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Georgia Bulldogs vs Texas Longhorns Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/19/2024

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Oct 17, 2024
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 19, 2024
Venue:  Darrell K Royal Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TX
Where to Watch:  ABC


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  UGA +5, Texas -5; Over/Under:  56 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  UGA +4.5, Texas -4.5; Over/Under:  56 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  UGA +4.5, Texas -4.5; Over/Under:  55.5 points

Season Record

Georgia Bulldogs:  5-1 (3-1) (4th place, SEC)
Texas Longhorns:  6-0 (2-0) (1st place, SEC)

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Recent Form
Georgia Bulldogs:  won their last game at home against the Mississippi State Bulldogs 41-31.
Texas Longhorns:  won their last game at a neutral site against the Oklahoma Sooners 34-3.


Georgia Bulldogs vs Texas Longhorns Preview and Analysis


Georgia is entering this game with a 5-1 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Mississippi State 41-31. Carson Beck was the starting QB and he completed 36/48 passes for 459 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Anthony Evans III led the team in rushing yards with 52. Arian Smith led the receivers with 134 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Malaki Starks led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. KJ Bolden came away with the only interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
Texas is entering this game with a 6-0 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Oklahoma 34-3. Quinn Ewers was the starting QB and he completed 20/29 passes for 199 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Quintrevion Wisner led the team in rushing yards with 118 and 1 TD. Gunnar Helm led the receivers with 91 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Anthony Hill Jr. led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Anthony Hill Jr. led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.


Georgia vs Texas Prediction

The current betting odds have Texas listed as a 5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Texas has looked really good in their games this season with their 6-0 record overall and their 2-0 conference record which has them right at the top of the SEC, ranked as one of the best in the nation too. They are also 4-0 in their home games this year and none of their games have really been close. They are coming off a big win over Oklahoma in the Red River Rivalry, beating them down 34-3, and they are going to have a ton of momentum on their side for this home game against another team that is ranked like one of the best in the nation. Meanwhile, Georgia has looked good in their games this season with their 5-1 record overall, but they are 3-1 in their conference games with a loss to Alabama on the road. They are also coming off a 41-31 win at home over Mississippi State which isn't great considering how Mississippi State has played this season. Georgia has been struggling more against SEC opponents this season and this is a big moment for Texas to finally prove that they truly are the best team in the land. Texas hasn't really been tested like Georgia with their schedule, but they have faced some good defenses and have still had no problem putting up points in those games. Texas will bring their best effort for this game at home and this is their chance to finally make the statement they have been wanting to make. The best way to place a bet here is on Texas to cover the spread in this game. 

Georgia Texas Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 19, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Texas 38 Georgia 27.
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NCAAF Betting Trends


Georgia Bulldogs: 3-7 ATS in road lined games. 5-9 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 6-12 ATS after scoring 37 points or more last game. 1-4 ATS after a 2 game home stand. 6-2 OVER off a home win against a conference rival. 12-6 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record. 8-3 OVER vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game.

Texas Longhorns: 20-12 ATS in all lined games. 11-5 ATS in home lined games. 7-1 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 10-3 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 7-4 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. 6-2 OVER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 8-4 1H OVER after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins.

Key Injuries


Georgia Bulldogs:  D. Harris (DB) Questionable - Disciplinary. M. Williams (DL) Out - Ankle. W. Brinson (DL) Out - Undisclosed. R. Robinson (RB) Out - Foot. J. Hall (DL) Out - Leg. X. McLeod (DL) Questionable - Abdominal.

Texas Longhorns:  T. Owens (QB) Out - Lower Body. C. Clark (RB) Out - Achilles. C. Baxter (RB) Out - Knee.

Notable Quotes


“He’s experienced. The game gets a little tight there and he’s cool, not panicked.” - Kirby Smart on Carson Beck after his team’s win against Mississippi State in their last game. 


“Getting the Golden Hat (trophy) back is a tremendous honor for these guys to have as part of their legacy here. We’re going to enjoy it, but the journey is far from over. We got more work to do.” - Steve Sarkisian after his team’s win against Oklahoma in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Georgia Bulldogs
WR Bell, Dillon 
WR Smith, Arian 
WR Lovett, Dominic 
TE Delp, Oscar
QB Beck, Carson 
RB Etienne, Trevor

Texas Longhorns
WR Bond, Isaiah
WR Golden, Matthew
WR Moore Jr., DeAndre 
TE Helm, Gunnar 
QB Ewers, Quinn
RB Blue, Jaydon

Statistical Leaders


Georgia Bulldogs
Passing: C. Beck (1818)
Rushing: T. Etienne (335)
Receiving: A. Smith (412)
Touchdowns: D. Bell (5)

Texas Longhorns
Passing: A. Manning (901)
Rushing: Q. Wisner (278)
Receiving: I. Bond (369)
Touchdowns: J. Blue (6)

Coaches:
Georgia Bulldogs: Kirby Smart (9th season)
Texas Longhorns: Steve Sarkisian (4th season)