Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/06/2024

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 6, 2024

Venue:  EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville, FL 

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Colts +2.5, Jaguars -2.5; Over/Under:  46.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Colts +3, Jaguars -3; Over/Under:  46 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Colts +3, Jaguars -3; Over/Under:  46.5 points

Indianapolis Colts:  2-2 (2nd place, AFC South)

Jacksonville Jaguars:  0-4 (4th place, AFC South)

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Indianapolis Colts:  won their last game at home against the Pittsburgh Steelers 27-24.

Jacksonville Jaguars:  lost their last game on the road against the Houston Texans 24-20.

The Colts are entering this game with a 2-2 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Pittsburgh Steelers 27-24. Anthony Richardson was the starting QB and he completed 3/4 passes for 71 passing yards before leaving injured and being replaced by Joe Flacco who completed 16/26 passes for 168 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jonathan Taylor led the team in rushing yards with 88 and 1 TD. Michael Pittman Jr. led the receivers with 113 receiving yards on 6 receptions. E. J. Speed led the defense in that game with 12 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Dayo Odeyingbo led the defense in sacks with 1.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Jaguars are entering this game with a 0-4 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-1 in their home games, 0-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Houston Texans 24-20. Trevor Lawrence was the starting QB and he completed 18/33 passes for 169 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Tank Bigsby led the team in rushing yards with 90. Brian Thomas Jr. led the receivers with 86 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Ventrell Miller led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Roy Robertson-Harris and Jeremiah Ledbetter each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have the Colts listed as a 2.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Colts haven't looked bad in their games this season with their 2-2 record overall which has them right in the race for the AFC South with the way things have started. They trail behind the Texans who lead the division, but they are in a solid spot in 2nd place right now and have a chance to get a big divisional win in this game. They are coming off a win against the Steelers in their last one, the Steelers going into that game undefeated, and their offense still looked great in that game, even with Joe Flacco taking over for an injured Richardson. Meanwhile, the Jaguars have looked terrible in their games this season with their 0-4 record overall. They were terrible in their first 3 games as they really had nothing going for them. They looked a lot better last week as they almost pulled off the upset win over the Texans, but they let that game go late so they can't be in high spirits for this game. The offense looked a lot better last week, but the defense has looked a lot worse since their 1st game of the season. That will be a big issue against the Colts who have a solid offense whether it be Richardson or Flacco leading them. This is a big game for the Colts to really separate themselves in this division race and be the team that challenges Houston for the AFC South so expect them to bring their best effort for a Jags team that is down on themselves right now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Colts to cover the spread in this game. 

Colts Jaguars Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 6, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Colts 27 Jaguars 21.

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Indianapolis Colts: 6-11 ATS after playing a game at home. 4-10 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 yards/play or more. 3-8 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 350 yards/game or more. 15-8 1H UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 17-9 1H UNDER against conference opponents. 4-0 1H UNDER after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better.

Jacksonville Jaguars: 13-8 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 8-5 ATS versus division opponents. 11-6 UNDER as a favorite. 7-2 UNDER off a road loss. 6-0 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive losses. 9-5 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 yards/play or more.

Indianapolis Colts:  R. Kelly (C) Questionable - Neck. C. Lammons (CB) Questionable - Knee. T. Lewis (DE) Questionable - Calf. G. Stuard (LB) Injured - Heel. K. Paye (DE) Out - Quadricep. B. Smith (T) Questionable - Knee. K. Moore (CB) Out - Hip.

Jacksonville Jaguars:  D. Savage (SAF) Out - Quadricep. A. Armstead (DE) Injured - NIR-Rest. D. Lloyd (LB) Questionable - Knee. M. Brown (CB) Injured - Chest. F. Oluokun (LB) Out - Foot. G. Davis (WR) Questionable - Shoulder. A. Harrison (OL) Injured - Knee. J. Jones (CB) Questionable - Shoulder. C. Robinson (OL) Injured - Knee. E. Engram (TE) Out - Hamstring. T. Bigsby (RB) Injured - Shoulder.

“He's been out there, a veteran presence. Obviously, he's played a lot of football, went in there and operated pretty darn good.” - Shane Steichen on Joe Flacco after his team’s win against the Steelers in their last game. 

“We had a lot of opportunities, run game and throwing the ball down the field. Didn’t capitalize on all of them unfortunately. That’s why we’re here now and didn’t win the game in my opinion is because we didn’t take advantage of some of those opportunities.” - Trevor Lawrence after their loss against the Texans in their last game. 

WR Pierce, Alec 

WR Pittman Jr., Michael 

WR Downs, Josh

TE Alie-Cox, Mo

QB Flacco, Joe

RB Sermon, Trey

WR Davis, Gabe 

WR Thomas Jr., Brian

WR Kirk, Christian 

TE Strange, Brenton

QB Lawrence, Trevor 

RB Etienne Jr., Travis

Passing: A. Richardson (654)

Rushing: J. Taylor (349)

Receiving: A. Pierce (234)

Touchdowns: J. Taylor (4)

Passing: T. Lawrence (729)

Rushing: T. Etienne (214)

Receiving: B. Thomas (275)

Touchdowns: T. Etienne (2)

Coaches:

Indianapolis Colts: Shane Steichen (2nd season)

Jacksonville Jaguars: Doug Pederson (3rd season)