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Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/12/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Saturday, Jun 11, 2022
Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Sunday, June 12, 2022
Venue:  T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA
Where to Watch:  MLB Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +125 Mariners -145; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +125 Mariners -145; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +125 Mariners -145; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
 

Season Record

Boston Red Sox:  31-28 (4th place, AL East)
Seattle Mariners:  26-32 (4th place, AL West)
 
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Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Boston Red Sox:  8-2 last 10
Seattle Mariners:  6-4 last 10
 
 
 

Boston Red Sox Analysis

The Red Sox are coming into this game with a 31-28 record overall and they are 18-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 8 of their last 9 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. They just won their 4-game series against the Los Angeles Angels 3-1 and they are playing the series finale of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Sunday. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. Michael Wacha is the starting pitcher for them on Saturday while there is no starting pitcher yet on the mound for them here on Sunday. They scored 10 runs in their last series averaging just over 2 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 10 runs against them averaging just over 2 runs allowed per game.
 

Seattle Mariners Analysis

The Mariners are coming into this game with a 26-32 record overall and they are 12-11 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. They just won their 3-game series against the Houston Astros 2-1, had Thursday off as a rest day, and they are playing the series finale of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Sunday. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. Rookie pitcher George Kirby is the starting pitcher for them on Saturday while Robbie Ray will be on the mound for them here on Sunday. He is 5-6 with a 4.97 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 3 homers, and 3 BB with 3 strikeouts on 8 hits in 5 innings played against the Houston Astros. They scored 14 runs in their last series averaging just under 5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 11 runs against them averaging just under 4 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Red Sox vs Mariners Prediction

The Mariners are coming into this game playing well in their recent games and they have been a very good team this season. They are going up against a Red Sox team that had a rough start to the season but has been playing much better in recent games. They have been hitting very well in their games but their bats have been cooling off a little in their recent games and they just had a series where they had a chance to sweep a struggling Angels team but only won each game by 1 run and allowed them to snap their streak on the last game of that series. The Mariners have been going on the road this last week winning their road series and now they are back at home where they play their best. The Red Sox do not have a pitcher announced yet but they have not had a good pitching staff this season and whoever is starting does not really matter as they will likely allow runs here anyway. The Mariners have also been a money making team over the last few seasons and they have kept that trend going this season. The best bet here is on the Mariners to win this game at home.
 
Red Sox Mariners Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, June 12, 2022 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Mariners 5 Red Sox 3.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Boston Red Sox: 77-71 (+11.3 Units) ML in road games. 16-5 (+10.8 Units) ML against AL West opponents. 11-6 OVER against AL West opponents. 
Seattle Mariners: 5-13 (-7.2 Units) ML against AL East opponents. 26-32 (-3.6 Units) ML in all games. 20-12 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125. 
 

Key Injuries

 
Boston Red Sox:  C. Sale (SP) Mid July - Ribs. J. Taylor (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. E. Hernandez (CF) Out indefinitely - Hip Flexor.
Seattle Mariners:  M. Haniger (RF) Late June - Ankle. E. White (1B) Out indefinitely - Groin. K. Lewis (CF) Out indefinitely - Concussion.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"We know he's gonna start hitting the ball in the air and the ball is gonna go and he's gonna become the hitter that we always see. This version of J.D. is still really good. On base percentage, grinding at bats, getting on base has been great." - Alex Cora after his team’s win against the Mariners on Friday.
 
 
"He's a very young pitcher and not many professional innings under his belt before this year and he's learning. We see some nights where it's just electric, unhittable and other nights that command is just a little bit off, and those are the nights it's a little bit of challenge for him." - Scott Servais after his team’s win against the Red Sox on Friday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Boston Red Sox
Rob Refsnyder (R) RF
Rafael Devers (L) 3B
J.D. Martinez (R) DH
Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
Trevor Story (R) 2B
Franchy Cordero (L) LF
Christian Vazquez (R) C
Jackie Bradley Jr. (L) CF
Bobby Dalbec (R) 1B
 
Seattle Mariners
Jesse Winker (L) LF
Ty France (R) 1B
Julio Rodriguez (R) CF
J.P. Crawford (L) SS
Eugenio Suarez (R) 3B
Dylan Moore (R) RF
Abraham Toro (S) 2B
Luis Torrens (R) DH
Cal Raleigh (S) C
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Boston Red Sox
Batting Average:  Jaylin Davis (.500)
Hits:  Rafael Devers (81)
Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (12)
RBI:  Trevor Story (41)
Stolen Bases:  Trevor Story (8)
Wins:  Nick Pivetta (5)
Saves:  Matt Strahm (3)
ERA:  Kevin Plawecki (0.00)
 
Seattle Mariners
Batting Average:  Ty France (.330)
Hits:  Ty France (76)
Home Runs:  Eugenio Suarez (11)
RBI:  Ty France (38)
Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodriguez (17)
Wins:  Logan Gilbert (6)
Saves:  Paul Sewald (4)
ERA:  Justus Sheffield (0.00)
 
Managers:
Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (4th season)
Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (7th season)