Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/28/2024

Game Time: 1:40 pm ET, Sunday, July 28, 2024

Venue:  Citi Field, Queens, NY

Where to Watch:  BSSE

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -110, Mets -110; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -110, Mets -110; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -110, Mets -110; Over/Under:  8 runs

Atlanta Braves:  54-48 (3rd place, NL East)

New York Mets:  55-48 (2nd place, NL East)

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Atlanta Braves:  3-7 last 10

New York Mets:  7-3 last 10

The Braves are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 2-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 2-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-48 record overall and have a road record of 24-27. This is the series finale of a 4-game series with the Mets on Sunday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Braves lost the series opener of this series on Thursday and the 2nd game on Friday. Their offense ranks 16th in the MLB with a .705 OPS. Rookie pitcher Spencer Schwellenbachn is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Reynaldo López is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 7-4 with a 2.12 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 7 hits through 6 IP against the Cincinnati Reds.

The Mets are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 2-game series against the New York Yankees 2-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 55-48 record overall and have a home record of 28-26. This is the 4th game of a 4-game series with the Braves on Sunday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. The Mets won the 1st game of this series on Thursday and the 2nd game on Friday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .744 OPS. Tylor Megill is their starting pitcher on Saturday while David Peterson is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 5-0 with a 3.14 ERA this season. His team won their last 8 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 4 BB with 4 strikeouts on 6 hits through 5 innings played against the Miami Marlins.

The current betting odds have the Mets listed as a pick 'em in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mets have looked good in their games this season with their 55-48 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the NL East and climbing back into the playoff race after being under .500 for most of the season. They are starting to play better in their home games too, going 28-26 in those. Meanwhile, the Braves have looked good in their games this season with their 54-48 record overall which has them in 3rd place in the NL East and the Mets just passed them in the division with a win in the 2nd game of this series. They haven't looked great in their road games with their 24-27 road record, and they haven't looked that good in their games lately either. The Braves are 3-7 in their last 10 games while the Mets are 7-3 and now that the Mets have passed the Braves in the division, they will be looking to pull ahead now. The Braves have been dealing with a lot of injuries in their lineup and their offense has suffered because of it. They are going to have a solid starter here with Lopez who is 7-4 with a 2.12 ERA, but lately he has been giving up more runs in his starts. He gave up 4 earned runs in his last start and the team has lost 2 games in a row with him starting too. They also don't have much of an offense right now to help him out if he gets into trouble again. The Mets are going to have Peterson on the mound here and they have been finding a ton of success with him starting this season. He is 5-0 with a 3.14 ERA and only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start. He hasn't given up many runs in his starts all season, and the team has won 8 games in a row with him starting too. The Mets are headed in the opposite direction right now as the injuries are taking a toll on the Braves, and the Mets will take advantage of that in this series with a chance to hold onto 2nd place in the division now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game.

Braves Mets Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 28, 2024 (1:40 pm ET start time) is Mets 3 Braves 1.

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Atlanta Braves: 37-42 (-24.90 units) on the moneyline in their last 79 games. 24-40 (-18.75 units) on the runline in their last 64 games. 60-32 to the under in their last 92 games. 

New York Mets: 31-14 (+15.30 units) on the moneyline in their last 45 games. 27-19 (+9.40 units) on the runline in their last 46 games. 

Atlanta Braves:  W. Merrifield (2B) Ques Sat - Finger. O. Albies (2B) Out indefinitely - Wrist. M. Fried (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. M. Harris II (LF) Early Oct - Hamstring. R. Kerr (RP) out for season - Elbow. H. Waldrep (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. S. Strider (SP) out for season - Elbow. R. Acuna Jr. (RF) out for season - Lower Body. J. Herget (SP) Prob Sat - Shoulder. T. Matzek (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow.

New York Mets:  H. Bader (CF) Ques Sat - Ankle. D. Nunez (SP) Early Aug - Forearm. C. Scott (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. R. Garrett (RP) Late July - Elbow. D. Smith (RP) out of season - Elbow. B. Raley (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. S. Marte (CF) Mid July - Knee. S. Reid-Foley (RP) Mid July - Shoulder. R. Mauricio (SS) out for season - Knee.

“It’s not fun going through this, I’ll tell you that.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s loss against the Mets in their game on Friday.

“Pretty impressive — nasty. The life on the fastball — it’s an easy 96 (mph) and then there’s 98 in the tank when he needs to. The splitter, the cutter. There’s so much movement on his pitches.” - Carlos Mendoza after his team’s win against the Braves in their game on Friday.

J Kelenic (L) CF

A Riley (R) 3B

M Ozuna (R) DH

M Olson (L) 1B

T d'Arnaud (R) C

E Rosario (L) LF

A Duvall (R) RF

N Alvarez Jr. (R) 2B

O Arcia (R) SS

F Lindor (S) SS

B Nimmo (L) LF

J Martinez (R) DH

P Alonso (R) 1B

J McNeil (L) RF

M Vientos (R) 3B

J Iglesias (R) 2B

F Alvarez (R) C

T Taylor (R) CF

Batting Average:  Marcell Ozuna (.308)

Hits:  Marcell Ozuna (116)

Home Runs:  Marcell Ozuna (29)

RBI:  Marcell Ozuna (81)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuña (16)

Wins:  Chris Sale (13)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (22)

ERA:  AJ Smith-Shawver (0.00)

Batting Average:  Jose Iglesias (.365)

Hits:  Francisco Lindor (107)

Home Runs:  Francisco Lindor (22)

RBI:  Brandon Nimmo (63)

Stolen Bases:  Francisco Lindor (20)

Wins:  Reed Garrett (7)

Saves:  Edwin Díaz (12)

ERA:  Brooks Raley (0.00)

Managers:

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (9th season)

New York Mets: Carlos Mendoza (1st season)