Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/22/2024

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Friday, November 22, 2024

Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +4.5, Nuggets -4.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +4.5, Nuggets -4.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +4.5, Nuggets -4.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points

Dallas Mavericks:  8-7 (3rd place, Southwest Division)

Denver Nuggets:  8-5 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

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Dallas Mavericks:  5-5 last 10

Denver Nuggets:  7-3 last 10

The Mavericks are entering this game with an 8-7 record overall this season and they are 2-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the San Antonio Spurs, the Oklahoma City Thunder, and the New Orleans Pelicans. Luka Dončić led the team in points in that game with 26 while Klay Thompson was next on the team with 19 points. Kyrie Irving led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Quentin Grimes led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 52.7% from the field, 45.2% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.3 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 7-7-1 this season and their O/U record is 7-8.

The Nuggets are entering this game with an 8-5 record overall this season and they are 5-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Memphis Grizzlies. Jamal Murray led the team in points in that game with 27 while Michael Porter Jr. was next on the team with 24 points. Russell Westbrook led the team in assists in that game with 14 while Michael Porter Jr. led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 48% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 63.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.1 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 5-7-1 this season and their O/U record is 9-4.

The current betting odds have the Mavericks listed as a 4.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mavericks have looked good in their games this season with their 8-7 record overall but they have some work to do in the West. They haven't looked good in their road games this season with their 2-4 road record, but they have some momentum on their side now with 3 wins in a row. Meanwhile, the Nuggets have looked good in their games this season with their 9-6 record overall which has them in the top half of the West. They have looked good on their home court with their 5-2 home record and are starting to break away from the pack in the West, but now they have hit a snag. They are coming off a win over the Grizzlies in their last one, but they are dealing with some injuries too. Both Nikola Jokic and Aaron Gordon are going to miss this game and even though they are coming off a win in their last one, they haven't looked great lately with 2 losses in their last 3. The Mavericks are going to be without Luka Doncic for this game too so the Nuggets aren't the only team missing their best player, but the Mavericks also have 2 solid stars in Irving and Thompson to pick up the slack here. This is still the same Mavericks team that went to the NBA Finals last year and they have a lot more depth to pick up the slack in this game too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mavericks to cover the spread in this game. 

Mavericks Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, November 22, 2024 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Mavericks 127 Nuggets 119.

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Dallas Mavericks: 23-35 ATS off a home win. 12-20 ATS when playing with 2 days rest. 14-24 ATS in November games. 14-8 UNDER after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 9-4 UNDER off a home blowout win by 20 points or more. 21-12 UNDER when playing with 2 days rest.

Denver Nuggets: 4-0 ATS as a home underdog. 12-6 1H ATS off an upset win as an underdog. 23-17 UNDER against Southwest division opponents. 14-4 UNDER after playing 3 consecutive road games. 70-51 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record.

Dallas Mavericks:  L. Dončić (PG) Day To Day - Wrist. D. Exum (PG) Out - Wrist.

Denver Nuggets:  N. Jokić (C) Day To Day - Personal. A. Gordon (PF) Out - Calf. D. Holmes (PF) Out For Season - Achilles.

“I think he's taking advantage of starting and also he's taking full advantage of coming off the bench for us. We play to him, I think, a little bit more than we have in the past.” - Jason Kidd on Daniel Gafford this season. 

“Aaron is still out and rehabbing. Nikola was not at work today, being with his family.” - Michael Malone on Aaron Gordon and Nikola Jokic being absent from the team.

PG Jaden Hardy

SG Kyrie Irving

SF Klay Thompson

PF P.J. Washington

C Dereck Lively II

PG Jamal Murray

SG Christian Braun

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Peyton Watson

C DeAndre Jordan

PPG: L. Dončić (28.1)

APG: L. Dončić (7.6)

Reb/G: P. Washington (8.1)

PPG: N. Jokić (29.7)

APG: N. Jokić (11.7)

Reb/G: N. Jokić (13.7)

Coaches:

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (4th season)

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (10th season)