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Kansas State Wildcats vs BYU Cougars Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/21/2024

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Sep 20, 2024
Game Time: 10:30 pm ET, Saturday, September 21, 2024
Venue:  LaVell Edwards Stadium (LES), Provo, UT
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  KSU -7, BYU +7; Over/Under:  49 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  KSU -6.5, BYU +6.5; Over/Under:  49.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  KSU -6.5, BYU +6.5; Over/Under:  49.5 points

Season Record

Kansas State Wildcats:  3-0 (0-0) (5th place, Big 12)
BYU Cougars:  3-0 (0-0) (6th place, Big 12)

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Recent Form
Kansas State Wildcats:  won their last game at home against the Arizona Wildcats 31-7.
BYU Cougars:  won their last game on the road against the Wyoming Cowboys 34-14.


Kansas State Wildcats vs BYU Cougars Preview and Analysis


Kansas State is entering this game with a 3-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Arizona 31-7. Avery Johnson was the starting QB and he completed 14/23 passes for 156 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Avery Johnson led the team in rushing yards with 110. Jayce Brown led the receivers with 60 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Jacob Parrish led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Brendan Mott led the defense in sacks with 1. Keenan Garber came away with the only interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
BYU is entering this game with a 3-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Wyoming 34-14. Jake Retzlaff was the starting QB and he completed 22/36 passes for 291 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Jake Retzlaff led the team in rushing yards with 62. Chase Roberts led the receivers with 129 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Raider Damuni led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Jack Kelly led the defense in sacks with 1. Evan Johnson came away with the only interception for them in that one.


Kansas State vs BYU Prediction

The current betting odds have BYU listed as a 7 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. BYU has looked really good in their games this season with their 3-0 record overall. They haven't really been tested in their 3 games, but they do have a really nice road win over SMU and they are coming off a win against Wyoming in their last one, again being on the road but in a really tough place to play with the elevation. Meanwhile, Kansas State has also looked really good in their games this season with their 3-0 record overall. They are coming off their first conference win of the season against Arizona, blowing them out at home, but now this is their first road conference game of the season and this isn't an easy environment to go into. BYU also has elevation that Kansas State will have to deal with and the atmosphere will be a lot more rowdy too. Kansas State has already played on the road this season, but they didn't look great in that game as they barely beat Tulane in a really close game. Their defense wasn't great in that road game either, giving up a ton of points in that one, so BYU is going to move the ball efficiently in this one. BYU has the physicality to keep this a closer game at home and maybe even pull off an upset win. The best way to place a bet here is on BYU to cover the spread in this game. 

Kansas State BYU Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 21, 2024 (10:30 pm ET start time) is K-State 27 BYU 24.
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NCAAF Betting Trends


Kansas State Wildcats: 15-7 ATS as a favorite. 13-5 ATS against conference opponents. 10-4 ATS vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 7-3 OVER after allowing 14 points or less last game. 10-5 OVER vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 

BYU Cougars: 1-4 ATS when the total is between 42.5 and 49. 4-7 ATS against conference opponents. 4-7 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 11-6 OVER in games played on a grass field. 9-4 OVER after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins. 6-2 OVER as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points.

Key Injuries


Kansas State Wildcats:  None.

BYU Cougars:  H. Ropati (RB) Out - Undisclosed. L. Martin (RB) Out - Ankle. J. Brown (OL) Out - Knee.

Notable Quotes


“I don't know what we're trying to prove to everyone else. We're trying to prove to ourselves that we can sustain this and play at a high level. That was a great week of preparation. Now we have to do it again.” - Chris Klieman after his team’s win against Arizona in their last game. 


“I’m happy that we are 3-0, and I’m proud of the team. I thought the energy and effort, all the stuff that we want from our guys showed up. It didn’t go perfectly, but there were some really good things to work on. I feel like we got better from last week to this week, and we are looking forward to making an improvement from this week to the next.” - Kalani Sitake after his team’s win against Wyoming in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Kansas State Wildcats
WR Johnson, Keagan 
WR Cephas, Dante 
WR Brown, Jayce
TE Oakley, Garrett 
QB Johnson, Avery
RB Giddens, DJ 

BYU Cougars
WR Marion, Keelan 
WR Roberts, Chase
WR Epps, Kody 
TE Hill, Keanu 
QB Retzlaff, Jake
RB Martin, LJ 

Statistical Leaders


Kansas State Wildcats
Passing: A. Johnson (490)
Rushing: D. Giddens (324)
Receiving: J. Brown (148)
Touchdowns: D. Edwards (3)

BYU Cougars
Passing: J. Retzlaff (841)
Rushing: J. Retzlaff (113)
Receiving: C. Roberts (263)
Touchdowns: M. Ta'ase (2)

Coaches:
Kansas State Wildcats: Chris Klieman (6th season)
BYU Cougars: Kalani Sitake (9th season)