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Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/19/2024

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Jun 18, 2024
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Wednesday, June 19, 2024
Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Where to Watch:  Amazon Prime Video


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +150, Yankees -180; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +150, Yankees -180; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +150, Yankees -180; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

Baltimore Orioles:  47-24 (2nd place, AL East)
New York Yankees:  50-24 (1st place, AL East)

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Recent Form
Baltimore Orioles:  8-2 last 10
New York Yankees:  5-5 last 10



Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Preview and Analysis


The Orioles are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 47-24 record overall and have a road record of 22-10. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Wednesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .761 OPS. Albert Suárez is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Cade Povich is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 0-1 with a 4.76 ERA this season. His team won their last game this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 0 BB with 6 Ks on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Atlanta Braves.

The Yankees are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 50-24 record overall and have a home record of 22-10. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .767 OPS. Nestor Cortes is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Gerrit Cole is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA this season. He has been injured all season and will be making his season debut in this game.


Orioles vs Yankees Prediction

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles have looked really good in their games this season with their 47-24 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL East and right behind the Yankees. They have also looked great in their road games with their 22-10 road record. Meanwhile, the Yankees have looked great in their games this season with their 50-24 record overall which has them leading the AL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked great in their home games with their 22-10 home record. The Yankees are coming off a series loss to the Red Sox in their last one but they will be looking to bounce back in a big way so they don't lose back-to-back series' against division opponents. Losing to the Red Sox is always disappointing for the Yankees, but this is a much bigger series for them since it is the Orioles who are right behind them in the AL East, and this is a chance for the Yankees to pull away a bit in the division race. The Yankees are going to have Cole making his season debut in this game as he is coming back from injury, but even without him playing in a game this season, they have the better pitching matchup in this one. The Orioles are going with Povich in this game and he has only made 2 starts this season. He gave up no runs in his last one, but he is still 0-1 with a 4.76 ERA since he gave up a lot of runs in his 1st start. He pitched well against the Braves in his last start, but the Yankees have a much better offense this year and they are going to get to him for some runs. Cole is also the more reliable starter and he will be looking to start his season on the right foot. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game. 

Orioles Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 19, 2024 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Yankees 6 Orioles 1.
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MLB Betting Trends


Baltimore Orioles: 47-24 (+13.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 22-10 (+9.2 units) on the moneyline in road games. 17-6 (+9 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 20-12 OVER when the total is 8 to 8.5. 26-17 OVER against right-handed starters. 35-26 OVER in all games.

New York Yankees: 96-68 (-4.2 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -125 to -175. 61-47 (-8.6 units) on the moneyline at home when the total is 8 to 8.5. 78-69 (-6.5 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 20-12 OVER as a favorite of -125 to -175. 10-4 OVER in June games. GERRIT COLE is 9-3 OVER when the total is 8.5 to 10.

Key Injuries


Baltimore Orioles:  K. Bradish (SP) Early July - Elbow. J. Holliday (SS) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Means (SP) out for season - Elbow. D. Coulombe (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. D. Kremer (SP) Mid June - Tricep. F. Bautista (RP) out for season - Elbow.

New York Yankees:  J. Berti (SS) Out indefinitely - Calf. G. Cole (SP) Mid June - Elbow. J. Brubaker (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. C. Schmidt (SP) Mid June - Lower Body. N. Burdi (RP) Mid June - Hip. J. Loaisiga (RP) out for season - Elbow. L. Trivino (RP) Mid July - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) Mid July - Back.


Notable Quotes


“I think that Gunnar's (nine-pitch) leadoff AB honestly kind of gave everyone else the blueprint. He was in the zone. Gunnar was fouling off pitches and then got one in the heart and hit it out." - Colton Cowser after their win against the Phillies in their game on Sunday.


“The initial imaging ... which is a low-grade X-Ray, was negative, but he's in some pain in that lower arm in a number of places. He'll get a lot of tests (Monday) and see what we're dealing with. When he didn't get up right away, I could tell he was in some pain.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s loss against the Red Sox in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Baltimore Orioles
Gunnar Henderson (L) SS
Adley Rutschman (S) C
Ryan Mountcastle (R) 1B
Ryan O'Hearn (L) DH
Anthony Santander (S) RF
Jordan Westburg (R) 2B
Cedric Mullins (L) CF
Colton Cowser (L) LF
Ramón Urías (R) 3B

New York Yankees
Anthony Volpe (R) SS
Juan Soto (L) LF
Aaron Judge (R) CF
Alex Verdugo (L) RF
Giancarlo Stanton (R) DH
Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
Jose Trevino (R) C
DJ LeMahieu (R) 3B

Statistical Leaders


Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Ryan McKenna (.375)
Hits:  Adley Rutschman (80)
Home Runs:  Gunnar Henderson (22)
RBI:  Adley Rutschman (53)
Stolen Bases:  Cedric Mullins (13)
Wins:  Grayson Rodriguez (8)
Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (16)
ERA:  Nick Vespi (0.00)

New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Taylor Trammell (1.000)
Hits:  Juan Soto (82)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (26)
RBI:  Aaron Judge (64)
Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (15)
Wins:  Carlos Rodón (9)
Saves:  Clay Holmes (19)
ERA:  Jonathan Loáisiga (0.00)

Managers:
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (6th season)
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (7th season)