Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/21/2024

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Sunday, July 21, 2024

Venue:  Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +100, Dodgers -120; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +100, Dodgers -120; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +100, Dodgers -120; Over/Under:  9 runs

Boston Red Sox:  53-43 (3rd place, AL East)

Los Angeles Dodgers:  57-41 (1st place, NL West)

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Boston Red Sox:  6-4 last 10

Los Angeles Dodgers:  4-6 last 10

The Red Sox are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Kansas City Royals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 53-43 record overall and have a road record of 29-18. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Red Sox lost the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .747 OPS. Brayan Bello is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Kutter Crawford is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 6-7 with a 3.04 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 4 Ks on 3 hits through 7 IP against the Kansas City Royals.

The Dodgers are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-41 record overall and have a home record of 29-19. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Dodgers won the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .766 OPS. Rookie pitcher Justin Wrobleski is their starting pitcher on Saturday while James Paxton is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 7-2 with a 4.38 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 0 homers, and 4 BB with 1 strikeout on 5 hits through 3.2 innings played against the Detroit Tigers.

The current betting odds have the Red Sox listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dodgers have looked great in their games this season with their 57-41 record overall which has them leading the NL West with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked great in their home games with their 29-19 home record. Meanwhile, the Red Sox have looked good in their games this season with their 53-43 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the AL East, but now fighting for a Wild Card spot after being under .500 and well out of the playoff race for most of the year. They have also looked better in their road games with their 29-18 road record and this is a game they are going to have the better pitching matchup. The Red Sox are going with Crawford in this game and he is 6-7 with a 3.04 ERA. He has looked really good in his starts lately since he hasn't been giving up many runs, giving up no runs in his last start, and the team has been finding success with him since they have won 3 games in a row with him starting. The Dodgers are going to have Paxton on the mound here and they have had success with him this year since he is 7-2 and the team has won 2 games in a row with him starting. He hasn't been keeping runs off the board though with his 4.38 ERA and he also gave up 3 earned runs in his last start which was against the Tigers who have one of the weakest offenses in the MLB. The Dodgers managed to take the 1st game in this series with a blown lead late by the Red Sox, but they will have some better pitching in this game and they also have an offense that can keep up with the Dodgers. The best way to place a bet here is on the Red Sox to win this game.

Red Sox Dodgers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 21, 2024 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Red Sox 4 Dodgers 3.

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Boston Red Sox: 28-17 (+12.15 units) on the moneyline in their last 45 away games. 51-46 (+7.30 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 97 games. 26-18 to the over in their last 44 games. 

Los Angeles Dodgers: 25-35 (-22 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 60 games. 27-34 (-16.25 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 61 games. 27-20 to the over in their last 47 home games.

Boston Red Sox:  J. Slaten (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. C. Martin (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. L. Hendriks (RP) Early August - Elbow. G. Whitlock (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. C. Murphy (RP) out for season - Elbow. B. Mata (SP) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. V. Grissom (2B) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. L. Giolito (SP) out for season - Elbow. T. Casas (3B) Out indefinitely - Ribs. T. Story (2B) out for season - Shoulder.

Los Angeles Dodgers:  D. May (SP) out of season - Elbow. Y. Yamamoto (SP) Out indefinitely - Tricep. T. Glasnow (SP) Late July - Back. J. Heyward (RF) Out indefinitely - Knee. M. Muncy (3B) Out indefinitely - Oblique. W. Buehler (SP) Out indefinitely - Hip. M. Betts (SS) Out indefinitely - Hand. M. Grove (SP) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. J. Kelly (RP) Ques Sat - Shoulder. R. Brasier (RP) Out indefinitely - Calf. E. Sheehan (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Kershaw (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. B. Graterol (RP) Early August - Shoulder. T. Gonsolin (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Brogdon (RP) Out indefinitely - Foot.

“The kid is locked in. Just take care of him this week. He's not going to Texas for a good reason, right. He wants to be ready for the second part, getting treatment during the week and keeping healthy.” - Alex Cora after his team’s win against the Royals in their game on Sunday.

“It was the opportunity to drive in runs, that’s all I care about. You can walk all the people you want. It’s part of the game. It’s strategy. Sinkerballer, throw a sinker in and I can roll it over for a double play. It’s the right move. Sometimes, it doesn’t work.” - Freddie Freeman after their win against the Red Sox in their game on Friday.

J Duran (L) CF

D Hamilton (L) 2B

T O'Neill (R) LF

R Devers (L) 3B

M Yoshida (L) DH

W Abreu (L) RF

Do Smith (L) 1B

C Rafaela (R) SS

R McGuire (L) C

S Ohtani (L) DH

W Smith (R) C

F Freeman (L) 1B

T Hernández (R) RF

A Pages (R) CF

M Rojas (R) SS

G Lux (L) 2B

M Vargas (R) LF

C Taylor (R) 3B

Batting Average:  Connor Wong (.306)

Hits:  Jarren Duran (115)

Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (23)

RBI:  Rafael Devers (61)

Stolen Bases:  David Hamilton (23)

Wins:  Brayan Bello (10)

Saves:  Kenley Jansen (19)

ERA:  Zack Kelly (1.96)

Batting Average:  Shohei Ohtani (.316)

Hits:  Shohei Ohtani (118)

Home Runs:  Shohei Ohtani (29)

RBI:  Shohei Ohtani (69)

Stolen Bases:  Shohei Ohtani (23)

Wins:  Gavin Stone (9)

Saves:  Evan Phillips (14)

ERA:  Eduardo Salazar (0.00)

Managers:

Boston Red Sox: Álex Cora (4th season)

Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (9th season)