Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/13/2024

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Wednesday, March 13, 2024

Venue:  Kaseya Center, Miami, FL

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -3, Heat +3; Over/Under:  213.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -3, Heat +3; Over/Under:  213.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -3, Heat +3; Over/Under:  213.5 points

Denver Nuggets:  45-20 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

Miami Heat:  35-29 (2nd place, Southeast Division)

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Denver Nuggets:  9-1 last 10

Miami Heat:  6-4 last 10

The Nuggets are entering this game with a 45-20 record overall and they are 18-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Boston Celtics, the Utah Jazz, and the Toronto Raptors in their last game. Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 35 while Jamal Murray was next on the team with 26 points. Jamal Murray and Nikola Jokić each led the team in assists in that game with 12 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 17. They were 54.7% from the field, 34.5% from 3-point range, and 61.1% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.7 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 29-34-2 this season and their O/U record is 26-39.

The Heat are entering this game with a 35-29 record overall and they are 17-14 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with losses coming against the Dallas Mavericks, the Oklahoma City Thunder, and the Washington Wizards in their last game. Jimmy Butler led the team in points in that game with 23 while Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, and Duncan Robinson each were next on the team with 16 points. Jimmy Butler, Nikola Jović, and Terry Rozier each led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Bam Adebayo led the team in rebounds with 16. They were 45.3% from the field, 30.3% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 110.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.9 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 31-32-1 this season and their O/U record is 24-40.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have looked really good in their games this season with their 45-20 record overall which has them right near the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They haven't been at their best in road games this season but they have still been a good road team with their 18-14 road record. Meanwhile, the Heat have also looked good in their games this season with their 35-29 record overall, but that record only has them in a play-in spot for the playoffs in the East right now and they have been slipping lately as they were once in a true playoff spot. They have been good on their home court this season but they haven't been great in those games with their 17-14 home record. The Heat were really hot about a week ago but they have been cooling off lately as they are now 6-4 in their last 10 games and have lost a lot of their momentum coming into this one with 3 losses in a row now. The Nuggets have been really hot lately though as they are 9-1 in their last 10 games and have a lot more momentum on their side with 3 wins in a row now. The Nuggets also beat the Heat a few weeks ago and the Heat haven't really had an answer for them since losing 4-1 in the series against the Nuggets in last season's NBA Finals. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game. 

Nuggets Heat Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, March 13, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 110 Heat 98.

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Denver Nuggets: 4-12 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins. 4-8 ATS after playing 4 consecutive home games. 4-8 ATS off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite. 9-4 UNDER off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite. 11-5 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive wins. 7-2 UNDER after scoring 125 points or more 2 straight games.

Miami Heat: 6-3 ATS off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite. 24-12 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less. 13-6 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite of 10 points or more. 14-6 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3. 9-4 UNDER off a loss against a division rival. 

Denver Nuggets:  V. Cancar (SF) Out indefinitely - Knee.

Miami Heat:  K. Love (PF) Late March - Heel. J. Richardson (SG) out for season - Shoulder. T. Herro (SG) Out indefinitely - Knee.

“You can’t trade baskets when you’re down 20, so something’s got to improve. We finally got defense back into the game.” - Michael Malone after his team’s win against the Raptors in their game on Monday.

“You get to the last six minutes of the game and you don’t want to give anybody anything. Any kind of air space, especially when we’re playing possession games. You don’t want to dare anybody and they made us pay for that.” - Erik Spoelstra after his team’s loss against the Wizards in their game on Sunday.

PG Jamal Murray

SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PG Terry Rozier

SG Duncan Robinson

SF Jimmy Butler

PF Nikola Jovic

C Bam Adebayo

PPG: N. Jokic (26.2)

APG: N. Jokic (9.2)

Reb/G: N. Jokic (12.3)

PPG: J. Butler (21.7)

APG: T. Rozier (6.3)

Reb/G: B. Adebayo (10.4)

Coaches:

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (9th season)

Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (16th season)