Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/16/2024

Game Time: 1:37 pm ET, Sunday, June 16, 2024

Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON

Where to Watch:  SNET

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +110, Blue Jays -130; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +110, Blue Jays -130; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +115, Blue Jays -140; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Cleveland Guardians:  44-23 (1st place, AL Central)

Toronto Blue Jays:  33-36 (4th place, AL East)

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Cleveland Guardians:  6-4 last 10

Toronto Blue Jays:  5-5 last 10

The Guardians are entering this series off a loss and split their 2-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 1-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 44-23 record overall and have a road record of 23-15. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Guardians won the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .718 OPS. Carlos Carrasco is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Ben Lively is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 6-2 with a 2.59 ERA this season. His team won their last 5 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 0 BB with 1 K on 3 hits through 5 IP against the Miami Marlins.

The Blue Jays are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 33-36 record overall and have a home record of 16-16. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Blue Jays lost the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 22nd in the MLB with a .671 OPS. Rookie pitcher Yariel Rodríguez is their starting pitcher on Saturday while José Berríos is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 5-5 with a 2.93 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 2 homers, and 1 BB with 4 strikeouts on 5 hits through 5.2 innings played against the Milwaukee Brewers.

The current betting odds have the Blue Jays listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Guardians have looked good in their games this season with their 44-23 record overall which leads the AL Central with one of the best records in the MLB. They have also looked good in their road games with their 23-15 road record. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays haven't looked good in their games this season with their 33-36 record overall which has them in 4th place of the AL East and well out of the division race. They just lost their last series against the Brewers and now they are coming back home where they are only 16-16 this season. The Guardians also won the 1st game of this series and the Blue Jays will likely be having a bullpen day on Saturday, but this is a game with a favorable pitching matchup for them. The Jays are going with Berrios in this game and he is 5-5 with a 2.93 ERA this season, but he is also a starter that the Blue Jays bring their best effort for. He did give up 3 earned runs in his last start, but he will be looking to bounce back with a better performance at home, and the Jays have won 2 of their last 3 games with him starting. The Guardians have Lively in this game and he has been great this season with his 6-2 record and his 2.59 ERA. He gave up no runs in his last start, but the Blue Jays are going to be desperate to win this game and they are going to bring the runs for Berrios on Sunday. The best way to place a bet here is on the Blue Jays to win this game.

Guardians Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, June 16, 2024 (1:37 pm ET start time) is Blue Jays 3 Guardians 1.

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Cleveland Guardians: 44-23 (+18.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 25-11 (+13.4 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 23-15 (+9.2 units) on the moneyline in road games. 11-6 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 or higher. BEN LIVELY is 10-3 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150 and 6-3 UNDER after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing.

Toronto Blue Jays: 33-36 (-8.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 14-20 (-7.2 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 9-12 (-6.1 units) on the moneyline against AL Central opponents. 18-10 UNDER when the money line is -100 to -150. 14-7 UNDER against AL Central opponents. JOSE BERRIOS is 10-3 UNDER in all games.

Cleveland Guardians:  B. Lively (RP) Prob Sat - Undisclosed. G. Williams (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. T. Stephan (RP) out for season - Elbow. E. Morgan (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Karinchak (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. S. Bieber (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Toronto Blue Jays:  K. Kiermaier (CF) Que Sat - Knee. J. Romano (RP) Late June - Elbow. A. Manoah (SP) out of season - Elbow. Y. Rodriguez (SP) Out indefinitely - Spine.

“When Will is on the fastball, he’s a really good hitter. That limits the chase and you start to see the hard contact.” - Stephen Vogt after his team’s win against the Blue Jays in their game on Friday.

“As much as you try to block it out, it’s really hard to. The reality is if we don’t pitch well we probably lose.” - Kevin Gausman after their loss against the Guardians in their game on Friday.

Steven Kwan (L) LF

Andrés Giménez (L) 2B

José Ramírez (S) 3B

Josh Naylor (L) 1B

David Fry (R) C

Will Brennan (L) RF

Daniel Schneemann (L) CF

Brayan Rocchio (S) SS

Bo Naylor (L) DH

Davis Schneider (R) LF

Danny Jansen (R) C

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R) 1B

Bo Bichette (R) SS

Justin Turner (R) DH

George Springer (R) RF

Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) 2B

Daulton Varsho (L) CF

Ernie Clement (R) 3B

Batting Average:  Steven Kwan (.377)

Hits:  José Ramírez (71)

Home Runs:  José Ramírez (18)

RBI:  José Ramírez (62)

Stolen Bases:  José Ramírez (11)

Wins:  Logan Allen (7)

Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (21)

ERA:  Shane Bieber (0.00)

Batting Average:  Spencer Horwitz (.368)

Hits:  Vladimir Guerrero (73)

Home Runs:  Daulton Varsho (10)

RBI:  Davis Schneider (33)

Stolen Bases:  George Springer (8)

Wins:  Chris Bassitt (6)

Saves:  Jordan Romano (8)

ERA:  Chad Green (1.88)

Managers:

Cleveland Guardians: Stephen Vogt (1st season)

Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (3rd season)