Kansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/22/2024

Game Time: 8:20 pm ET, Sunday, September 22, 2024

Venue:  Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA

Where to Watch:  NBC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Chiefs -3, Falcons +3; Over/Under:  46.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Chiefs -3, Falcons +3; Over/Under:  46.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Chiefs -3, Falcons +3; Over/Under:  46.5 points

Kansas City Chiefs:  2-0 (2nd place, AFC West)

Atlanta Falcons:  1-1 (3rd place, NFC South)

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Kansas City Chiefs:  won their last game at home against the Cincinnati Bengals 26-25.

Atlanta Falcons:  won their last game on the road against the Philadelphia Eagles 22-21.

The Chiefs are entering this game with a 2-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Cincinnati Bengals 26-25. Patrick Mahomes was the starting QB and he completed 18/25 passes for 151 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Isiah Pacheco led the team in rushing yards with 90. Rashee Rice led the receivers with 75 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Nick Bolton led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Chamarri Conner and George Karlaftis each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Falcons are entering this game with a 1-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-1 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Philadelphia Eagles 22-21. Kirk Cousins was the starting QB and he completed 20/29 passes for 241 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Bijan Robinson led the team in rushing yards with 97. Darnell Mooney led the receivers with 88 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Jessie Bates III led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Matthew Judon led the defense in sacks with 1. Jessie Bates III came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have the Chiefs listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Chiefs have looked really good in their games this season with their 2-0 record overall. They won their season opener against the Ravens and they are coming off a win against the Bengals in their last game. Now they are playing their first road game of the season and they did have a scare at home last week against the Bengals, almost losing that game late, but they came away with the win as they continue to find ways to get the job done. Meanwhile, the Falcons have a 1-1 record overall this season and they are coming off their 1st win of the season last week, but they haven't looked great in their 2 games. They lost their season opener at home to the Steelers in a game where they didn't even give up a touchdown, and they only beat the Eagles last week on the road with a last minute drive that scored a touchdown when they were struggling on offense all game up to that point. The Falcons were able to move the ball well in that game, but they weren't able to punch it into the end zone once they got close. The Eagles are good, but the Chiefs are the back-to-back Super Bowl defending champions and even though the Chiefs are playing their 1st road game of the season here, field goals aren't going to win this game for the Falcons. The Chiefs have a really good defense and they are going to cause problems for this Falcons offense just like the Steelers did. The best way to place a bet here is on the Chiefs to cover the spread in this game. 

Chiefs Falcons Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 22, 2024 (8:20 pm ET start time) is Chiefs 24 Falcons 16.

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Kansas City Chiefs: 11-4 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 9-3 ATS in non-conference games. 8-3 ATS after a win by 6 or less points. 22-13 UNDER as a favorite. 9-2 UNDER after a win by 6 or less points. 20-11 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive wins.

Atlanta Falcons: 8-14 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 3-8 ATS in non-conference games. 3-6 ATS after a win by 6 or less points. 13-6 UNDER as an underdog. 9-2 UNDER in non-conference games. 6-3 UNDER after a win by 6 or less points.

Kansas City Chiefs:  X. Worthy (WR) Injured - Quad. M. Pennel (DT) Injured - Groin. M. Danna (DE) Injured - Quad. D. Nnadi (DT) Injured - Triceps. N. Johnson (SAF) Injured - Hamstring.

Atlanta Falcons:  J. Smith-Williams (DL) Injured - Hip. T. Allgeier (RB) Injured - Hip. A. Hamilton (CB) Injured - Groin.

“That’s two great football games we’ve played the last two weeks, teams we played in the AFC championship game. We’re going to clean up the mistakes, especially on the offense. It starts with me. And we’ll be a better team for it.” - Patrick Mahomes after their win against the Bengals in their last game. 

“He went out and played important in the biggest moments in the biggest times. Those are things you want to have happen when you have a chance to go out there and get wins. It was great to see today with Kirk Cousins.” - Raheem Morris after his team’s win against the Eagles in their last game. 

WR Watson, Justin

WR Worthy, Xavier

WR Rice, Rashee 

TE Kelce, Travis 

QB Mahomes, Patrick 

RB Steele, Carson

WR Mooney, Darnell

WR London, Drake

WR McCloud III, Ray-Ray 

TE Pitts, Kyle 

QB Cousins, Kirk 

RB Robinson, Bijan

Passing: P. Mahomes (442)

Rushing: I. Pacheco (135)

Receiving: R. Rice (178)

Touchdowns: X. Worthy (2)

Passing: K. Cousins (396)

Rushing: B. Robinson (165)

Receiving: D. Mooney (103)

Touchdowns: K. Pitts (1)

Coaches:

Kansas City Chiefs: Andy Reid (12th season)

Atlanta Falcons: Raheem Morris (1st season)