Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/14/2025

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Friday, March 14, 2025

Venue:  Toyota Center, Houston, TX

Where to Watch:  SCHN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +11.5, Rockets -11.5; Over/Under:  223.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +11.5, Rockets -11.5; Over/Under:  223.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +11.5, Rockets -11.5; Over/Under:  223.5 points

Dallas Mavericks:  33-34 (3rd place, Southwest Division)

Houston Rockets:  41-25 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

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Dallas Mavericks:  2-8 last 10

Houston Rockets:  6-4 last 10

The Mavericks are entering this game with a 33-34 record overall this season and they are 14-19 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the San Antonio Spurs. Brandon Williams led the team in points in that game with 19 while Dante Exum was next on the team with 17 points. Klay Thompson led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Klay Thompson, Max Christie, Spencer Dinwiddie, and Dwight Powell each led the team in rebounds with 4. They were 55.6% from the field, 40.6% from 3-point range, and 76.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.6 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 32-33-2 this season and their O/U record is 35-32.

The Rockets are entering this game with a 41-25 record overall this season and they are 23-10 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the New Orleans Pelicans twice in a row, the Orlando Magic, and the Phoenix Suns. Jalen Green led the team in points in that game with 29 while Alperen Şengün was next on the team with 20 points. Alperen Şengün led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Tari Eason led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 45.5% from the field, 31.6% from 3-point range, and 76% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108.8 PPG against them. The Rockets have an ATS record of 37-28-1 this season and their O/U record is 32-33-1.

The current betting odds have the Rockets listed as an 11.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rockets have looked really good in their games this season with their 41-25 record overall which has them in the top half of the West and in a playoff spot. They have also looked great on their home court this year with their 23-10 home record. Meanwhile, the Mavericks haven't looked good in their games this season with their 33-34 record overall which has them in the bottom half of the West, but that record still has them in the last spot for the play-in tournament. They have been a bad road team this season too with their 14-19 road record. The Mavericks were in a playoff spot at one point in the season, but their season took a turn for the worse when they traded away Luka Doncic. The Mavericks have been in a free fall since then, sliding down the standings in the West to the point where they are under .500 now, and now they are dealing with a lot of injuries too. They are 2-8 in their last 10 games and are coming off another loss in their last one, losing by double digits to the Spurs. The Rockets are 6-4 in their last 10 games and they have looked a lot better lately. They are starting to get healthy again with some key players returning to the lineup, and they have a ton of momentum on their side right now with 4 wins in a row. The Rockets have been beating up on a lot of bad teams lately and they will be able to do the same here against a banged up Mavericks team that has looked terrible lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rockets to cover the spread in this game. 

Mavericks Rockets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, March 14, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Rockets 110 Mavericks 92.

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Dallas Mavericks: 0-3 ATS as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points. 3-8 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 93 or more shots/game. 6-15 ATS on the road versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game. 26-13 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game.

Houston Rockets: 22-12 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 32-22 ATS in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 21-14 ATS after playing 3 consecutive home games. 32-22 UNDER in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5.

Dallas Mavericks:  K. Jones Day To Day - Quadriceps. J. Hardy (SG) Day To Day - Ankle. P. Washington (PF) Day To Day - Ankle. O. Prosper (PF) Out For Season - Wrist. D. Gafford (C) Out - Knee. A. Davis (PF) Out - Adductor. D. Lively (C) Out - Ankle. K. Irving (SG) Out For Season - Knee.

Houston Rockets:  A. Thompson (SF) Out - Foot. R. Sheppard (PG) Out - Thumb.

"Not succumbing to the mental part of it and feeling sorry for yourself. You still get to do what you love. It’s just another opportunity to show what you can do. That’s probably the toughest part is not feeling sorry for yourself and realizing we have a job to do. This is the best job. It’s great, honestly." - Klay Thompson on the injuries the team has been dealing with.

“It looked like they threw each other down. They both fell down and whatever, got in a little wrestling match. I didn’t think they would get ejected for that.” - Ime Udoka on the ejections after his team’s win against the Suns in their game on Wednesday.

PG Brandon Williams

SG Max Christie

SF Klay Thompson

PF Caleb Martin

C Dwight Powell

PG Fred VanVleet

SG Jalen Green 

SF Dillon Brooks

PF Tari Eason

C Alperen Sengun

PPG: A. Davis (25.7)

APG: K. Irving (4.6)

Reb/G: A. Davis (12)

PPG: J. Green (21.1)

APG: F. VanVleet (5.7)

Reb/G: A. Sengun (10.3)

Coaches:

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (4th season)

Houston Rockets: Ime Udoka (2nd season)