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Central Florida Knights vs Iowa State Cyclones Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/19/2024

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Oct 18, 2024
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 19, 2024
Venue:  Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, IA 
Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  UCF +13.5, ISU -13.5; Over/Under:  50 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  UCF +13.5, ISU -13.5; Over/Under:  49.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  UCF +13.5, ISU -13.5; Over/Under:  49.5 points

Season Record

Central Florida Knights:  3-3 (1-2) (11th place, Big 12)
Iowa State Cyclones:  6-0 (3-0) (2nd place, Big 12)

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Recent Form
Central Florida Knights:  lost their last game at home against the Cincinnati Bearcats 19-13.
Iowa State Cyclones:  won their last game on the road against the West Virginia Mountaineers 28-16.


Central Florida Knights vs Iowa State Cyclones Preview and Analysis


UCF is entering this game with a 3-3 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their conference games too. They are 2-2 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Cincinnati 19-13. Jacurri Brown was the starting QB and he completed 13/20 passes for 207 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. RJ Harvey led the team in rushing yards with 94. Kobe Hudson led the receivers with 114 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Sheldon Arnold Jr. led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Jamaal Johnson and Isaiah Nixon each led the defense in sacks with 1. Ladarius Tennison and Brandon Adams each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
Iowa State is entering this game with a 6-0 record overall and they have a 3-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against West Virginia 28-16. Rocco Becht was the starting QB and he completed 18/26 passes for 265 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Carson Hansen led the team in rushing yards with 96 and 3 TDs. Jayden Higgins led the receivers with 102 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Beau Freyler led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Jontez Williams came away with the only interception for them in that one.


Central Florida vs Iowa State Prediction

The current betting odds have Iowa State listed as a 13.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Iowa State has looked great in their games this season with their 6-0 record overall and their 3-0 conference record. They are one of the few undefeated teams left in the Big 12 and have now made themselves a big threat to win the conference this year. Their offense has looked good in their games lately, but it has been their defense that has been shutting teams down in their games. Meanwhile, UCF hasn't looked great in their games this season with their 3-3 record overall and their 1-2 conference record. They have been struggling against some of the weaker teams in the Big 12 too, coming off a home loss to Cincinnati 19-13 in their last one. UCF has had a good offense this season, but lately they have been struggling to put up points and that is going to be a big issue against a defense like Iowa State has. UCF hasn't been that good on defense either and it has led to them falling behind in games all season, but this will be a much tougher team for them to come back against on the road. Iowa State will be able to shut down UCF with their good defense and that will allow Iowa State to pull away throughout this game at home while UCF struggles to put up points. The best way to place a bet here is on Iowa State to cover the spread in this game. 

Central Florida Iowa State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 19, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Iowa State 31 UCF 13.
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NCAAF Betting Trends


Central Florida Knights: 2-7 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. 3-8 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses. 4-8 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 6-2 UNDER off an upset loss as a favorite. 8-4 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses. 6-3 UNDER vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season.

Iowa State Cyclones: 4-0 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. 6-2 ATS in October games. 11-5 UNDER in home lined games. 6-1 UNDER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 8-3 UNDER versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 rushing yards/carry or more. 11-5 UNDER versus good offensive teams - averaging 425 yards/game or more.

Key Injuries


Central Florida Knights:  J. Davis (TE) Out - Achilles.

Iowa State Cyclones:  J. Travis (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Surges (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Bacon (LB) Questionable - Leg. D. Jackson (WR) Out - Leg.

Notable Quotes


“A lot of these guys have played a lot of football.” - Gus Malzahn on his team’s upcoming game against Iowa State this week.


“You couldn't ask for a greater night for his family.” - Matt Campbell on Rocco Becht after his team’s win against WVU in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Central Florida Knights
WR Hudson, Kobe 
WR Whittemore, Trent 
WR Johnson, Ja'Varrius
TE Pittman Jr., Randy
QB Jefferson, KJ 
RB Harvey, RJ

Iowa State Cyclones
WR Higgins, Jayden 
WR Ngoyi, Beni
WR Noel, Jaylin 
TE Brahmer, Benjamin 
TE Klotz, Stevo 
QB Becht, Rocco
RB Sama III, Abu 

Statistical Leaders


Central Florida Knights
Passing: K. Jefferson (1012)
Rushing: R. Harvey (694)
Receiving: K. Hudson (477)
Touchdowns: R. Harvey (11)

Iowa State Cyclones
Passing: R. Becht (1438)
Rushing: J. Jackson (314)
Receiving: J. Noel (528)
Touchdowns: J. Higgins (5)

Coaches:
Central Florida Knights: Gus Malzahn (4th season)
Iowa State Cyclones: Matt Campbell (9th season)