Boston College Eagles vs SMU Mustangs Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/16/2024

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 16, 2024

Venue:  Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Dallas, TX 

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  BC +16.5, SMU -16.5; Over/Under:  54 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  BC +16.5, SMU -16.5; Over/Under:  54 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  BC +16.5, SMU -16.5; Over/Under:  53.5 points

Boston College Eagles:  5-4 (2-3) (12th place, ACC)

SMU Mustangs:  8-1 (5-0) (1st place, ACC)

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Boston College Eagles:  won their last game at home against the Syracuse Orange 37-31.

SMU Mustangs:  won their last game at home against the Pittsburgh Panthers 48-25.

Boston College is entering this game with a 5-4 record overall and they have a 2-3 record in their conference games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Syracuse 37-31. Thomas Castellanos was the starting QB and he completed 2/7 passes for 14 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception before getting replaced by Grayson James who completed 5/6 passes for 51 yards and 1 TD. Kye Robichaux led the team in rushing yards with 198 and 2 TDs. Lewis Bond led the receivers with 42 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Max Tucker led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Quintayvious Hutchins and Donovan Ezeiruaku each led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

SMU is entering this game with an 8-1 record overall and they have a 5-0 record in their conference games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 4-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Pittsburgh 48-25. Kevin Jennings was the starting QB and he completed 17/25 passes for 306 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Brashard Smith led the team in rushing yards with 161 and 2 TDs. Matthew Hibner led the receivers with 108 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Ahmaad Moses led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Jared Harrison-Hunte, Jahfari Harvey, and Isaiah Smith each led the defense in sacks with 1. Jonathan McGill came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have SMU listed as a 16.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. SMU has looked great in their games this season with their 8-1 record overall and their 5-0 conference record which now has them leading the ACC. They took down Pittsburgh in their last game who was undefeated at the time and now they are coming out of their bye week with a real chance to make the ACC Championship. Meanwhile, Boston College hasn't looked great in their games this season with their 5-4 record overall and their 2-3 conference record which has them in the bottom half of the ACC. They got off to a hot start this season, but they struggled a lot more when they hit conference play and haven't looked great lately. They are coming off a win in their last one, but they barely beat a struggling Syracuse team in that game. SMU has been good on defense this season, but their offense has been rolling lately with the number of points they have been putting up in their games. They also have 1 loss all season which came against BYU who is still an undefeated team. SMU is looking to make a splash in their first ACC season and after what happened in the conference the last 2 weeks, they are only going to be more motivated coming out of their bye week. Boston College has been struggling in their games lately and they won't have the offense to compete with SMU here. The best way to place a bet here is on SMU to cover the spread in this game. 

Boston College SMU Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 16, 2024 (3:30 pm ET start time) is SMU 45 BC 17.

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Boston College Eagles: 3-6 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 1-3 ATS after a 2 game home stand. 5-9 1H ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 6-3 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 6-3 1H UNDER vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. 

SMU Mustangs: 11-6 ATS in home lined games. 4-0 ATS as a home favorite of 14.5 to 21 points. 12-6 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 6-2 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 9-4 UNDER off a home win. 8-4 1H UNDER as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. 9-3 1H UNDER off a home win.

Boston College Eagles:  T. Castellanos (QB) Questionable - Lower Body. T. Richard (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Jackson (CB) Out - Knee. A. Broome (RB) Out - Knee.

SMU Mustangs:  A. Davis (CB) Questionable - Head. J. Bailey (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Knighton (RB) Out - Knee. R. Maryland (TE) Out - Knee. R. Brinson (WR) Questionable - Knee. Z. Minors (RB) Questionable - Lower Body. C. Wheaton (RB) Out - Knee.

“I think that's what we have to be, right? We're in Boston. We're in a city that's built on toughness, determination and grittiness, overcome adversity. That's what we are.” - Bill O’Brien after his team’s win against Syracuse in their last game. 

“It just shows when you worry about taking care of your own business, what can happen.” - Rhett Lashlee after his team’s win against Pitt in their last game. 

WR Harris, Reed

WR Bradley, Jerand 

WR Bond, Lewis 

TE Franklin, Jeremiah 

QB Castellanos, Thomas

RB Robichaux, Kye

WR Dixon, Moochie 

WR Hudson, Jordan 

WR Bailey, Jake

TE Maryland, RJ

QB Jennings, Kevin

RB Smith, Brashard

Passing: T. Castellanos (1366)

Rushing: K. Robichaux (471)

Receiving: L. Bond (438)

Touchdowns: K. Robichaux (7)

Passing: K. Jennings (1900)

Rushing: B. Smith (906)

Receiving: R. Maryland (359)

Touchdowns: B. Smith (13)

Coaches:

Boston College Eagles: Bill O'Brien (1st season)

SMU Mustangs: Rhett Lashlee (3rd season)