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Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/29/2024

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Sep 27, 2024
Game Time: 8:20 pm ET, Sunday, September 29, 2024
Venue:  M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD 
Where to Watch:  NBC


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bills +2.5, Ravens -2.5; Over/Under:  46.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bills +2.5, Ravens -2.5; Over/Under:  46.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bills +2.5, Ravens -2.5; Over/Under:  46.5 points

Season Record

Buffalo Bills:  3-0 (1st place, AFC East)
Baltimore Ravens:  1-2 (2nd place, AFC North)

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Recent Form
Buffalo Bills:  won their last game at home against the Jacksonville Jaguars 47-10.
Baltimore Ravens:  won their last game on the road against the Dallas Cowboys 28-25.


Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens Preview and Analysis


The Bills are entering this game with a 3-0 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Jacksonville Jaguars 47-10. Josh Allen was the starting QB and he completed 23/30 passes for 263 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Josh Allen led the team in rushing yards with 44. Khalil Shakir led the receivers with 72 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Dorian Williams led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Ja'Marcus Ingram, A.J. Epenesa, Casey Toohill, Von Miller, and Javon Solomon each led the defense in sacks with 1. Damar Hamlin came away with the only interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
The Ravens are entering this game with a 1-2 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-1 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Dallas Cowboys 28-25. Lamar Jackson was the starting QB and he completed 12/15 passes for 182 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Derrick Henry led the team in rushing yards with 151 and 2 TDs. Nelson Agholor led the receivers with 56 receiving yards on 1 reception. Kyle Hamilton led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Kyle Van Noy led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.


Bills vs Ravens Prediction

The current betting odds have the Ravens listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Ravens haven't looked great in their games this season with their 1-2 record overall, but they finally got their first win of the season in Dallas last week and they will have some momentum for this one. They started the season 0-2, but they looked a lot better in their win last week as they had a big lead before letting the Cowboys come back. Meanwhile, the Bills have looked great in their games this season with their 3-0 record overall and they have been making the case to be one of the best teams in the NFL with their blow out wins. The Bills haven't really played any good teams though and this is going to be their first real test of the season on the road against the Ravens. The Ravens looked better on defense last week and their offense was rolling so they have the talent to get the win here as they will be looking to get back to .500. The Bills have looked great and their offense has looked unstoppable, but they are bound to come back down to Earth in this game against a better defense. The Ravens will also be able to move the ball on the ground since the Bills did struggle in their season opener against a run heavy Cardinals offense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Ravens to cover the spread in this game. 

Bills Ravens Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 29, 2024 (8:20 pm ET start time) is Ravens 27 Bills 21.
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NFL Betting Trends


Buffalo Bills: 5-11 ATS off a home win. 4-10 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins. 2-8 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game. 14-4 UNDER in road games. 9-3 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 7-2 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points.

Baltimore Ravens: 6-0 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. 10-4 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 10-1 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game. 6-1 UNDER versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 6-1 UNDER after a win by 6 or less points. 11-6 UNDER after playing their last game on the road.

Key Injuries


Buffalo Bills:  K. Elam (CB) Injured - Neck. T. Grable (OL) Injured - Groin. M. Trubisky (QB) Injured - Knee. J. Allen (QB) Injured - Hand. T. Johnson (CB) Injured - Forearm. T. Bernard (LB) Injured - Pectoral. Q. Morris (TE) Injured - Shoulder.

Baltimore Ravens:  M. Pierce (NT) Injured - Shoulder. R. Smith (LB) Injured - Ankle. J. Ross (LB) Injured - Hip. A. Vorhees (OL) Injured - Ankle. P. Mekari (OL) Injured - Neck. T. Linderbaum (C) Injured - Knee. D. Faalele (T) Injured - Hip. A. Washington (SAF) Injured - Ankle. J. Armour-Davis (CB) Injured - Hamstring.

Notable Quotes


“It feels good. I’ll tell you that. I think this could have easily been a game where we had 10 days off and let up on the gas. But didn’t sense that from our guys, a lot of urgency throughout the week. We didn’t win it today. We won it in the last 10 days.” - Josh Allen after their win against the Jags in their last game. 


“Lamar was just phenomenal. Didn’t really want to get to that situation, but we did, and we came through.” - John Harbaugh after his team’s win against the Cowboys in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Buffalo Bills
WR Coleman, Keon 
WR Hollins, Mack 
WR Shakir, Khalil 
TE Kincaid, Dalton 
QB Allen, Josh 
RB Cook, James 
FB Gilliam, Reggie

Baltimore Ravens
WR Bateman, Rashod 
WR Flowers, Zay 
WR Agholor, Nelson
TE Andrews, Mark 
QB Jackson, Lamar
RB Henry, Derrick 
FB Ricard, Patrick

Statistical Leaders


Buffalo Bills
Passing: J. Allen (634)
Rushing: J. Cook (188)
Receiving: K. Shakir (168)
Touchdowns: J. Cook (4)

Baltimore Ravens
Passing: L. Jackson (702)
Rushing: D. Henry (281)
Receiving: Z. Flowers (148)
Touchdowns: D. Henry (4)

Coaches:
Buffalo Bills: Sean McDermott (8th season)
Baltimore Ravens: John Harbaugh (17th season)