Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, December 15, 2024
Venue: Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland, OH
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Chiefs -6.5, Browns +6.5; Over/Under: 43.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Chiefs -6, Browns +6; Over/Under: 44 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Chiefs -6.5, Browns +6.5; Over/Under: 43.5 points
Season Record
Kansas City Chiefs: 12-1 (1st place, AFC West)
Cleveland Browns: 3-10 (4th place, AFC North)
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Kansas City Chiefs: won their last game at home against the Los Angeles Chargers 19-17.
Cleveland Browns: lost their last game on the road against the Pittsburgh Steelers 27-14.
Kansas City Chiefs vs Cleveland Browns Preview and Analysis
The Chiefs are entering this game with a 12-1 record overall and they have a 5-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 7-0 in their home games, 5-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Los Angeles Chargers 19-17. Patrick Mahomes was the starting QB and he completed 24/37 passes for 210 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Isiah Pacheco led the team in rushing yards with 55. Travis Kelce led the receivers with 45 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Chamarri Conner led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Tershawn Wharton led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Browns are entering this game with a 3-10 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-4 in their home games, 1-6 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Pittsburgh Steelers 27-14. Jameis Winston was the starting QB and he completed 24/41 passes for 212 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Nick Chubb led the team in rushing yards with 48. Jerry Jeudy led the receivers with 64 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Martin Emerson Jr. and Denzel Ward each led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Myles Garrett led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Chiefs vs Browns Prediction
The current betting odds have the Browns listed as a 6.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Browns have looked terrible in their games this season with their 3-10 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the AFC North and eliminated from playoff contention. They have still been losing games since Jameis Winston took over in this offense, but the offense has looked a lot better with the points they are putting up and Winston has given this team new life this season. They are coming off a bad loss to the Steelers in their last one, but Pittsburgh is a place they have struggled to play in for years now. They will be looking to bounce back at home and will bring their best effort for this strong opponent coming into town, especially since this opponent hasn't been blowing many teams out at all. Meanwhile, the Chiefs have looked great in their games this season with their 12-1 record overall which has them leading the AFC West with the best record in the NFL. They have already locked up their division this season, but they really haven't looked great in their games lately. They are coming off a 19-17 win over the Chargers in their last one and also beat the Raiders by the same score the week before, both games being at home. Now they go on the road looking shaky lately and the Browns can definitely put some points up in this game. The Chiefs will likely come away with the win as they keep finding ways to do so, but this won't be a game that they are in complete control and this could come down to the wire once again, just like their games have been doing a lot lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Browns to cover the spread in this game.
Chiefs Browns Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 15, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Chiefs 24 Browns 20.
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NFL Betting Trends
Kansas City Chiefs: 5-9 ATS off a win against a division rival. 6-10 ATS as a road favorite. 1-6 ATS vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season. 28-16 UNDER as a favorite. 12-4 UNDER after playing a division game. 14-3 UNDER after a win by 6 or less points.
Cleveland Browns: 5-1 ATS off a loss against a division rival. 7-3 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses. 5-0 ATS versus good rushing defenses - allowing 90 rushing yards/game or less. 5-2 UNDER as a home underdog of 7 points or less. 4-1 UNDER after a 2 game road trip.
Key Injuries
Kansas City Chiefs: M. Hardman (WR) Questionable - Knee. N. Gray (TE) Injured - Shoulder. J. Taylor (T) Injured - Knee. C. Omenihu (DE) Injured - Knee.
Cleveland Browns: E. Moore (WR) Injured - Shoulder. J. Thrash (WR) Questionable - Shoulder. S. Kamara (DE) Out - Concussion. J. Bitonio (G) Injured - Ankle. J. Jeudy (WR) Injured - Knee. J. Wills (T) Out - Knee. M. Hurst (DT) Out - Ankle. J. Thornhill (SAF) Questionable - Calf. G. Newsome (CB) Injured - Abdomen. C. Tillman (WR) Out - Concussion. M. Harden (CB) Questionable - Tibia.
Notable Quotes
“I trusted Matthew, so I was good with where we were. Percentages are pretty high. I know we won a game in that same situation on the opposite end, so I get it, but he’s a solid gamer, so I wasn’t too worried about it.” - Andy Reid after his team’s win against the LA Chargers in their last game.
“I don’t believe the Pittsburgh Steelers beat the Cleveland Browns. I believe the Cleveland Browns beat the Cleveland Browns.” - Jameis Winston after their loss against the Steelers in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Kansas City Chiefs
WR Hopkins, Deandre
WR Smith-Schuster, JuJu
WR Worthy, Xavier
TE Kelce, Travis
QB Mahomes, Patrick
RB Pacheco, Isiah
Cleveland Browns
WR Woods II, Michael
WR Moore, Elijah
WR Jeudy, Jerry
TE Njoku, David
QB Winston, Jameis
RB Chubb, Nick
Statistical Leaders
Kansas City Chiefs
Passing: P. Mahomes (3189)
Rushing: K. Hunt (608)
Receiving: T. Kelce (682)
Touchdowns: X. Worthy (6)
Cleveland Browns
Passing: J. Winston (1975)
Rushing: J. Ford (367)
Receiving: J. Jeudy (944)
Touchdowns: D. Njoku (5)
Coaches:
Kansas City Chiefs: Andy Reid (12th season)
Cleveland Browns: Kevin Stefanski (5th season)