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Baltimore Ravens vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/21/2024

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Oct 18, 2024
Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Monday, October 21, 2024
Venue:  Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Ravens -3.5, Buccaneers +3.5; Over/Under:  49.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Ravens -3.5, Buccaneers +3.5; Over/Under:  49.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Ravens -3.5, Buccaneers +3.5; Over/Under:  49.5 points

Season Record

Baltimore Ravens:  4-2 (1st place, AFC North)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  4-2 (2nd place, NFC South)

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Recent Form
Baltimore Ravens:  won their last game at home against the Washington Commanders 30-23.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  won their last game on the road against the New Orleans Saints 51-27.


Baltimore Ravens vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Preview and Analysis


The Ravens are entering this game with a 4-2 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Washington Commanders 30-23. Lamar Jackson was the starting QB and he completed 20/26 passes for 323 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Derrick Henry led the team in rushing yards with 132 and 2 TDs. Zay Flowers led the receivers with 132 receiving yards on 9 receptions. Marlon Humphrey led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Travis Jones and Yannick Ngakoue each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
The Buccaneers are entering this game with a 4-2 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the New Orleans Saints 51-27. Baker Mayfield was the starting QB and he completed 24/36 passes for 325 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Sean Tucker led the team in rushing yards with 136 and 1 TD. Chris Godwin led the receivers with 125 receiving yards on 11 receptions and 2 TDs. Lavonte David led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Lavonte David, Vita Vea, Calijah Kancey, and William Gholston each led the defense in sacks with 1. Tykee Smith and Zyon McCollum each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.


Ravens vs Buccaneers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Ravens listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Ravens have looked really good in their games this season with their 4-2 record overall. They started the season 0-2, but now they have won 4 games in a row and have all the momentum on their side. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers have also looked good in their games this season with their 4-2 record overall. They are coming off a 51-27 win in their last one, but they aren't going to be able to put up those points in this game. The Ravens haven't looked great on defense lately, but they do have a lot of good players on this defense and it is only a matter of time until they get things together and match the level that this offense has been playing at. The Bucs have also looked great on offense in their games, but their defense has been a really big problems as it is not as good as it has been in previous years. They have been giving up a ton of points all season and their defense was a big reason why they blew their lead against the Falcons. The Ravens have been rolling lately and as good as the Bucs have been on offense, Lamar Jackson is playing like the best QB in the NFL right now and he will bring his best effort for this Monday night game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Ravens to cover the spread in this game. 

Ravens Buccaneers Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Monday, October 21, 2024 (8:15 pm ET start time) is Ravens 34 Buccaneers 24.
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NFL Betting Trends


Baltimore Ravens: 14-6 ATS in road games. 8-3 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less. 9-0 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. 13-1 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game. 12-6 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 7-3 UNDER vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game. 7-3 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 350 yards/game or more.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 7-13 ATS in home games. 0-5 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5. 4-10 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65 yards/play or more. 26-17 UNDER in all games. 6-2 UNDER after a win by 14 or more points. 8-2 UNDER vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game.

Key Injuries


Baltimore Ravens:  A. Maulet (CB) Injured - knee. B. Urban (DE) Injured - Illness. M. Harrison (LB) Injured - Groin. B. Washington (DT) Injured - Knee. D. Harty (WR) Injured - Knee. R. Ali (RB) Injured - Ankle.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  W. Gholston (DL) Injured - Knee. M. Evans (WR) Injured - Hamstring. J. Dean (CB) Injured - Hamstring. A. Winfield (SAF) Injured - Foot. E. Brown (DE) Injured - Ribs. P. Durham (TE) Injured - Calf. C. Izien (SAF) Injured - Elbow. T. Palmer (WR) Injured - Concussion. R. Jarrett (WR) Injured - Knee. R. White (RB) Injured - Foot. K. Johnson (WR) Injured - Ankle. C. Braswell (OLB) Injured - Shoulder. G. Barton (C) Injured - Hamstring.

Notable Quotes


“All three phases contributed to the win when they had to. Guys answered today in a lot of ways.” - John Harbaugh after his team’s win against the Commanders in their last game. 


“The last few weeks have been tough for the Tampa area and all of South Florida. Today was a team embracing everything that everybody was going through, ups and downs and handling it the best way you can, fighting through it and trying to make it work.” - Baker Mayfield after their win against the Saints in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Baltimore Ravens
WR Bateman, Rashod 
WR Flowers, Zay 
WR Agholor, Nelson
TE Andrews, Mark 
QB Jackson, Lamar
RB Henry, Derrick 
FB Ricard, Patrick

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
WR Evans, Mike 
WR Shepard, Sterling 
WR Godwin, Chris 
TE Otton, Cade 
QB Mayfield, Baker
RB Irving, Bucky

Statistical Leaders


Baltimore Ravens
Passing: L. Jackson (1529)
Rushing: D. Henry (704)
Receiving: Z. Flowers (401)
Touchdowns: D. Henry (9)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Passing: B. Mayfield (1489)
Rushing: B. Irving (328)
Receiving: C. Godwin (511)
Touchdowns: M. Evans (5)

Coaches:
Baltimore Ravens: John Harbaugh (17th season)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Todd Bowles (3rd season)