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Indiana Hoosiers vs Oregon Ducks Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/13/2025

Indiana Hoosiers vs Oregon Ducks Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/13/2025

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Mar 12, 2025
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Thursday, March 13, 2025
Venue:  Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
Where to Watch:  Big Ten Network


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Indiana +2.5, Oregon -2.5; Over/Under:  143.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Indiana +2.5, Oregon -2.5; Over/Under:  143.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Indiana +2.5, Oregon -2.5; Over/Under:  143.5 points

Season Record

Indiana Hoosiers:  19-12 (10-10) (9th place, Big Ten)
Oregon Ducks:  23-8 (12-8) (8th place, Big Ten)

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Recent Form
Indiana Hoosiers:  4-1  last 5
Oregon Ducks:  5-0  last 5


Indiana Hoosiers vs Oregon Ducks Preview and Analysis


Indiana is entering this game with a 19-12 record overall, a 10-10 record in conference games, and they are 1-2 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Ohio State Buckeyes in their last game. Trey Galloway and Malik Reneau each led the team in points in that game with 16 while Luke Goode was next on the team with 11. Trey Galloway led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Luke Goode and Anthony Leal each led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 35.2% from the field, 25% from 3-point range, and 74.2% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 75.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 72 PPG against them. Indiana has an ATS record of 17-14 this season and their O/U record is 13-18.


Oregon is entering this game with a 23-8 record overall, a 12-8 conference record, and they are 4-0 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Washington Huskies in their last game. Nate Bittle led the team in points in that game with 36 while Keeshawn Barthelemy was next on the team with 14. Jackson Shelstad led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Nate Bittle led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 49.1% from the field, 28.6% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 76.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 71.2 PPG against them. Oregon has an ATS record of 14-16-1 this season and their O/U record is 16-15.



Indiana vs Oregon Prediction

The current betting odds have Oregon listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Oregon has looked really good in their games this season with their 23-8 record overall and their 12-8 conference record which has them in the top half of the Big Ten. They are ranked inside the top 25 at the moment and they have looked great in their neutral site games this season, going 4-0 in those. Meanwhile, Indiana has looked good in their games this season with their 19-12 record overall and their 10-10 conference record which has them right in the middle of the Big Ten. They haven't been great in neutral site games though as they are 1-2 in those. Indiana looked dead in the water a few weeks ago, but they have been getting hot over the last 2 weeks and have put themselves in a position to make the NCAA Tournament. They are 4-1 in their last 5 games and are coming off a win over Ohio State in their last one which was huge for the bubble, but their only loss in their last 5 games also came against Oregon. Oregon has also been starting to roll lately and they have a lot more momentum on their side with 7 wins in a row now. Oregon also had a much tougher schedule to end the regular season while Indiana was beating up on bottom feeders. Indiana needs this game more to make the tournament, but Oregon has been rolling and they don't want to lose any momentum going into the NCAA Tournament. Oregon also beat Indiana by 9 points a week ago and should have no problem doing it again here. The best way to place a bet here is on Oregon to cover the spread in this game. 

Indiana Oregon Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Thursday, March 13, 2025 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Oregon 72 Indiana 66.
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NCAAB Betting Trends


Indiana Hoosiers: 1-5 ATS as a neutral court underdog or pick. 4-8 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 5-9 ATS in all tournament games. 6-2 OVER after 3 or more consecutive unders. 13-7 OVER revenging a road loss vs opponent. 31-23 OVER vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% of their attempts or more.

Oregon Ducks: 26-18 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). 14-6 1H ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 13-5 OVER in all neutral court games. 5-2 OVER in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 149.5. 20-10 OVER after playing a road game. 23-16 OVER versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season.

Key Injuries


Indiana Hoosiers:  D. James (C) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Newton (G) Questionable - Undisclosed. G. Cupps (G) Out - Lower Body.

Oregon Ducks:  D. Lindsay (F) Out - Shoulder.

Notable Quotes


"Maybe I'm leaving too soon. I don't know. This brings back old memories. My last game on this floor [as a player] was against Ohio State for the Big Ten title back in 1980. For these seniors, this is what it's all about because they don't get another shot at it.” - Mike Woodson after his team’s win against OSU in their last game of the regular season. 


"I don't know why. I'm not retiring. If the school, Rob Mullens, and the President decide it's my time, it's my time. Guys, I love coming to work every day. So as long as I am healthy, I'd like to coach. But I said, maybe they know something I don't." - Dana Altman on the rumors of him retiring.


Starting Lineups


Indiana Hoosiers
O. Ballo 
K. Carlyle 
M. Mgbako 
M. Reneau 
M. Rice

Oregon Ducks
B. Angel 
T. Bamba 
N. Bittle 
J. Shelstad 
J. Tracey

Statistical Leaders


Indiana Hoosiers
PPG: O. Ballo (13.2)
APG: T. Galloway (4.5)
Reb/G: O. Ballo (9.1)

Oregon Ducks
PPG: N. Bittle (14.1)
APG: T. Bamba (2.9)
Reb/G: N. Bittle (7.3)

Coaches:
Indiana Hoosiers: Mike Woodson (4th season)
Oregon Ducks: Dana Altman (15th season)