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Houston Texans vs Green Bay Packers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/20/2024

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Oct 16, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 20, 2024
Venue:  Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI 
Where to Watch:  CBS


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Texans +2.5, Packers -2.5; Over/Under:  47.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Texans +3, Packers -3; Over/Under:  47.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Texans +2.5, Packers -2.5; Over/Under:  47.5 points

Season Record

Houston Texans:  5-1 (1st place, AFC South)
Green Bay Packers:  4-2 (3rd place, NFC North)

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Recent Form
Houston Texans:  won their last game on the road against the New England Patriots 41-21.
Green Bay Packers:  won their last game at home against the Arizona Cardinals 34-13.


Houston Texans vs Green Bay Packers Preview and Analysis


The Texans are entering this game with a 5-1 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the New England Patriots 41-21. C. J. Stroud was the starting QB and he completed 20/31 passes for 192 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Joe Mixon led the team in rushing yards with 102 and 1 TD. Stefon Diggs led the receivers with 77 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Will Anderson Jr. led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Will Anderson Jr. led the defense in sacks with 3. Eric Murray and Calen Bullock each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
The Packers are entering this game with a 4-2 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Arizona Cardinals 34-13. Jordan Love was the starting QB and he completed 22/32 passes for 258 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Josh Jacobs led the team in rushing yards with 62. Christian Watson led the receivers with 68 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Quay Walker led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.


Texans vs Packers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Packers listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Packers have looked good in their games this season with their 4-2 record overall, and they already had their starting QB miss a few games this season. Jordan Love got injured in the season opener and ended up missing some time, but he has been back and looked a lot better last week as he is getting back in his groove. Meanwhile, the Texans have looked great in their games this season with their 5-1 record overall and their 2-0 division record, but they have also had a much weaker schedule so far. They play in a weaker division which they have already played 2 divisional games in and they are coming off a win against the Patriots in their last one. Their only loss this season was against another team from the NFC North, losing 34-7 to the Vikings, and they even struggled more in their game against the Bears with just a 19-13 win. The Packers have already dealt with some adversity this season and they are still 4-2 on the year. Now they have been starting to roll in their games with a big win at home last week and the home advantage is going to help them edge the Texans out in this one. The Texans are due for a loss after a string of weaker opponents and the Packers will be the team to bring them down. The best way to place a bet here is on the Packers to cover the spread in this game. 

Texans Packers Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 20, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Packers 34 Texans 28.
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NFL Betting Trends


Houston Texans: 6-11 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 6-12 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 yards/play or more. 3-6 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 350 yards/game or more. 25-16 UNDER in all games. 18-9 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 12-6 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 yards/play or more.

Green Bay Packers: 7-2 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 10-6 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. 6-1 1H ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 12-7 1H UNDER in home games. 12-6 1H UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 6-3 1H UNDER after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better.

Key Injuries


Houston Texans:  K. Hinish (DT) Out - Calf. M. Edwards (DT) Injured - Personal. D. Phillips (LB) Injured - Hip. K. Lassiter (CB) Out - Shoulder. K. Green (G) Injured - Knee. R. Woods (WR) Out - Foot. T. Howard (T) Injured - Hamstring. D. Barnett (DE) Questionable - Shoulder. J. Hansen (LB) Injured - Back. L. Tunsil (T) Injured - Ankle. J. Ward (SAF) Out - Groin. J. Mixon (RB) Questionable - Ankle. D. Pierce (RB) Injured - Hamstring. S. Diggs (WR) Injured - Rest.

Green Bay Packers:  R. Walker (T) Questionable - Knee. T. Kraft (TE) Injured - Groin. K. Clark (DL) Injured - Toe. J. Alexander (CB) Questionable - Groin. Z. Anderson (SAF) Injured - Elbow. A. Mosby (DL) Questionable - Shoulder. E. Jenkins (OL) Injured - Knee. J. Ford (DL) Injured - Calf. Z. Tom (OL) Injured - Shoulder. D. Wyatt (DL) Out - Ankle. C. Valentine (CB) Injured - Shoulder. C. Watson (WR) Questionable - Ankle. E. Cooper (LB) Injured - Hip. J. Morgan (OT) Questionable - Shoulder.

Notable Quotes


“Those guys bring playmaking ability. Very excited to see those guys continue to do more for us, but very pleased with the run game and how they got after it.” - DeMeco Ryans after his team’s win against the Patriots in their last game.


“We talked about coming into this game just playing four quarters of complementary football, and thought that was about as good as we could’ve done it. There’s always stuff that we can clean up, but I thought all in all, just the effort from start to finish, the focus from start to finish, was exactly what is a great formula for winning football.” - Matt LaFleur after his team’s win against the Cardinals in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Houston Texans
WR Hutchinson, Xavier 
WR Diggs, Stefon
WR Dell, Tank 
TE Schultz, Dalton
QB Stroud, C.J.
RB Mixon, Joe 

Green Bay Packers
WR Watson, Christian
WR Doubs, Romeo
WR Reed, Jayden 
TE Kraft, Tucker  
QB Love, Jordan
RB Jacobs, Josh

Statistical Leaders


Houston Texans
Passing: C. Stroud (1577)
Rushing: J. Mixon (286)
Receiving: N. Collins (567)
Touchdowns: S. Diggs (4)

Green Bay Packers
Passing: J. Love (1131)
Rushing: J. Jacobs (464)
Receiving: J. Reed (442)
Touchdowns: J. Reed (4)

Coaches:
Houston Texans: DeMeco Ryans (2nd season)
Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (6th season)