Iowa State Cyclones vs Iowa Hawkeyes Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/07/2024

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, September 7, 2024

Venue:  Kinnick Stadium, Iowa City, IA

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  ISU +2.5, Iowa -2.5; Over/Under:  35.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  ISU +2.5, Iowa -2.5; Over/Under:  35 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  ISU +2.5, Iowa -2.5; Over/Under:  35.5 points

Iowa State Cyclones:  1-0 (0-0) (14th place, Big 12)

Iowa Hawkeyes:  1-0 (0-0) (6th place, Big Ten)

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Iowa State Cyclones:  won their last game at home against the North Dakota Fighting Hawks 21-3.

Iowa Hawkeyes:  won their last game at home against the Illinois State Redbirds 40-0.

Iowa State is entering this game with a 1-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against North Dakota 21-3. Rocco Becht was the starting QB and he completed 20/26 passes for 267 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Abu Sama III led the team in rushing yards with 36. Jaylin Noel led the receivers with 135 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. Jontez Williams led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Kenard Snyder and J.R. Singleton each led the defense in sacks with 1. Beau Freyler came away with the only interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Iowa is entering this game with a 1-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Illinois State 40-0. Cade McNamara was the starting QB and he completed 21/31 passes for 251 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Kaleb Johnson led the team in rushing yards with 119 and 2 TDs. Reece Vander Zee led the receivers with 66 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 2 TDs. Aaron Graves led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Aaron Graves led the defense in sacks with 3. Jermari Harris came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Iowa listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Iowa was a solid team in the Big Ten last season as they have had one of the best defenses in the country for years, but their offense hasn't really been enough for them to compete with the bigger schools. They acquired McNamara last season to try and change all that but the offense still didn't look great and they had to rely on their defense quite a bit in games. They won their season opener against Illinois State last week and even though they were only playing a team from the FCS, they still put up an impressive 40-0 win as their offense usually doesn't score that much, even against those weaker kinds of teams. They showed flashes of what could be for this offense this season and they have the potential to be a true threat now with a competent offense to couple with that great defense. Meanwhile, Iowa State also won their season opener against a team from the FCS, but they barely put up any points in their 21-3 win over North Dakota. That game was also at home and now they have to go on the road in a much tougher environment. These two always play a closer game when they meet, but this revamped Iowa offense should be enough to get them the win here at home, especially with that defense still barely giving up any points in their games. The best way to place a bet here is on Iowa to cover the spread in this game. 

Iowa State Iowa Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 7, 2024 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Iowa 23 Iowa State 9.

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Iowa State Cyclones: 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. 5-0 (+7.35 units) on the moneyline in their last 5 road games. 4-0 to the over in their last 4 road games. 

Iowa Hawkeyes: 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. 7-7 ATS in the first half of their last 14 games. 1-11 (-12.50 units) on the first quarter moneyline in their last 12 games. 

Iowa State Cyclones:  D. Surges (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Bacon (LB) Questionable - Leg. D. Jackson (WR) Out - Leg.

Iowa Hawkeyes:  S. Anderson (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Montgomery (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed.

"I do think he's got the ability to get him back at some point this football season, which is honestly the best news that we could have heard on Saturday is what we got. Lower leg injury, I do think he'll be back here at some point later in the season or have the opportunity to get himself back later in the season based on recovery." - Matt Campbell on the injury to Caleb Bacon.

"I frequently tell our players to abide by the rules, and in this instance, I did not. In 26 years as a head coach at Iowa -- and more than four decades as a coach -- this is my first potential Level II NCAA infraction. I made a mistake and would like to apologize to our players, University leadership, and our Hawkeye football fans. I know Coach Budmayr echoes those sentiments." - Kirk Ferentz on his suspension in week 1 for violating recruitment rules.

WR Higgins, Jayden 

WR Ngoyi, Beni

WR Noel, Jaylin 

TE Brahmer, Benjamin 

TE Klotz, Stevo 

QB Becht, Rocco

RB Sama III, Abu 

WR Vander Zee, Reece 

WR Gill, Jacob 

WR Wetjen, Kaden

TE Lachey, Luke 

QB McNamara, Cade 

RB Moulton, Kamari 

FB Large, Hayden

Passing: Rocco Becht (267)

Rushing: Rocco Becht (36)

Receiving: Jaylin Noel (135)

Touchdowns: Jaylin Noel (1)

Passing: Cade McNamara (251)

Rushing: Kaleb Johnson (119)

Receiving: Reece Vander Zee (66)

Touchdowns: Reece Vander Zee (2)

Coaches:

Iowa State Cyclones: Matt Campbell (9th season)

Iowa Hawkeyes: Kirk Ferentz (26th season)