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Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/16/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Wednesday, Jun 15, 2022
Game Time: 3:07 pm ET, Thursday, June 16, 2022
Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Where to Watch:  SNET

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +215, Blue Jays -265; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +215, Blue Jays -265; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +215, Blue Jays -265; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
 

Season Record

Baltimore Orioles:  27-36 (5th place, AL East)
Toronto Blue Jays:  36-25 (2nd place, AL East)
 
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Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Baltimore Orioles:  5-5 last 10
Toronto Blue Jays:  6-4 last 10
 
 
 

Baltimore Orioles Analysis

The Orioles are coming into this game with a 27-36 record overall and they are 12-21 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. They just split their 4-game series against the Kansas City Royals 2-2 and they are playing the series finale of a 4-game series with the Blue Jays on Thursday. This will be the 4th game of the series on Thursday with the 3rd game still to be played on Wednesday. Bruce Zimmermann is the starting pitcher for them on Wednesday while Tyler Wells will be on the mound for them here on Thursday. He is 3-4 with a 3.86 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him starting. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 0 HRs, and 2 BB with 4 Ks on 5 hits in 6 IP against the Kansas City Royals. They scored 22 runs in their last series averaging just over 5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 26 runs against them averaging just over 6 runs allowed per game.
 

Toronto Blue Jays Analysis

The Blue Jays are coming into this game with a 36-25 record overall and they are 19-11 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 2 game winning streak that they were on. They just won their 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers 2-1 and they are playing the series finale of a 4-game series with the Orioles on Thursday. This will be the 4th game of the series on Thursday with the 3rd game still to be played on Wednesday. José Berríos is the starting pitcher for them on Wednesday while Kevin Gausman will be on the mound for them here on Thursday. He is 5-5 with a 2.67 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 1 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 4 strikeouts on 6 hits in 6 innings played against the Detroit Tigers. They scored 17 runs in their last series averaging just under 6 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 4 runs against them averaging just over 1 run allowed per game.
 

 

Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction

The Blue Jays are coming into this game as a massive favorite with the current betting odds. They have been playing very well recently and they are scoring a lot of runs in their games as well. They just dropped a game at home against the Orioles in this series but 1 game is all they should really be losing here and they almost came back in the game they lost but bad pitching put them in a hole from the start. They will have a much better option in Gausman starting here though and Gausman has had some rough starts recently but he is coming off of a much better start in his last game and has figured out some of the problems he was dealing with. They are going up against an Orioles team that is at the bottom of their division and has not been a very good team on the road this season. They have Wells on the mound here and he has not been bad this season but the Jays lineup is hitting very well right now and these are games they need to win at home if they want to be a major force in this league. The best bet here is on the Blue Jays to win this game on the runline.
 
Orioles Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, June 16, 2022 (3:07 pm ET start time) is Blue Jays 8 Orioles 3.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Baltimore Orioles: 24-33 (+4.4 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 27-36 (+4.2 Units) ML in all games. 24-14 UNDER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5. 
Toronto Blue Jays: 6-7 (-10.6 Units) ML as a favorite of -200 or more. 21-14 UNDER as a home favorite of -250 to -330. 10-6 UNDER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5.
 

Key Injuries

 
Baltimore Orioles:  R. Urias (SS) Late June - Upper Body. T. Lakins Sr. (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Krehbiel (RP) Prob Sat - Shoulder.
Toronto Blue Jays:  D. Jansen (C) Out indefinitely - Finger. H. Ryu (SP) out for season - Elbow. N. Pearson (SP) Late June - Illness.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"He had a great night offensively." - Brandon Hyde on Mountcastle after his team’s win against the Blue Jays on Tuesday.
 
 
"When he does throw strikes, he gets people out. But when you pitch behind and you walk people, people are going to score." - Charlie Montoyo after his team’s loss against the Orioles on Tuesday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Baltimore Orioles
Cedric Mullins (L) CF
Austin Hays (R) RF
Ryan Mountcastle (R) 1B
Adley Rutschman (S) DH
Tyler Nevin (R) 3B
Ryan McKenna (R) LF
Jorge Mateo (R) SS
Robinson Chirinos (R) C
Richie Martin (R) 2B
 
Toronto Blue Jays
George Springer (R) DH
Bo Bichette (R) SS
Vladimir Guerrero (R) 1B
Teoscar Hernandez (R) RF
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) LF
Raimel Tapia (L) CF
Matt Chapman (R) 3B
Gabriel Moreno (R) C
Cavan Biggio (L) 2B
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Richie Martin (.333)
Hits:  Austin Hays (64)
Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (11)
RBI:  Austin Hays (35)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (16)
Wins:  Cionel Perez (4)
Saves:  Jorge Lopez (9)
ERA:  Nick Vespi (0.00)
 
Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  Gabriel Moreno (.364)
Hits:  Bo Bichette (68)
Home Runs:  Vladimir Guerrero (15)
RBI:  Vladimir Guerrero (37)
Stolen Bases:  Bo Bichette (4)
Wins:  Alek Manoah (8)
Saves:  Jordan Romano (16)
ERA:  Bowden Francis (0.00)
 
Managers:
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (4th season)
Toronto Blue Jays: Charlie Montoyo (4th season)