Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/07/2024

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Sunday, July 7, 2024

Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY

Where to Watch:  YES

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +136, Yankees -162; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +135, Yankees -160; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +135, Yankees -160; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Boston Red Sox:  48-39 (3rd place, AL East)

New York Yankees:  54-36 (2nd place, AL East)

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Boston Red Sox:  7-3 last 10

New York Yankees:  2-8 last 10

The Red Sox are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Miami Marlins 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 48-39 record overall and have a road record of 28-16. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Red Sox won the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .741 OPS. Josh Winckowski is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Kutter Crawford is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 4-7 with a 3.47 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 7 Ks on 3 hits through 6 IP against the Miami Marlins.

The Yankees are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-36 record overall and have a home record of 24-18. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Yankees lost the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .755 OPS. Gerrit Cole is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Luis Gil is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 9-4 with a 3.41 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 1 homer, and 3 BB with 3 strikeouts on 2 hits through 4 innings played against the Cincinnati Reds.

The current betting odds have the Red Sox listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Red Sox had a terrible start to the season, but they have looked a lot better in their games lately. They have a 48-39 record overall and have looked a lot better in their road games with their 28-16 road record. Meanwhile, the Yankees have looked great in their games this season with their 54-36 record overall which leads the AL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB, but they have been in a big slump lately. They are 24-18 in their home games this year, but they are 2-8 in their last 10 games and just got swept by the Reds at home in their last series. The Red Sox have been the complete opposite though, going 7-3 in their last 10 games and starting to get hot now. They will have Crawford on the mound here and he has been really good this season with his 4-7 record and his 3.47 ERA. He hasn't been giving up many runs all year and only gave up 1 earned run in his last start. The team has also had success with him as they have won 2 of their last 3 games with him starting, and they always bring their best effort for the Yankees. The Yankees will have Gil on the mound here and after a great start to the season, he has looked terrible lately. He is 9-4 with a 3.41 ERA this season, but a lot of those losses have come lately as the team has lost 3 games in a row with him starting. He just gave up 4 earned runs in his last start too and has been giving up a ton in his starts lately. The Red Sox have already been the hotter team coming into this series and beat the Yankees in a series a few weeks ago, but they also have the better pitching matchup and will be looking to take another series from them. The best way to place a bet here is on the Red Sox to win this game.

Red Sox Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 7, 2024 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Red Sox 7 Yankees 3.

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Boston Red Sox: 27-15 (+13.05 units) on the moneyline in their last 42 away games. 45-43 (+4.35 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 88 games. 29-17 to the over in their last 46 games. 

New York Yankees: 6-15 (-16.70 units) on the moneyline in their last 21 games. 25-9 to the over in their last 34 games. 41-27 to the over with their first 5 team total in their last 68 games.

Boston Red Sox:  V. Grissom (2B) - Hamstring. G. Whitlock (SP) - Oblique. T. Casas (1B) - Rib. T. Story (SS) - Shoulder. B. Mata (SP) - Hamstring. L. Hendriks (RP) - Elbow. C. Murphy (RP) - Elbow. L. Giolito (SP) - Elbow.

New York Yankees:  G. Stanton (DH) - Hamstring. A. Rizzo (1B) - Wrist. C. Poteet (SP) - Tricep. I. Hamilton (RP) - Lat. C. Schmidt (SP) - Lat. J. Berti (SS) - Calf. N. Burdi (RP) - Hip. J. Loáisiga (RP) - Elbow. J. Brubaker (SP) - Elbow. L. Trivino (RP) - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) - Back.

“I always was a Red Sox fan and these type of games (are) the games I always dream about, having those at-bats. Those are the type of games I really wanted to be in.” - Ceddane Rafaela after their win against the Yankees in their game on Friday.

“It's a difficult time and we've got to dig down and quick turnaround tomorrow, get ready to play and find out what we're made of a little bit. You're going to be tested all the time with tough spots in the season. Which clearly we are right now.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s loss against the Red Sox in their game on Friday.

J Duran (L) LF

D Hamilton (L) SS

W Abreu (L) RF

R Devers (L) 3B

E Valdez (L) 2B

M Yoshida (L) DH

R McGuire (L) C

Do Smith (L) 1B

C Rafaela (R) CF

B Rice (L) 1B

J Soto (L) DH

A Judge (R) RF

A Verdugo (L) LF

A Volpe (R) SS

T Grisham (L) CF

J Trevino (R) C

O Cabrera (S) 2B

D LeMahieu (R) 3B

Batting Average:  Connor Wong (.316)

Hits:  Jarren Duran (103)

Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (18)

RBI:  Rafael Devers (51)

Stolen Bases:  David Hamilton (23)

Wins:  Brayan Bello (8)

Saves:  Kenley Jansen (17)

ERA:  Brennan Bernardino (1.17)

Batting Average:  Taylor Trammell (1.000)

Hits:  Aaron Judge (98)

Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (32)

RBI:  Aaron Judge (83)

Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (15)

Wins:  Carlos Rodón (9)

Saves:  Clay Holmes (19)

ERA:  Jonathan Loáisiga (0.00)

Managers:

Boston Red Sox: Álex Cora (4th season)

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (7th season)