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Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/27/2024

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Oct 21, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 27, 2024
Venue:  NRG Stadium, Houston, TX 
Where to Watch:  CBS


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Colts +6.5, Texans -6.5; Over/Under:  46.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Colts +6.5, Texans -6.5; Over/Under:  46 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Colts +6, Texans -6; Over/Under:  46.5 points

Season Record

Indianapolis Colts:  4-3 (2nd place, AFC South)
Houston Texans:  5-2 (1st place, AFC South)

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Recent Form
Indianapolis Colts:  won their last game at home against the Miami Dolphins 16-10.
Houston Texans:  lost their last game on the road against the Green Bay Packers 24-22.


Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans Preview and Analysis


The Colts are entering this game with a 4-3 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Miami Dolphins 16-10. Anthony Richardson was the starting QB and he completed 10/24 passes for 129 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Anthony Richardson led the team in rushing yards with 56. Michael Pittman Jr. led the receivers with 63 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Grant Stuard led the defense in that game with 11 solo tackles and 7 assisted tackles while Jaylon Carlies and Laiatu Latu each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
The Texans are entering this game with a 5-2 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Green Bay Packers 24-22. C. J. Stroud was the starting QB and he completed 10/21 passes for 86 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Joe Mixon led the team in rushing yards with 115 and 2 TDs. Dalton Schultz led the receivers with 28 receiving yards on 1 reception. D'Angelo Ross led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Tim Settle Jr., Danielle Hunter, and Will Anderson Jr. each led the defense in sacks with 1. Neville Hewitt and Calen Bullock each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.


Colts vs Texans Prediction

The current betting odds have the Texans listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Texans have looked good in their games this season with their 5-2 record overall which leads the AFC South at the moment. They are coming off a tight loss in Green Bay in their last one, but now they are coming back home and will be looking to bounce back here. Meanwhile, the Colts have looked good in their games this season with their 4-3 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AFC South and the closest team to catching the Texans. They are coming off a win in their last game and they have already played a really tight game against the Texans earlier this season, losing that game by 2 points. That game was also at home though where the Colts have looked a lot better all season, and they didn't look great in their win last week either. They are coming off a win over the Dolphins who have been struggling all season as they deal with injuries, but they only won that game at home 16-10 in a game they struggled to put offense up. Richardson was back at QB for the Colts in that one but he didn't look great and the team has looked a lot better on offense this season when Flacco was at QB. The Texans have a tough defense to beat and an offense that has tons of talent. The Texans will already be looking to bounce back in this game from their loss, but this is also a big game for them to take a commanding division lead so they will bring their best effort here for a Colts team that has been really up and down on offense all season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Texans to cover the spread in this game. 

Colts Texans Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 27, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Texans 27 Colts 14.
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NFL Betting Trends


Indianapolis Colts: 8-4 ATS revenging a loss against an opponent. 5-0 ATS vs. good passing defenses - allowing 175 or less passing yards/game. 4-1 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 285 yards/game or less. 6-2 UNDER in games played on a grass field. 25-16 1H UNDER in all games. 19-10 UNDER against conference opponents.

Houston Texans: 3-7 ATS off a road loss. 7-12 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 yards/play or more. 0-3 ATS after a 2 game road trip. 26-16 UNDER in all games. 19-9 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 10-4 UNDER versus division opponents.

Key Injuries


Indianapolis Colts:  E. Speed (LB) Doubtful - Knee. G. Stewart (DT) Injured - NIR-Rest. A. Pierce (WR) Questionable - Shoulder. C. Lammons (CB) Out - Ankle. D. Odeyingbo (DE) Questionable - Hamstring. T. Sermon (RB) Injured - Knee. M. Pittman (WR) Questionable - Back. J. Downs (WR) Questionable - Toe. J. Taylor (RB) Out - Ankle. A. Richardson (QB) Injured - Oblique. R. Kelly (C) Injured - Calf. B. Smith (T) Questionable - Knee.

Houston Texans:  S. Sims (WR) Out - Back. F. Fatukasi (DT) Questionable - Shoulder. A. Al-Shaair (LB) Out - Knee. H. To'oTo'o (LB) Out - Concussion. D. Phillips (LB) Injured - HIp. K. Lassiter (CB) Out - Shoulder. R. Woods (WR) Out - Foot. L. Tunsil (T) Injured - Ankle. J. Ward (SAF) Out - Groin. J. Mixon (RB) Injured - Ankle.

Notable Quotes


“Obviously, we want to finish with touchdowns down there. We’ve got to be better, I’ve got to be better (on play calls), but we found a way to win the game and that’s what matters." - Shane Steichen after his team’s win against the Dolphins in their last game. 


“Obviously, we didn’t pass the ball well all day. So, it wasn’t good all the way around. We ran the ball well. I thought Joe did a good job running the ball. We needed to pass it. It was not good enough, starting with the protection. If we can’t protect, then that’s going to be difficult for the quarterback to make the plays.” - DeMeco Ryans after his team’s loss against the Packers in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Indianapolis Colts
WR Pierce, Alec 
WR Pittman Jr., Michael 
WR Downs, Josh
TE Alie-Cox, Mo
QB Flacco, Joe
RB Sermon, Trey

Houston Texans
WR Hutchinson, Xavier 
WR Diggs, Stefon
WR Dell, Tank 
TE Schultz, Dalton
QB Stroud, C.J.
RB Mixon, Joe 
FB Hairston, Troy

Statistical Leaders


Indianapolis Colts
Passing: A. Richardson (783)
Rushing: J. Taylor (349)
Receiving: A. Pierce (383)
Touchdowns: J. Taylor (4)

Houston Texans
Passing: C. Stroud (1663)
Rushing: J. Mixon (401)
Receiving: N. Collins (567)
Touchdowns: J. Mixon (5)

Coaches:
Indianapolis Colts: Shane Steichen (2nd season)
Houston Texans: DeMeco Ryans (2nd season)