Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/24/2024

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Friday, May 24, 2024

Venue:  Target Center, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +5.5, Timberwolves -5.5; Over/Under:  207.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +5.5, Timberwolves -5.5; Over/Under:  207.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +5.5, Timberwolves -5.5; Over/Under:  207.5 points

Dallas Mavericks:  50-32 (1st place, Southwest Division)

Minnesota Timberwolves:  56-26 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

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Dallas Mavericks:  7-3 last 10

Minnesota Timberwolves:  6-4 last 10

The Mavericks are entering this game with a 50-32 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 25-16 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Oklahoma City Thunder twice in a row and the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last game. Luka Dončić led the team in points in that game with 33 while Kyrie Irving was next on the team with 30 points. Luka Dončić led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Dereck Lively II led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 49.4% from the field, 24% from 3-point range, and 94.1% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.6 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 56-39 this season and their O/U record is 42-52-1.

The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 56-26 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 30-11 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Denver Nuggets in their last 2 games. In their last game against the Nuggets in game 7 of that series, Karl-Anthony Towns and Jaden McDaniels each led the team in points in that game with 23 while Anthony Edwards was next on the team with 16 points. Anthony Edwards led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Karl-Anthony Towns led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 42.7% from the field, 36.7% from 3-point range, and 61.1% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 106.5 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 48-44-2 this season and their O/U record is 48-45-1.

The current betting odds have the Timberwolves listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 2 of a 7 game series between the 3rd seeded Timberwolves and the 5th seeded Mavericks for the Western Conference Finals of the NBA playoffs. The Mavericks have a 1-0 series lead after winning game 1 of this series on the road. The Mavericks shook things up in game 1 as they pulled off the upset win over the Timberwolves. The Mavericks had lost game 1 in both of their series leading up to this round, but they broke that trend with a win in game 1. Even though they beat the Timberwolves on the road, the Mavericks only won that game by 3 points and it was a really tight game right to the end. The Mavericks came away with that one but the Timberwolves are going to bring their best effort to bounce back in this game. The Timberwolves didn't really face any adversity in these playoffs until the last round when they lost 3 games in a row to the Nuggets and were staring elimination in the face down 3-2, but they stepped up in the last 2 games to win both and win the series 4-3. Now they find themselves down again in this series after the 1st game, but they were also due for a bit of a let down after the way that last series went against the defending champions. Now the Timberwolves have a game under their belt in this series and it was a really close loss by 3 points, they are going to adjust in this game and bring their best effort to bounce back and even up the series in front of their home crowd. The best way to place a bet here is on the Timberwolves to cover the spread in this game. 

Mavericks Timberwolves Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, May 24, 2024 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Timberwolves 110 Mavericks 98.

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Dallas Mavericks: 32-16 ATS in road games. 10-5 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less. 13-7 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins. 12-2 UNDER off an upset win as an underdog. 18-9 UNDER after allowing 105 points or less. 14-6 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive wins.

Minnesota Timberwolves: 17-24 ATS as a home favorite. 5-10 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 12-3 UNDER in the 2nd game of a playoff series. 12-6 UNDER revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite. 5-1 UNDER after a close loss by 3 points or less.

Dallas Mavericks:  O. Prosper (PF) Out indefinitely - Ankle. M. Kleber (PF) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. G. Brown III (SF) Out indefinitely - Personal.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  J. Clark (SG) Out indefinitely - Achilles.

“No one panicked. There was just a lot of trust, no matter how bad or how good we’re playing.” - Jason Kidd after his team’s win against the Timberwolves in game 1 of this series on Wednesday.

“Terrible offense down the stretch: bad shots, turnovers, no composure. We've got to be better in clutch moments.” - Chris Finch after his team’s loss against the Mavericks in game 1 of this series on Wednesday.

PG Luka Doncic

SG Kyrie Irving

SF Derrick Jones Jr.

PF P.J. Washington 

C Daniel Gafford

PG Mike Conley

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Karl-Anthony Towns

C Rudy Gobert

PPG: L. Doncic (33.9)

APG: L. Doncic (9.8)

Reb/G: L. Doncic (9.2)

PPG: A. Edwards (25.9)

APG: M. Conley (5.9)

Reb/G: R. Gobert (12.9)

Coaches:

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (3rd season)

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (4th season)