College football season is here! It’s been a long wait, but we are back in business. I’ve had a lot of success with season win totals in the past. Two years ago I went 12-3 on season win totals. Last year I went 12-4-1 on season win totals.
With the season about to start, I wanted to cover two season win total “unders” I like and fill you in on why I like them.
College Football Season Win Totals: Two Unders
Old Dominion under 4.5 Old Dominion won six games last year, but they were extremely fortunate to get to six wins. All six wins came in the final minute. They beat Texas A&M Commerce by one point because of a missed 2 point conversion. They were down 10 points to Georgia State late in the fourth before a blocked field goal, safety, and 4th and goal touchdown led to one of the most improbable wins of the season.
The offensive line allowed 61 sacks and they are about as bad as you’ll see on the offensive line in the country. The running back and wide receiver units are a clear weakness. The secondary is a huge weakness, and Old Dominion will be torn up in the air by many opponents this season. The special teams unit is very weak.
They will be underdogs of a touchdown or more in seven games. They shouldn’t be favored by more than a point or two in a single game all year. I don’t think they can get to five wins. The schedule is tougher this year, and they weren’t as good as their record indicated last season.
Ohio under 6.5 Ohio returns two starters on offense and two starters on defense. The fact that this team has been good in recent years means very little to this season.
They had two good quarterbacks in Rourke and Harris last season. Both of them transferred out and Parker Navarro is expected to start at signal caller. That’s a significant downgrade. The top six wide receivers from last year are all gone. They lost their star tight end to Ohio State. Who are they going to throw the ball to?
Ohio lost stars on the defensive line and at linebacker. A team that has consistently been very good against the run is likely to struggle to stop the ground game this season.
Ohio should be an underdog of more than a touchdown in four games. I consider those nearly unwinnable for this team. They should be a favorite in just five games. They’ll only be favored by more than a touchdown twice.