Denver Broncos vs New Orleans Saints Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/17/2024

Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Thursday, October 17, 2024

Venue:  Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA

Where to Watch:  Amazon Prime Video

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Broncos +1, Saints -1; Over/Under:  37.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Broncos +1, Saints -1; Over/Under:  37 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Broncos +1, Saints -1; Over/Under:  37.5 points

Denver Broncos:  3-3 (3rd place, AFC West)

New Orleans Saints:  2-4 (3rd place, NFC South)

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Denver Broncos:  lost their last game at home against the Los Angeles Chargers 23-16.

New Orleans Saints:  lost their last game at home against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 51-27.

The Broncos are entering this game with a 3-3 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-2 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Los Angeles Chargers 23-16. Bo Nix was the starting QB and he completed 19/33 passes for 216 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Bo Nix led the team in rushing yards with 61. Devaughn Vele led the receivers with 78 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Brandon Jones led the defense in that game with 11 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Justin Strnad and Nik Bonitto each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Saints are entering this game with a 2-4 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-2 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 51-27. Spencer Rattler was the starting QB and he completed 22/40 passes for 243 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Alvin Kamara led the team in rushing yards with 40 and 1 TD. Foster Moreau led the receivers with 54 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Paulson Adebo led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Willie Gay Jr. led the defense in sacks with 1. Paulson Adebo, Johnathan Abram, and Cameron Jordan each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have the Broncos listed as a 1 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Saints haven't looked great in their games this season with their 2-4 record overall. They started the season 2-0, but they have lost 4 games in a row since then and now they are missing their starting QB Derek Carr. Rattler took over against the Bucs last week and the Saints weren't terrible, putting up 27 points in that game, but the defense didn't step up in any way. Meanwhile, the Broncos have looked good in their games this season with their 3-3 record overall which has them in the mix for a playoff spot if things go the right way from here. They have been getting better in each game since starting the season 0-2. Bo Nix has been getting better with each start and the defense has also looked great which has been a big part of their wins. The Saints also have a good defense, but they haven't looked great lately, so the Broncos will find ways to move the ball like they have been doing. The Saints are also going to struggle more on offense since Rattler is only making his 2nd ever NFL start and the Broncos have one of the best defenses in the NFL. These two teams are heading in opposite directions at the moment and everything points to the Broncos in this one. The best way to place a bet here is on the Broncos to cover the spread in this game. 

Broncos Saints Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Thursday, October 17, 2024 (8:15 pm ET start time) is Broncos 20 Saints 17.

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Denver Broncos: 4-1 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. 6-2 ATS versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 8-4 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 yards/play or more. 23-17 UNDER in all games. 15-8 UNDER as an underdog. 6-3 UNDER off a home loss. 8-4 UNDER vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game. 

New Orleans Saints: 16-23 ATS in all games. 7-13 ATS as a favorite. 7-12 ATS in home games. 8-14 ATS in games played on turf. 24-16 UNDER in all games. 15-8 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 15-6 UNDER in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 8-3 UNDER in non-conference games.

Denver Broncos:  J. Reynolds (WR) Out - Hand. J. Franklin-Myers (DE) Injured - Shoulder. Z. Allen (DE) Injured - Rest. A. Palczewski (T) Out - Ankle. D. Mathis (CB) Questionable - Ankle. L. Wattenberg (C) Out - Ankle. A. Estime (RB) Questionable - Ankle.

New Orleans Saints:  L. Patrick (OL) Questionable - Chest. A. Kamara (RB) Injured - HIp. D. Carr (QB) Out - Oblique. T. Hill (TE) Out - Rib. W. Harris (CB) Out - Hamstring. P. Turner (DE) Questionable - Knee. C. Ruiz (OL) Out - Knee. W. Gay (LB) Injured - Hand. P. Werner (LB) Out - Hamstring. R. Shaheed (WR) Injured - Hip. K. Miller (RB) Questionable - Hamstring.

“We did all the things you can’t do in a game like that. We didn't do a number of things well today.” - Sean Payton after his team’s loss against the LA Chargers in their last game. 

“Our tackling was atrocious. When you don’t tackle, you give up explosive plays ... and it just kind of snowballed on us.” - Dennis Allen after his team’s loss against the Bucs in their last game. 

WR Sutton, Courtland 

WR Franklin, Troy

WR Humphrey, Lil'Jordan 

TE Trautman, Adam 

QB Nix, Bo

RB Williams, Javonte 

FB Burton, Michael

WR Wilson Jr., Cedrick

WR Shaheed, Rashid 

WR Tipton, Mason

TE Moreau, Foster

QB Rattler, Spencer

RB Kamara, Alvin 

FB Prentice, Adam

Passing: B. Nix (1082)

Rushing: J. Williams (213)

Receiving: C. Sutton (277)

Touchdowns: B. Nix (3)

Passing: D. Carr (989)

Rushing: A. Kamara (428)

Receiving: R. Shaheed (349)

Touchdowns: A. Kamara (7)

Coaches:

Denver Broncos: Sean Payton (2nd season)

New Orleans Saints: Dennis Allen (3rd season)