Big Al

East Carolina Pirates vs Army Black Knights Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/19/2024

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Oct 15, 2024
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 19, 2024
Venue:  Michie Stadium, West Point, NY
Where to Watch:  ESPN2


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  ECU +15, Army -15; Over/Under:  51.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  ECU +15, Army -15; Over/Under:  51.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  ECU +15.5, Army -15.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points

Season Record

East Carolina Pirates:  3-3 (1-1) (7th place, AAC)
Army Black Knights:  6-0 (5-0) (1st place, AAC)

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Recent Form
East Carolina Pirates:  lost their last game on the road against the Charlotte 49ers 55-24.
Army Black Knights:  won their last game at home against the UAB Blazers 44-10.


East Carolina Pirates vs Army Black Knights Preview and Analysis


East Carolina is entering this game with a 3-3 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their conference games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Charlotte 55-24. Jake Garcia was the starting QB and he completed 6/8 passes for 111 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception before getting replaced by Katin Houser who completed 11/28 passes for 84 yards and 1 INT. London Montgomery led the team in rushing yards with 56 and 1 TD. Chase Sowell led the receivers with 82 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Ja'Marley Riddle led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Ryheem Craig and Chad Stephens each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
Army is entering this game with a 6-0 record overall and they have a 5-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against UAB 44-10. Bryson Daily was the starting QB and he completed 3/7 passes for 102 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Bryson Daily led the team in rushing yards with 136 and 4 TDs. Casey Reynolds led the receivers with 84 receiving yards on 2 receptions and 1 TD. Elo Modozie led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Elo Modozie, Brett Gerena, and Eric Ford each led the defense in sacks with 1. Casey Larkin came away with the 2 interceptions for them in that one.


East Carolina vs Army Prediction

The current betting odds have Army listed as a 15 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Army has looked really good in their games this season with their 6-0 record overall and their 5-0 conference record which has them right near the top of the AAC. Meanwhile, East Carolina hasn't looked great in their games this season with their 3-3 record overall and their 1-1 conference record. They have looked worse in their road games too, going 1-2 in their road games this season, and they are coming off a terrible loss to Charlotte in their last one. Army has been blowing teams out all season, especially in their home games where they are 3-0 this year, and they are going to continue to roll teams as this is their 1st season in the AAC and they have a real chance to win the Championship. Army also has a really difficult offense to defend with the triple option and East Carolina has been giving up a ton of points in their road games. Army will be able to wear down this ECU defense throughout the game and that will allow them to pull away until there is no way back in this game for ECU. The best way to place a bet here is on Army to cover the spread in this game. 

East Carolina Army Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 19, 2024 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Army 38 East Carolina 10.
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NCAAF Betting Trends


East Carolina Pirates: 1-4 ATS off a road loss against a conference rival. 0-4 ATS after a loss by 17 or more points. 2-6 ATS vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 3-0 OVER off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite. 3-1 OVER after a loss by 17 or more points. 

Army Black Knights: 6-0 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 11-6 ATS as a favorite. 8-1 ATS off a home win. 10-2 ATS after a win by 17 or more points. 11-5 OVER as a favorite. 5-1 OVER off a win against a conference rival. 10-5 OVER in home games.

Key Injuries


East Carolina Pirates:  None.

Army Black Knights:  T. Robinson (RB) Questionable - Knee. Z. Mundell (QB) Out - Undisclosed.

Notable Quotes


"They do run some mid-line triple. That's really the only true triple option we've seen out of them. A lot of their stuff is either quarterback follow, quarterback counter, quarterback zone, they run some arc option where they pitch it to the fullback, they run toss, they do a lot of other stuff. The big thing revolves around the quarterback and the fullback. I think that 6, Udoh (Kanye), is a really good running back. They do a lot of stuff with him on dives, dive cut back, things like that. Everything in that offense revolves around Bryce and Daly and that offensive line." - Mike Houston on his team’s upcoming game against Army this week.


“We weren’t given NIL money then, and there wasn’t any transfer portal. This is how we build our team here, and it’s how college football teams over the course of the history of college football have built their teams: recruit high school players, you retain them in your program, you develop them and hope you can put a team together that can win. That’s just how we’ve got to do it here.” - Jeff Monken on his team being ranked in the top 25.


Starting Lineups


East Carolina Pirates
WR Smith, Anthony 
WR Spalding, Brock
WR Wright Jr., Winston 
TE Kelly, Casey
QB Garcia, Jake
RB Harris, Rahjai 

Army Black Knights
WR Fortner, Liam 
TE Crossan, David
QB Daily, Bryson
RB Udoh, Kanye 
RB Stewart, Miles 
RB Short, Noah

Statistical Leaders


East Carolina Pirates
Passing: J. Garcia (1426)
Rushing: R. Harris (397)
Receiving: C. Sowell (298)
Touchdowns: R. Harris (3)

Army Black Knights
Passing: B. Daily (482)
Rushing: B. Daily (738)
Receiving: C. Reynolds (208)
Touchdowns: B. Daily (14)

Coaches:
East Carolina Pirates: Mike Houston (6th season)
Army Black Knights: Jeff Monken (11th season)