Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/01/2024

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Friday, November 1, 2024

Venue:  Target Center, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Nuggets +4, Timberwolves -4; Over/Under:  220.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Nuggets +4, Timberwolves -4; Over/Under:  220.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Nuggets +4.5, Timberwolves -4.5; Over/Under:  220.5 points

Denver Nuggets:  2-2 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

Minnesota Timberwolves:  2-2 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

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Denver Nuggets:  2-2 last 4

Minnesota Timberwolves:  2-2 last 4

The Nuggets are entering this game with a 2-2 record overall this season and they are 2-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Toronto Raptors and the Brooklyn Nets. Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 29 while Aaron Gordon and Jamal Murray each were next on the team with 24 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 16 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 18. They were 51.7% from the field, 48.1% from 3-point range, and 83% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 118.8 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 0-4 this season and their O/U record is 2-2.

The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 2-2 record overall this season and they are 1-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Dallas Mavericks. Anthony Edwards led the team in points in that game with 37 while Julius Randle was next on the team with 20 points. Julius Randle led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Naz Reid led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 50.6% from the field, 48.7% from 3-point range, and 65.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 111.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.5 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 1-3 this season and their O/U record is 2-2.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 4.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook.  The Nuggets have looked good in their games this season with their 2-2 record overall, starting to look a lot better in their games lately. They started the season with a 0-2 record, but they have won 2 games in a row now and have some momentum on their side. They just won 2 road games against weaker teams and needed OT to win both, but that will give them a boost to play better against a better team here. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have looked good in their games this season with their 2-2 record overall, but they have had an up and down start. They lost their season opener and went on to win 2 games in a row, but now they are coming off a loss in their last one. They lost at home to the Mavericks and that was a tough loss for them since it was against the same team that kept them from winning the Western Conference Finals last season. That will be a tough loss for them to bounce back from and after the way the Nuggets performed last year compared to their division rivals, this will be a game they are looking to win. The Nuggets have the momentum on their side right now and they will bring their best effort in this one. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game. 

Nuggets Timberwolves Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, November 1, 2024 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 117 Timberwolves 111.

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Denver Nuggets: 21-13 ATS as an underdog. 8-5 ATS as an underdog  of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 13-6 1H ATS in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5. 26-16 UNDER after a win by 6 points or less. 4-1 UNDER after scoring 136 points or more. 34-20 UNDER versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 turnovers/game or less. 

Minnesota Timberwolves: 25-44 ATS as a home favorite. 9-23 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 1-4 ATS versus good foul drawing teams - attempting 27 or more free throws/game. 36-26 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game. 18-9 1H UNDER after a loss by 6 points or less. 

Denver Nuggets:  D. Holmes (PF) Out For Season - Achilles.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  None.

"I'm so happy I get to coach Nikola because I can't imagine game-planning for guarding that guy." - Michael Malone on Nikola Jokic after his team’s win against the Nets in their game on Tuesday.

I'd like to try to get to a legit nine and a half guys. Right now, we’re playing eight and a half. So we’ve got some work to do there." - Chris Finch on his team this season and what he is trying to get from them.

PG Jamal Murray

SG Christian Braun

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PG Mike Conley

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Julius Randle

C Rudy Gobert

PPG: N. Jokić (31.5)

APG: N. Jokić (9.3)

Reb/G: N. Jokić (12.3)

PPG: A. Edwards (30)

APG: J. Randle (5)

Reb/G: R. Gobert (11.3)

Coaches:

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (10th season)

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (5th season)