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Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/24/2024

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Jul 23, 2024
Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Wednesday, July 24, 2024
Venue:  Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH 
Where to Watch:  BSDET


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Tigers +130, Guardians -155; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Tigers +130, Guardians -155; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Tigers +130, Guardians -155; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Season Record

Detroit Tigers:  50-51 (4th place, AL Central)
Cleveland Guardians:  59-40 (1st place, AL Central)

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Recent Form
Detroit Tigers:  7-3 last 10
Cleveland Guardians:  3-7 last 10



Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Preview and Analysis


The Tigers are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 50-51 record overall and have a road record of 26-27. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Guardians on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Tigers won the series opener of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 20th in the MLB with a .689 OPS. Tyler Holton is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Jack Flaherty is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 7-5 with a 3.13 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 8 Ks on 3 hits through 5.2 IP against the Toronto Blue Jays.

The Guardians are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the San Diego Padres 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 59-40 record overall and have a home record of 31-14. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Tigers on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Guardians lost the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .713 OPS. Xzavion Curry is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Tanner Bibee is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 8-4 with a 3.58 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 3 strikeouts on 2 hits through 5.2 innings played against the San Diego Padres.


Tigers vs Guardians Prediction

The current betting odds have the Tigers listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Tigers haven't looked good in their games this season with their 50-51 record overall which has them out of the playoff race in the AL, but they have looked a lot better in their games lately. They are only 26-27 in their road games this season, but they are 7-3 in their last 10 games and have been the hotter team lately. Meanwhile, the Guardians have looked great in their games this season with their 59-40 record overall which has them leading the AL Central with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked great in their home games with their 31-14 home record, but they have been in a slump lately with their 3-7 record in their last 10 games. They are going to have Bibee on the mound here and he has been a solid starter all season with his 8-4 record and his 3.58 ERA. He gave up no runs in his last start and hasn't been giving up many runs lately, but the team has still lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting since the run support has not been there. The Tigers are also going to have a solid starter on the mound here with Flaherty who is 7-5 with a 3.13 ERA. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start and that has been a common theme for him all year. The Tigers have also won 2 games in a row with him starting and have had a ton of success with him on the mound lately. The Guardians are going to have good pitching in this game, but the Tigers have a starter and a bullpen that is also really good and right now they have the hotter offense coming into this one. The best way to place a bet here is on the Tigers to win this game. 

Tigers Guardians Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 24, 2024 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Tigers 2 Guardians 1.
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MLB Betting Trends


Detroit Tigers: 12-5 (+8.35 units) on the moneyline in their last 17 games. 16-3 (+12.85 units) on the runline in their last 19 games. 50-35 to the over in their last 85 games. 

Cleveland Guardians: 4-19 (-17.90 units) on the runline in their last 23 games. 7-14 (-7.80 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 21 games. 26-19 to the over in their last 45 home games. 

Key Injuries


Detroit Tigers:  R. Olson (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. K. Carpenter (RF) Out indefinitely - Back. P. Meadows (CF) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. C. Mize (SP) Out indefinitely - Leg. S. Gipson-Long (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Cleveland Guardians:  S. Hentges (RP) Late July - Shoulder. T. Stephan (RP) out for season - Elbow. J. Karinchak (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. S. Bieber (SP) out for season - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“That’s a good team. They’ve got 59 wins for a reason. They don’t strike out a lot and they put the ball in play, make things happen and get guys into scoring position. It was my job to try to get them to hit it at guys at times, and I felt like I did a good job of that.” - Tarik Skubal after their win against the Guardians in their game on Monday.


“I felt like we had two guys on every inning. We had a handful of these games over the last few weeks where I feel like we’re doing everything right and then just not quite getting the big hit to cash ’em in.” - Stephen Vogt after his team’s loss against the Tigers in their game on Monday.


Starting Lineups


Detroit Tigers
M Vierling (R) 3B
C Keith (L) 2B
J Malloy (R) DH
R Greene (L) CF
M Canha (R) LF
W Pérez (S) RF
G Urshela (R) 1B
J Báez (R) SS
J Rogers (R) C

Cleveland Guardians
S Kwan (L) LF
A Martínez (S) CF
J Ramírez (S) 3B
J Naylor (L) 1B
D Fry (R) DH
J Noel (R) RF
T Freeman (R) 2B
B Rocchio (S) SS
A Hedges (R) C

Statistical Leaders


Detroit Tigers
Batting Average:  Ryan Vilade (.296)
Hits:  Riley Greene (98)
Home Runs:  Riley Greene (17)
RBI:  Riley Greene (51)
Stolen Bases:  Zach McKinstry (8)
Wins:  Tarik Skubal (11)
Saves:  Jason Foley (15)
ERA:  Tarik Skubal (2.34)

Cleveland Guardians
Batting Average:  Steven Kwan (.343)
Hits:  José Ramírez (105)
Home Runs:  José Ramírez (23)
RBI:  José Ramírez (80)
Stolen Bases:  José Ramírez (18)
Wins:  Logan Allen (8)
Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (29)
ERA:  Shane Bieber (0.00)

Managers:
Detroit Tigers: A.J. Hinch (4th season)
Cleveland Guardians: Stephen Vogt (1st season)