Indiana Hoosiers vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 12/20/2024

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Friday, December 20, 2024

Venue:  Notre Dame Stadium, Notre Dame, IN

Where to Watch:  ESPN, ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Indiana +7.5, Notre Dame -7.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Indiana +7.5, Notre Dame -7.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Indiana +7.5, Notre Dame -7.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points

Indiana Hoosiers:  11-1 (8-1) (2nd place, Big Ten)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish:  11-1 (0-0) (FBS Independent)

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Indiana Hoosiers:  won their last game at home against the Purdue Boilermakers 66-0.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish:  won their last game on the road against the USC Trojans 49-35.

Indiana is entering this game with an 11-1 record overall and they have an 8-1 record in their conference games too. They are 8-0 in their home games, 3-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Purdue 66-0. Kurtis Rourke was the starting QB and he completed 23/31 passes for 349 passing yards, 6 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Justice Ellison led the team in rushing yards with 63 and 1 TD. Elijah Sarratt led the receivers with 165 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 2 TDs. Aiden Fisher led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Jailin Walker led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Jailin Walker and Bryson Bonds each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Notre Dame is entering this game with an 11-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 3-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against USC 49-35. Riley Leonard was the starting QB and he completed 17/22 passes for 155 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Jadarian Price led the team in rushing yards with 111 and 1 TD. Mitchell Evans led the receivers with 59 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Xavier Watts led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Gabriel Rubio led the defense in sacks with 1. Xavier Watts and Christian Gray each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Notre Dame listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Notre Dame has looked really good in their games this season with their 11-1 record overall which has them ranked as one of the best teams in the nation and in this college football playoff. They are getting a home game in this first round and have looked great on their home field with their 5-1 home record this season. Their only loss this year did come at home against Northern Illinois, but they have looked really good since that loss and have been rolling over most of their opponents. Meanwhile, Indiana has also looked really good in their games this season with their 11-1 record overall and their 8-1 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big Ten. They just missed out on the Big Ten Championship, but their only loss this season was against Ohio State and that game wasn't really that close. Indiana was able to hang around, but they let the game go in the 2nd half and Notre Dame has a really physical team along with a great run game to wear down this Indiana defense. Indiana has had one of the best offenses in the nation this season, but they also had a really weak schedule against bad defenses. Notre Dame has an offense that can put up a ton of points too and this game will likely look a lot like when Indiana lost to Ohio State just a few weeks ago. The best way to place a bet here is on Notre Dame to cover the spread in this game. 

Indiana Notre Dame Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, December 20, 2024 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Notre Dame 35 Indiana 21.

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Indiana Hoosiers: 4-7 ATS as a road underdog. 4-7 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play or more. 24-12 OVER in all lined games. 12-2 OVER in road lined games. 9-2 OVER as a road underdog. 11-2 OVER off a home win. 16-3 OVER after playing a game at home.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish: 24-11 ATS in all lined games. 19-10 ATS as a favorite. 11-3 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 12-3 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 24-14 OVER in all lined games. 20-11 OVER as a favorite. 10-5 OVER vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game.

Indiana Hoosiers:  J. Johnson (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Evans (OL) Out - Undisclosed. V. Fiacable (OL) Out - Undisclosed. J. Philostin (DB) Out - Undisclosed. A. Depaepe (DL) Out - Undisclosed. N. Kidwell (OL) Out - Undisclosed.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish:  K. Viliamu-Asa (LB) Questionable - Knee. H. Cross (DL) Questionable - Ankle. C. Carr (QB) Questionable - Elbow. B. Morrison (CB) Out - Hip. B. Traore (DL) Out - Knee. C. Tucker (CB) Out - Knee. G. Payne (RB) Out - Knee. C. Jagusah (OL) Out - Pectoral. T. Bennie-Powell (SAF) Out - Shoulder. S. Prescod (OL) Out - Shoulder.

“It’s been a great season, these guys have had a lot of success, the leadership has been great and it’s been a great year for Indiana. We’re not finished yet and we’re not satisfied.” - Curt Cignetti after his team’s win against Purdue in their season finale. 

“The statement we made was we won our rivalry game against a dang good football team. And that was the only statement I wanted to make tonight.” - Marcus Freeman after his team’s win against USC in their season finale. 

WR Sarratt, Elijah

WR Cross, Miles 

WR Price, Myles 

TE Horton, Zach 

QB Rourke, Kurtis

RB Ellison, Justice

WR Collins, Beaux 

WR Faison, Jordan 

WR Greathouse, Jaden

TE Evans, Mitchell 

QB Leonard, Riley 

RB Love, Jeremiyah 

Passing: K. Rourke (2827)

Rushing: J. Ellison (811)

Receiving: E. Sarratt (890)

Touchdowns: J. Ellison (12)

Passing: R. Leonard (2092)

Rushing: J. Love (949)

Receiving: B. Collins (427)

Touchdowns: J. Love (17)

Coaches:

Indiana Hoosiers: Curt Cignetti (1st season)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish: Marcus Freeman (4th season)