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Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/24/2024

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Sep 23, 2024
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Tuesday, September 24, 2024
Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY 
Where to Watch:  MASN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +136, Yankees -162; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +135, Yankees -160; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +135, Yankees -160; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

Baltimore Orioles:  86-70 (2nd place, AL East)
New York Yankees:  92-64 (1st place, AL East)

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Recent Form
Baltimore Orioles:  3-7 last 10
New York Yankees:  8-2 last 10



Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Preview and Analysis


The Orioles are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with an 86-70 record overall and have a road record of 42-33. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .748 OPS. Albert Suárez was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Dean Kremer is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 7-10 with a 4.19 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 2 HR, and 0 BB with 7 Ks on 7 hits through 6 IP against the San Francisco Giants.

The Yankees are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Oakland Athletics 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 92-64 record overall and have a home record of 42-33. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .763 OPS. Luis Gil was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Clarke Schmidt is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 5-4 with a 2.37 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 7 strikeouts on 6 hits through 5 innings played against the Seattle Mariners.


Orioles vs Yankees Prediction

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked really good in their games this season with their 92-64 record overall which leads the AL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked good in their home games with their 42-33 home record. Meanwhile, the Orioles have looked good in their games this season with their 86-70 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL East and fighting for a Wild Card spot. They have also looked good in their road games with their 42-33 road record this season. This is a big series that could end up deciding who wins the AL East. The Yankees have already clinched a playoff spot while the Orioles haven't, but the Yankees can seal the division in this series so they still have plenty to play for. They have looked great in their games lately too, going 8-2 in their last 10 games while the Orioles are only 3-7. Schmidt is on the mound for the Yankees here and he has looked good with his 5-4 record and his 2.37 ERA. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start and that has been a common theme for him all season. The team has also won 2 of their last 3 games with him starting and they have been really hot lately. The Orioles are going with Kremer and he is 7-10 with a 4.19 ERA. He gave up 4 earned runs in his last start and the team has lost 2 games in a row with him starting as he hasn't looked good lately. The Yankees will want to lock up the division in this home series and they have been the hotter team lately with the better pitching matchup too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game. 

Orioles Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, September 24, 2024 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Yankees 8 Orioles 2.
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MLB Betting Trends


Baltimore Orioles: 6-2 (+6.5 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +125 to +175. 30-18 (+7.6 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 26-11 (+12.9 units) on the moneyline vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better. 22-15 OVER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5. 64-39 OVER against right-handed starters. 24-16 OVER vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season.

New York Yankees: 42-33 (-13.5 units) on the moneyline in home games. 41-31 (-12.7 units) on the moneyline as a home favorite of -110 or higher. 61-50 (-12.2 units) on the moneyline vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better. 39-25 OVER as a favorite of -125 to -175. 25-18 OVER against division opponents. 

Key Injuries


Baltimore Orioles:  B. Smith (RP) Undefined - Groin. Z. Eflin (SP) Out - Shoulder. J. Mateo (SS) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. R. Mountcastle (1B) Ten Day IL - Wrist. G. Rodriguez (SP) Undefined - Back. K. Bradish (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. T. Wells (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Means (SP) Out - Elbow. F. Bautista (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

New York Yankees:  J. Cousins (RP) Undefined - Upper Body. L. Trivino (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. D. LeMahieu (2B) Ten Day IL - Hip. J. Brubaker (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Loaisiga (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“We had a great chance to win last night, didn't get it done. We had a chance today also. I thought we just had some unfortunate breaks today.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s loss against the Tigers in their game on Sunday.


“Hopefully it's rocking.” - Aaron Boone on the stadium for this game after his team’s win against the A’s in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Baltimore Orioles
Gunnar Henderson (L) SS
Jordan Westburg (R) 2B
Anthony Santander (S) RF
Colton Cowser (L) LF
Adley Rutschman (S) C
Ryan O'Hearn (L) 1B
Heston Kjerstad (L) DH
Ramón Urías (R) 3B
Cedric Mullins (L) CF

New York Yankees
Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
Juan Soto (L) RF
Aaron Judge (R) CF
Austin Wells (L) C
Giancarlo Stanton (R) DH
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) 3B
Jasson Domínguez (S) LF
Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
Anthony Volpe (R) SS

Statistical Leaders


Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Cristian Pache (1.000)
Hits:  Gunnar Henderson (173)
Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (43)
RBI:  Anthony Santander (99)
Stolen Bases:  Cedric Mullins (30)
Wins:  Corbin Burnes (15)
Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (23)
ERA:  Vinny Nittoli (0.00)

New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Taylor Trammell (1.000)
Hits:  Aaron Judge (176)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (55)
RBI:  Aaron Judge (138)
Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (27)
Wins:  Carlos Rodón (16)
Saves:  Clay Holmes (29)
ERA:  Jonathan Loáisiga (0.00)

Managers:
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (6th season)
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (7th season)