Florida State Seminoles vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/09/2024

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 9, 2024

Venue:  Notre Dame Stadium, Notre Dame, IN

Where to Watch:  NBC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  FSU +26, ND -26; Over/Under:  42.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  FSU +26, ND -26; Over/Under:  42.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  FSU +25.5, ND -25.5; Over/Under:  42.5 points

Florida State Seminoles:  1-8 (1-7) (16th place, ACC)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish:  7-1 (0-0) (FBS Independent)

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Florida State Seminoles:  lost their last game at home against the North Carolina Tar Heels 35-11.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish:  won their last game at a neutral site against the Navy Midshipmen 51-14.

Florida State is entering this game with a 1-8 record overall and they have a 1-7 record in their conference games too. They are 1-4 in their home games, 0-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against North Carolina 35-11. Brock Glenn was the starting QB and he completed 6/11 passes for 123 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Lawrance Toafili led the team in rushing yards with 24. Malik Benson led the receivers with 50 receiving yards on 1 reception. Shyheim Brown led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Darrell Jackson Jr. led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Notre Dame is entering this game with a 7-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 2-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Navy 51-14. Riley Leonard was the starting QB and he completed 13/21 passes for 178 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jeremiyah Love led the team in rushing yards with 102 and 2 TDs. Jordan Faison led the receivers with 52 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Jack Kiser led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Leonard Moore came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Notre Dame listed as a 26 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Notre Dame has looked really good in their games this season with their 7-1 record overall which has them ranked inside the top 10 in the nation. They do have a loss against Northern Illinois this season which isn't great, but they have buckled down with 6 wins in a row now and they have looked great in those games. They have been winning in a lot of blow outs and they have a real chance to get to the CFP if they can win out. Meanwhile, Florida State has looked terrible in their games this season with their 1-8 record overall and their 1-7 conference record which has them at the bottom of the ACC. Their season has been a complete disaster and it all started right from their season opener. They went undefeated last season and won the ACC, but this is nowhere near that same team from last year and they don't really have much of a chance in this one. Notre Dame has been winning a lot lately, but they have also been rolling over teams in their games and now they are coming out of a bye week too so they have had extra time to prepare for this game. Notre Dame is going to put up points at home and Florida State will continue their offensive struggles against this good defense. The best way to place a bet here is on Notre Dame to cover the spread in this game. 

Florida State Notre Dame Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 9, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Notre Dame 45 Florida State 13.

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Florida State Seminoles: 3-6 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. 1-4 ATS after scoring 14 points or less last game. 4-8 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 rushing yards/carry or more. 8-4 UNDER in road lined games. 7-2 UNDER off a loss against a conference rival. 10-4 UNDER vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish: 10-2 ATS against ACC opponents. 21-11 ATS in all lined games. 6-0 ATS after a bye week. 9-4 ATS after scoring 37 points or more last game. 9-5 ATS after a win by 17 or more points. 9-5 1H UNDER after scoring 37 points or more last game. 

Florida State Seminoles:  K. Davis (RB) Out - Leg. R. Williams (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Uiagalelei (QB) Questionable - Hand. C. Frier (WR) Out - Undisclosed. D. Lundy (LB) Out - Undisclosed. J. Lucas (RB) Out - Undisclosed. D. Hill (WR) Out - Knee.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish:  C. Carr (QB) Out - Elbow. T. Johnson (SAF) Questionable - Foot. M. Jeter (K) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. Morrison (CB) Out - Hip. B. Traore (DL) Out - Knee. C. Tucker (CB) Out - Knee. G. Payne (RB) Out - Knee. C. Jagusah (OL) Out - Pectoral. T. Bennie-Powell (SAF) Out - Shoulder. S. Prescod (OL) Out - Shoulder.

“Very disappointing outcome. They did a great job and really dominated the game in pretty much all phases — offense, defense, special teams. We have to be better than what we put on display.” - Mike Norvell after his team’s loss against UNC in their last game. 

“That was a point of emphasis. This team is No. 2 in the country in turnover margin. To be plus-6 in turnovers is a straight reflection of complimentary football.” - Marcus Freeman after his team’s win against Navy in their last game. 

WR Benson, Malik

WR Brown, Jalen

WR Douglas, Ja'Khi

TE Morlock, Kyle

QB Uiagalelei, DJ 

RB Williams, Roydell 

TB Toafili, Lawrance

WR Collins, Beaux 

WR Faison, Jordan 

WR Greathouse, Jaden

TE Evans, Mitchell 

QB Leonard, Riley 

RB Love, Jeremiyah 

Passing: D. Uiagalelei (1065)

Rushing: L. Toafili (303)

Receiving: J. Douglas (404)

Touchdowns: J. Douglas (3)

Passing: R. Leonard (1360)

Rushing: J. Love (564)

Receiving: B. Collins (359)

Touchdowns: R. Leonard (11)

Coaches:

Florida State Seminoles: Mike Norvell (5th season)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish: Marcus Freeman (4th season)