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Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/03/2024

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Oct 31, 2024
Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, November 3, 2024
Venue:  Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI 
Where to Watch:  FOX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Lions -3.5, Packers +3.5; Over/Under:  48.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Lions -3, Packers +3; Over/Under:  48 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Lions -3.5, Packers +3.5; Over/Under:  48 points

Season Record

Detroit Lions:  6-1 (1st place, NFC North)
Green Bay Packers:  6-2 (2nd place, NFC North)

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Recent Form
Detroit Lions:  won their last game on the road against the Detroit Lions 52-14.
Green Bay Packers:  won their last game on the road against the Jacksonville Jaguars 30-27.


Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers Preview and Analysis


The Lions are entering this game with a 6-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Tennessee Titans 52-14. Jared Goff was the starting QB and he completed 12/15 passes for 85 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jahmyr Gibbs led the team in rushing yards with 127 and 1 TD. Sam LaPorta led the receivers with 48 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Terrion Arnold led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Alex Anzalone led the defense in sacks with 1. Kerby Joseph and Trevor Nowaske each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
The Packers are entering this game with a 6-2 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Jacksonville Jaguars 30-27. Jordan Love was the starting QB and he completed 14/22 passes for 196 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception before leaving injured and getting replaced by Malik Willis who completed 4/5 passes for 56 yards and 1 TD. Josh Jacobs led the team in rushing yards with 127 and 2 TDs. Tucker Kraft led the receivers with 78 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Eric Wilson led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Edgerrin Cooper led the defense in sacks with 1. Xavier McKinney came away with the only interception for them in that one.


Lions vs Packers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Packers listed as a 3.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Packers have looked good in their games this season with their 6-2 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the NFC North, but this is a really big game in the division for 1st place. Meanwhile, the Lions have looked great in their games this season with their 6-1 record overall which has them leading the NFC North with one of the best records in the entire NFL. The Lions have been rolling in their games lately and their offense has been putting up a ton of points, but their defense has also been giving up points against weaker teams and that will be an issue here. The Packers have been giving up points this season and won't be able to keep this Lions offense down, but the Packers have also been putting up a ton of points themselves so they are going to have no problem moving the ball at home against this defense. Both of these teams have already played divisional games too and they were both decided within a field goal. The Vikings went into Green Bay earlier this season, only winning by 2 points in the end even after a great start with a big lead, and the Lions went into Minnesota earlier this season, beating them in a close 2 point game. Both of these offenses can go toe-to-toe with each other and this is going to end up being a tight divisional game either way. The best way to place a bet here is on the Packers to cover the spread in this game. 

Lions Packers Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 3, 2024 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Lions 33 Packers 30.
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NFL Betting Trends


Detroit Lions: 32-12 ATS in all games. 16-5 ATS in road games. 19-8 ATS as a favorite. 8-0 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game. 27-17 OVER in all games. 19-7 OVER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 7-1 OVER after allowing 14 points or less last game.

Green Bay Packers: 3-8 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game. 5-9 ATS versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 6-11 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 yards/play or more. 5-1 OVER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 9-0 OVER after a win by 6 or less points. 11-5 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record.

Key Injuries


Detroit Lions:  D. Reader (DL) Injured - Rest. J. Goff (QB) Injured - Ankle. M. Rodriguez (LB) Injured - Ankle. B. Martin (DL) Injured - Knee. S. Vaki (RB) Injured - Knee. T. Decker (T) Injured - Chest. G. Glasgow (OL) Injured - Rest. J. Paschal (DL) Injured - Illness. L. Onwuzurike (DL) Injured - Rest. K. Zeitler (G) Injured - Rest. F. Ragnow (C) Injured - Rest.

Green Bay Packers:  J. Jacobs (RB) Injured - Ankle. J. Love (QB) Injured - Groin. R. Walker (T) Injured - Knee. E. Williams (SAF) Injured - Hamstring. Q. Walker (LB) Injured - Concussion. C. Ballentine (CB) Injured - Ankle. J. Myers (OL) Injured - Wrist. K. Clark (DL) Injured - Toe. J. Alexander (CB) Injured - Knee. E. Jenkins (OL) Injured - Glute. D. Wyatt (DL) Injured - Ankle.

Notable Quotes


“We play with three units and when a couple of them are humming at the right time, it can bail out one of your units.” - Dan Campbell after his team’s win against the Titans in their last game. 


“The moment’s never too big for him and he made a lot of big-time plays in this game, not only with his arm.” - Matt LaFleur on Malik Willis after his team’s win against the Jags in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Detroit Lions
WR Patrick, Tim
WR Raymond, Kalif
WR St. Brown, Amon-Ra
TE LaPorta, Sam 
QB Goff, Jared 
RB Gibbs, Jahmyr 

Green Bay Packers
WR Doubs, Romeo
WR Watson, Christian
WR Reed, Jayden 
TE Kraft, Tucker  
QB Love, Jordan
RB Jacobs, Josh

Statistical Leaders


Detroit Lions
Passing: J. Goff (1695)
Rushing: J. Gibbs (591)
Receiving: A. St. Brown (408)
Touchdowns: D. Montgomery (7)

Green Bay Packers
Passing: J. Love (1547)
Rushing: J. Jacobs (667)
Receiving: J. Reed (507)
Touchdowns: T. Kraft (5)

Coaches:
Detroit Lions: Dan Campbell (4th season)
Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (6th season)