Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/01/2024

Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Thursday, August 1, 2024

Venue:  Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH

Where to Watch:  MASN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -110, Guardians -110; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -110, Guardians -110; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -110, Guardians -110; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Baltimore Orioles:  64-44 (1st place, AL East)

Cleveland Guardians:  65-42 (1st place, AL Central)

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Baltimore Orioles:  4-6 last 10

Cleveland Guardians:  6-4 last 10

The Orioles lost their 3-game series against the San Diego Padres 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 64-44 record overall and have a road record of 31-19. This is the series opener of a 4-game series with the Guardians on Thursday with the series finale of their series against the Toronto Blue Jays still to be played on Wednesday. The Orioles won the series opener of that series on Monday, lost the 2nd game on Monday too, and won the 3rd game on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .771 OPS. Grayson Rodriguez is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Dean Kremer is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 4-7 with a 4.20 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 7 Ks on 7 hits through 6 IP against the San Diego Padres.

The Guardians are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 2-game series against the Detroit Tigers 2-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 65-42 record overall and have a home record of 33-15. This is the 1st game of a 4-game series with the Orioles on Thursday and they have Wednesday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 14th in the MLB with a .710 OPS. Gavin Williams was their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Ben Lively is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 9-6 with a 3.44 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 6 strikeouts on 3 hits through 6 innings played against the Philadelphia Phillies.

The current betting odds have the Orioles listed as a pick 'em in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Guardians have looked great in their games this season with their 65-42 record overall which leads the AL Central with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They also have one of the best home records in the MLB this season, going 33-15 in their home games. Meanwhile, the Orioles have also looked great in their games this season with their 64-44 record overall which has them leading the AL East with one of the best records in the MLB too. They have also looked great in their road games with their 31-19 road record. As good as both teams have looked this season, the Orioles haven't been great lately with their 4-6 record in their last 10 games while the Guardians are starting to get hot again, going 6-4 in their last 10 games. The Orioles are also going to have Kremer on the mound here and he hasn't looked great in his starts this season. He is 4-7 with a 4.20 ERA and has been giving up a lot of runs all year like he usually does. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start, but the team has still lost 2 games in a row with him starting and it will be tough for him to replicate that start here. The Guardians have Lively on the mound here and he has been the more consistent starter this season. He is 9-6 with a 3.44 ERA and has been giving up a lot less runs all season. His team has lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting, but he looked a lot better in his last start as he only gave up 1 earned run against one of the best offenses in the MLB this year, the Phillies. The Guardians have been turning things around lately and they have the better starter on the mound here along with the better bullpen too, they can take advantage of this game at home against the Orioles who are still struggling lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Guardians to win this game.

Orioles Guardians Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, August 1, 2024 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Guardians 4 Orioles 2.

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Baltimore Orioles: 55-48 (+14.30 units) on the runline in their last 103 games. 57-37 (+14.30 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 94 games. 36-26 to the over in their last 62 games. 

Cleveland Guardians: 8-22 (-17.05 units) on the runline in their last 30 games. 10-18 (-6.80 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 28 games. 27-16 to the over with their team total in their last 43 home games.

Baltimore Orioles:  J. Mateo (SS) Out indefinitely - Elbow. D. Coulombe (RP) Late Sep - Elbow. K. Bradish (SP) out for season - Elbow. T. Wells (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Means (SP) out for season - Elbow. F. Bautista (RP) out for season - Elbow.

Cleveland Guardians:  S. Hentges (RP) Late July - Shoulder. T. Stephan (RP) out for season - Elbow. J. Karinchak (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. S. Bieber (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“So consistent. He's so hard to hit because the ball moves so much, upper 90s with a great curveball and changeup. That's pretty much what he's done almost every single time out for us. He's a horse and he's the No. 1.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s win against the Blue Jays in their game on Tuesday.

“He had to pitch through the rain and they fouled off enough pitches to get his pitch count up. His fastball command has been better and his curveball was really good.” - Stephen Vogt on Gavin Williams after his team’s win against the Tigers in their game on Tuesday.

C Cowser (L) LF

A Santander (S) RF

G Henderson (L) SS

R O'Hearn (L) DH

R Mountcastle (R) 1B

C Mullins (L) CF

J Westburg (R) 3B

J Holliday (L) 2B

J McCann (R) C

S Kwan (L) LF

L Thomas (R) RF

J Ramírez (S) DH

J Naylor (L) 1B

A Martínez (S) CF

A Gimenez (L) 2B

T Freeman (R) 3B

D Schneemann (L) SS

A Hedges (R) C

Batting Average:  Cristian Pache (1.000)

Hits:  Gunnar Henderson (119)

Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (31)

RBI:  Anthony Santander (72)

Stolen Bases:  Cedric Mullins (18)

Wins:  Grayson Rodriguez (12)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (23)

ERA:  Vinny Nittoli (0.00)

Batting Average:  Steven Kwan (.332)

Hits:  José Ramírez (114)

Home Runs:  José Ramírez (27)

RBI:  José Ramírez (87)

Stolen Bases:  José Ramírez (20)

Wins:  Ben Lively (9)

Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (33)

ERA:  Shane Bieber (0.00)

Managers:

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (6th season)

Cleveland Guardians: Stephen Vogt (1st season)