Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/10/2024

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Tuesday, December 10, 2024

Venue:  Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK 

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +4, Thunder -4; Over/Under:  229 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +4.5, Thunder -4.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +4.5, Thunder -4.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points

Dallas Mavericks:  16-8 (3rd place, Southwest Division)

Oklahoma City Thunder:  18-5 (1st place, Northwest Division)

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Dallas Mavericks:  9-1 last 10

Oklahoma City Thunder:  7-3 last 10

The Mavericks are entering this game with a 16-8 record overall this season and they are 8-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 7 game winning streak with wins coming against the Atlanta Hawks, the New York Knicks, the Utah Jazz, the Portland Trail Blazers, the Memphis Grizzlies, the Washington Wizards, and the Toronto Raptors. Luka Dončić led the team in points in that game with 30 while Kyrie Irving was next on the team with 29 points. Luka Dončić led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Luka Dončić led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 46.9% from the field, 37.8% from 3-point range, and 86.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.5 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 14-9-1 this season and their O/U record is 14-10.

The Thunder are entering this game with an 18-5 record overall this season and they are 9-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Utah Jazz, the Toronto Raptors, and the New Orleans Pelicans. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 31 while Jalen Williams was next on the team with 27 points. Jalen Williams and Isaiah Hartenstein each led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Isaiah Hartenstein led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 52.9% from the field, 37.5% from 3-point range, and 81% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 103.8 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 14-9 this season and their O/U record is 11-12.

The current betting odds have the Mavericks listed as a 4 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mavericks have looked really good in their games this season with their 16-8 record overall which has them right near the top of the West. They have been a good road team with their 8-5 road record and they have been really hot lately too. This was the team that was in the NBA Finals last season and after a slower start to the season, they now have a ton of momentum on their side with 7 wins in a row. Meanwhile, the Thunder have looked great in their games this season with their 18-5 record overall which has them right at the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have also looked great on their home court with their 9-2 home record. They have their own momentum right now with 3 wins in a row, but the Mavericks are a team that they just haven't been able to figure out. The Mavericks were the team that kicked the Thunder out of the playoffs last season in 6 games and they have no problem playing in Oklahoma City with a win there this season already. The Mavericks have also been the hotter team coming into this game and they have a great chance to win it with the way they have looked lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mavericks to cover the spread in this game. 

Mavericks Thunder Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, December 10, 2024 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Mavericks 109 Thunder 104.

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Dallas Mavericks: 9-15 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%). 14-20 ATS when playing with 2 days rest. 24-15 OVER as a road underdog of 6 points or less. 24-18 OVER in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 23-8 OVER vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game. 10-5 OVER versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season.

Oklahoma City Thunder: 33-21 ATS against Southwest division opponents. 32-20 ATS off a road win. 29-17 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 19-11 OVER when playing with 2 days rest. 33-21 OVER versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game.

Dallas Mavericks:  J. Hardy (SG) Day To Day - Ankle. N. Marshall (SF) Day To Day - Illness. D. Exum (PG) Out - Wrist.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  O. Dieng (SF) Out - Finger. C. Holmgren (PF) Out - Hip. J. Williams (PF) Out - Hamstring. N. Topić (PG) Out For Season - ACL.

"That's an incredible feat for Luka. When you talk about his skill set, filling up the stat sheet, he's had two here, he can run them off. We always expect him to have a triple-double, or we sometimes take him for granted for triple-doubles. I think right now you can see that he's starting to get into a groove." - Jason Kidd on Luka Doncic moving up on the all-time list for triple-doubles.

“The amount we pressured this year is more than we’ve ever pressured. Up the floor, picking up the ball higher. You’re kinda making the floor bigger for the opponent to access that pressure. Puts you in longer closeouts and potentially puts guys more on an island. You can bet on that a little more with the individual defenders we have.” - Mark Daigneault on his team’s defense this season.

PG Luka Doncic

SG Kyrie Irving

SF Klay Thompson

PF P.J. Washington

C Dereck Lively II

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Cason Wallace

SF Luguentz Dort

PF Jalen Williams

C Isaiah Hartenstein

PPG: L. Dončić (28.7)

APG: L. Dončić (8.1)

Reb/G: L. Dončić (8.3)

PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (29.8)

APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6.3)

Reb/G: I. Hartenstein (12.8)

Coaches:

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (4th season)

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (5th season)