12/2024

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Oct 11, 2024
Game Time: 10:15 pm ET, Saturday, October 12, 2024
Venue:  Folsom Field, Boulder, CO
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  KSU -3.5, Colorado +3.5; Over/Under:  56 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  KSU -3.5, Colorado +3.5; Over/Under:  55.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  KSU -3.5, Colorado +3.5; Over/Under:  56.5 points

Season Record

Kansas State Wildcats:  4-1 (1-1) (7th place, Big 12)
Colorado Buffaloes:  4-1 (2-0) (4th place, Big 12)

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Recent Form
Kansas State Wildcats:  won their last game at home against the Oklahoma State Cowboys 42-20.
Colorado Buffaloes:  won their last game on the road against the Central Florida Knights 48-21.


Kansas State Wildcats vs Colorado Buffaloes Preview and Analysis


Kansas State is entering this game with a 4-1 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Oklahoma State 42-20. Avery Johnson was the starting QB and he completed 19/31 passes for 259 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. DJ Giddens led the team in rushing yards with 187 and 1 TD. Jayce Brown led the receivers with 78 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 TD. Jacob Parrish led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Jacob Parrish and Marques Sigle each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
Colorado is entering this game with a 4-1 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against UCF 48-21. Shedeur Sanders was the starting QB and he completed 28/35 passes for 290 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Isaiah Augustave led the team in rushing yards with 39. Will Sheppard led the receivers with 99 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 TD. Nikhai Hill-Green led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Taje McCoy led the defense in sacks with 2. Preston Hodge and Travis Hunter each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.


Kansas State vs Colorado Prediction

The current betting odds have Kansas State listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Kansas State has looked really good in their games this season with their 4-1 record overall, but they are 1-1 in their conference games. They are one of the favorites to win the Big 12 this season and they can't really afford to lose another game if they want to end up in the Big 12 Championship. Meanwhile, Colorado has also looked good in their games this season with their 4-1 record overall, but they are 2-0 in their conference games and will have the inside track over K-State if they can win this game. Colorado has looked a lot better this season than they did last year as they are improving quite a bit, but they haven't really had a tough schedule either. Their 2 conference wins came against Baylor and UCF who aren't really forces in the conference. Kansas State lost to BYU, but BYU is one of the teams leading the Big 12 at the moment. Kansas State does have a win over OK State though and they even beat Arizona in a game that wasn't considered a conference game. Colorado is going to find out a lot about themselves in this game, but Kansas State still has a lot more talent on both sides of the ball and will wear down Colorado's defense which hasn't been great. Kansas State has looked a lot better on defense in their last few games too so that is going to be a key part of winning this game for them. The best way to place a bet here is on Kansas State to cover the spread in this game. 

Kansas State Colorado Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 12, 2024 (10:15 pm ET start time) is Kansas State 35 Colorado 27.
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NCAAF Betting Trends


Kansas State Wildcats: 16-8 ATS as a favorite. 14-6 ATS against conference opponents. 11-5 ATS vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 11-6 OVER vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 7-4 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 7-4 OVER vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att.

Colorado Buffaloes: 7-13 1H ATS against conference opponents. 3-8 1H ATS vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 5-10 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play or more. 9-5 OVER in home lined games. 13-7 OVER against conference opponents. 10-5 OVER versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play or more.

Key Injuries


Kansas State Wildcats:  None.

Colorado Buffaloes:  S. Sanders (SAF) Out - Arm. D. Hayden (RB) Doubtful - Undisclosed.

Notable Quotes


“On Thursday, he may have been like 32-of-35. I grabbed him on Friday morning and said, ‘That’s as on-point as I've seen you in a practice.' It was really good throws in tight windows. I see a guy that's gaining a lot of confidence.” - Chris Klieman after his team’s win against OK State in their last game. 


“I feel like we’re trending in the right direction. I feel like you guys are seeing the fruit of a lot of hard work and a lot of dedication. I love where we are as a program. Could we be better? Of course. I know we’re trending in the right direction.” - Deion Sanders after his team’s win against UCF in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Kansas State Wildcats
WR Johnson, Keagan 
WR Cephas, Dante 
WR Brown, Jayce
TE Oakley, Garrett 
QB Johnson, Avery
RB Giddens, DJ 

Colorado Buffaloes
WR Sheppard, Will
WR Hunter, Travis
WR Horn Jr., Jimmy 
WR Wester, LaJohntay 
TE Smalls, Sav'ell 
QB Sanders, Shedeur
RB Offerdahl, Charlie 

Statistical Leaders


Kansas State Wildcats
Passing: A. Johnson (879)
Rushing: D. Giddens (604)
Receiving: J. Brown (277)
Touchdowns: D. Edwards (3)

Colorado Buffaloes
Passing: S. Sanders (1630)
Rushing: I. Augustave (117)
Receiving: T. Hunter (561)
Touchdowns: T. Hunter (6)

Coaches:
Kansas State Wildcats: Chris Klieman (6th season)
Colorado Buffaloes: Deion Sanders (2nd season)