Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/14/2025

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Tuesday, January 14, 2025

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX 

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -4.5, Mavericks +4.5; Over/Under:  231 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -4.5, Mavericks +4.5; Over/Under:  231 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Nuggets -4.5, Mavericks +4.5; Over/Under:  231.5 points

Denver Nuggets:  23-15 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

Dallas Mavericks:  22-17 (3rd place, Southwest Division)

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Denver Nuggets:  7-3 last 10

Dallas Mavericks:  3-7 last 10

The Nuggets are entering this game with a 23-15 record overall this season and they are 11-8 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Los Angeles Clippers, the Brooklyn Nets, and the Dallas Mavericks. Russell Westbrook led the team in points in that game with 21 while Nikola Jokić was next on the team with 19 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 18. They were 48.9% from the field, 21.9% from 3-point range, and 65% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.1 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 18-19-1 this season and their O/U record is 24-14.

The Mavericks are entering this game with a 22-17 record overall this season and they are 12-7 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Denver Nuggets. Klay Thompson led the team in points in that game with 25 while Naji Marshall and Spencer Dinwiddie each were next on the team with 16 points. Spencer Dinwiddie led the team in assists in that game with 10 while P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall, and Klay Thompson each led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 41.2% from the field, 35.3% from 3-point range, and 76% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.8 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 19-19-1 this season and their O/U record is 19-20.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have looked good in their games this season with their 23-15 record overall which has them right near the top of the West. They were struggling at the start of the season and really couldn't get too far above .500, but now they are starting to climb the standings in the West and have been gaining some momentum too. They haven't been a bad road team this year with their 11-8 road record and they have all the momentum on their side right now with 3 wins in a row. Meanwhile, the Mavericks have looked good in their games this season with their 22-17 record overall which has them right in the middle of the West, but they haven't looked great lately as they have been dealing with injuries. They have looked better on their home court this year with their 12-7 home record, but they just lost their last game to this Nuggets team and they have been missing key players like Doncic and Irving. They haven't looked great lately either with their 3-7 record in their last 10 games while the Nuggets are coming off a win over the Mavericks in their last one, winning 3 games in a row now and going 7-3 in their last 10 games too. The Nuggets have been starting to roll lately and they can take advantage of this banged up Mavericks team that they just beat in their last game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game. 

Nuggets Mavericks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, January 14, 2025 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 117 Mavericks 103.

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Denver Nuggets: 7-18 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 7-15 ATS on the road against Southwest division opponents. 26-19 UNDER against Southwest division opponents. 49-36 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%).

Dallas Mavericks: 25-17 ATS off a home loss. 27-13 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent. 15-9 1H ATS as a home underdog. 22-13 UNDER in January games. 23-15 UNDER at home versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game.

Denver Nuggets:  V. Čančar (PF) Out - Knee. D. Holmes (PF) Out For Season - Achilles.

Dallas Mavericks:  K. Irving (PG) Out - Illness. L. Dončić (PG) Out - Calf. D. Exum (PG) Out - Wrist.

“What I love about this group is how resilient they are. We get down, we stay the course. There is no panic. We just stay the course, we find a way, we try different guys, we find something that works." - Michael Malone after his team’s win against the Mavericks in their game on Sunday.

“He’s one of the best at it. If he does miss, he finds a way to come away with that offensive rebound and put-back. It’s something we’ve got to get better at. Understanding that he’s the best in the world and so we gotta try to take something away.” - Jason Kidd on Nikola Jokic after his team’s loss against the Nuggets in their game on Sunday.

PG Jamal Murray

SG Christian Braun

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PG Spencer Dinwiddie

SG Quentin Grimes

SF Klay Thompson

PF P.J. Washington

C Dereck Lively II

PPG: N. Jokić (31.2)

APG: N. Jokić (9.8)

Reb/G: N. Jokić (13.2)

PPG: L. Dončić (28.1)

APG: L. Dončić (7.8)

Reb/G: L. Dončić (8.3)

Coaches:

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (10th season)

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (4th season)