Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/14/2024

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Friday, June 14, 2024

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX 

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Celtics -1, Mavericks +1; Over/Under:  211.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Celtics -1, Mavericks +1; Over/Under:  211.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Celtics -1.5, Mavericks +1.5; Over/Under:  211.5 points

Boston Celtics:  64-18 (1st place, Atlantic Division)

Dallas Mavericks:  50-32 (1st place, Southwest Division)

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Boston Celtics:  10-0 last 10

Dallas Mavericks:  6-4 last 10

The Celtics are entering this game with a 64-18 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 27-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 10 game winning streak with wins coming against the Cleveland Cavaliers 3 times in a row, the Indiana Pacers 4 times in a row, and the Dallas Mavericks in their last 3 games. In their last game against the Mavericks in game 3 of this series, Jayson Tatum led the team in points in that game with 31 while Jaylen Brown was next on the team with 30 points. Jaylen Brown led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Jaylen Brown led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 46.3% from the field, 37% from 3-point range, and 92.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.2 PPG against them. The Celtics have an ATS record of 50-43-6 this season and their O/U record is 51-48.

The Mavericks are entering this game with a 50-32 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 25-16 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with losses coming against the Boston Celtics in their last 3 games. In their last game against the Celtics in game 3 of this series, Kyrie Irving led the team in points in that game with 35 while Luka Dončić was next on the team with 27 points. Luka Dončić led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Dereck Lively II led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 44.2% from the field, 36% from 3-point range, and 87.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.6 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 59-42-1 this season and their O/U record is 45-56-1.

The current betting odds have the Celtics listed as a 1 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 4 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Celtics from the Eastern Conference and the 5th seeded Mavericks from the Western Conference for the NBA Finals. The Celtics have a 3-0 series lead after winning game 3 of this series on the road. All hope seems lost for the Mavericks coming into this one. No team in the NBA has ever come back from a 3-0 series deficit so this series feels like it is already over with the way Boston has looked. The Mavericks have had no answer for the Celtics in any of the games and they have struggled to even lead against this Celtics team that was the best NBA team during the regular season. The Celtics also have too much momentum on their side now with 10 wins in a row as they have been locked in on winning this championship all season. The Celtics swept the Pacers in the Eastern Conference Finals and they have shown in this series that the Mavericks are nowhere near their level of play. The Celtics were the best team in the NBA all season and they are going to close out this series with a much deserved NBA Championship. The best way to place a bet here is on the Celtics to cover the spread in this game and sweep the series. 

Celtics Mavericks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, June 14, 2024 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Celtics 105 Mavericks 97.

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Boston Celtics: 22-9 ATS against Southwest division opponents. 14-7 ATS in the finals. 28-20 ATS after a game where they covered the spread. 10-3 UNDER against Southwest division opponents. 15-7 UNDER in the finals. 

Dallas Mavericks: 2-5 ATS revenging 4 or more losses vs opponent in last 2 years. 0-3 ATS in the 4th game of a playoff series. 12-18 ATS against Atlantic division opponents. 13-4 UNDER at home when the line is +3 to -3. 6-0 UNDER in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5. 8-4 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games.

Boston Celtics:  K. Porzingis (PF) Out Fri - Leg.

Dallas Mavericks:  G. Brown III (SF) Out indefinitely - Personal.

“You’ve got to understand we are just as vulnerable if not more vulnerable than they are. When you understand that you’re vulnerable and your back’s against the wall, you’ve got to fight. And so that’s the mindset that we have to have.” - Joe Mazzulla after his team’s win against the Mavericks in game 3 of this series on Wednesday.

“We had a good chance. We were close. Just didn’t get it. I wish I was out there.” - Luka Doncic after their loss against the Celtics in game 3 of this series on Wednesday.

PG Jrue Holiday

SG Derrick White

SF Jaylen Brown

PF Jayson Tatum

C Al Horford

PG Luka Doncic

SG Kyrie Irving

SF Derrick Jones Jr.

PF P.J. Washington 

C Daniel Gafford

PPG: J. Tatum (26.9)

APG: D. White (5.2)

Reb/G: J. Tatum (8.1)

PPG: L. Doncic (33.9)

APG: L. Doncic (9.8)

Reb/G: L. Doncic (9.2)

Coaches:

Boston Celtics: Joe Mazzulla (2nd season)

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (3rd season)