Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/27/2024

Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Saturday, July 27, 2024

Venue:  Citi Field, Queens, NY

Where to Watch:  BSSE

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves +100, Mets -120; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves +100, Mets -120; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves +100, Mets -120; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Atlanta Braves:  54-47 (2nd place, NL East)

New York Mets:  54-48 (3rd place, NL East)

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Atlanta Braves:  3-7 last 10

New York Mets:  7-3 last 10

The Braves are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 2-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 2-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-47 record overall and have a road record of 24-26. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Mets on Saturday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Friday. The Braves lost the series opener of this series on Thursday. Their offense ranks 15th in the MLB with a .704 OPS. Charlie Morton is their starting pitcher on Friday while rookie pitcher Spencer Schwellenbach is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 3-5 with a 4.62 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 3 HR, and 0 BB with 8 Ks on 7 hits through 6 IP against the St Louis Cardinals.

The Mets are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 2-game series against the New York Yankees 2-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-48 record overall and have a home record of 27-26. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Braves on Saturday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Friday. The Mets won the 1st game of this series on Thursday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .743 OPS. Kodai Senga is their starting pitcher on Friday while Tylor Megill is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 2-4 with a 5.08 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 1 homer, and 3 BB with 6 strikeouts on 5 hits through 5.1 innings played against the Houston Astros.

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mets have looked good in their games this season with their 54-48 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the NL East and climbing back into the playoff race after being under .500 for most of the season. They haven't looked great in their home games though, going 27-26 in those. Meanwhile, the Braves have looked good in their games this season with their 54-47 record overall which has them in 2nd place in the NL East and in a Wild Card spot. They haven't looked great in their road games though with their 24-26 road record, and they haven't looked that good in their games lately either. The Braves are 3-7 in their last 10 games while the Mets are 7-3, but the Braves will be looking to turn things around here and they are going to bring their best effort with the Mets gaining ground in the division now. The Braves have the edge with the pitching matchup in this one, going with Schwellenbach who has looked a lot better in his starts lately. He didn't have a great start to his rookie season but he hasn't been giving up many runs over his last few starts now. He did give up 4 earned runs in his last one, but the team has still won 2 of their last 3 games with him starting and he will be looking to bounce back with a better performance here. The Mets have looked really good lately, but they will have Megill on the mound here and he hasn't looked good this season. He is 2-4 with a 5.08 ERA and the team hasn't had a ton of success with him starting. They have lost 2 games in a row with him on the mound and he also gave up 4 earned runs in his last start which has been a common theme for him. This is a great game for the Braves to take advantage of the pitching matchup and try to get themselves back on track against a division opponent. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game.

Braves Mets Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 27, 2024 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Braves 6 Mets 4.

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Atlanta Braves: 36-42 (-25.90 units) on the moneyline in their last 78 games. 23-40 (-19.75 units) on the runline in their last 63 games. 59-35 to the under in their last 94 games. 

New York Mets: 31-13 (+16.50 units) on the moneyline in their last 44 games. 27-18 (+10.40 units) on the runline in their last 45 games. 

Atlanta Braves:  W. Merrifield (2B) Ques Fri - Finger. O. Albies (2B) Out indefinitely - Wrist. M. Fried (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. M. Harris II (LF) Early Oct - Hamstring. R. Kerr (RP) out for season - Elbow. H. Waldrep (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. S. Strider (SP) out for season - Elbow. R. Acuna Jr. (RF) out for season - Lower Body. J. Herget (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Matzek (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow.

New York Mets:  H. Bader (CF) Ques Fri - Ankle. C. Scott (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. R. Garrett (RP) Late July - Elbow. S. Fujinami (SP) Late July - Shoulder. D. Smith (RP) out of season - Elbow. B. Raley (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. S. Marte (CF) Mid July - Knee. S. Reid-Foley (RP) Mid July - Shoulder. K. Senga (SP) Late May - Shoulder. R. Mauricio (SS) out for season - Knee.

“I don’t know what that was, quite honestly — you’ll have to ask them. I didn’t have anything on. That’s unacceptable.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s loss against the Mets in their game on Thursday.

“He’s a big part of this team. It’s good to see him continue to get results.” - Carlos Mendoza after his team’s win against the Braves in their game on Thursday.

J Kelenic (L) CF

A Riley (R) 3B

M Ozuna (R) DH

M Olson (L) 1B

T d'Arnaud (R) C

E Rosario (L) LF

N Alvarez Jr. (R) 2B

R Laureano (R) RF

O Arcia (R) SS

F Lindor (S) SS

J Iglesias (R) 2B

J Martinez (R) DH

P Alonso (R) 1B

M Vientos (R) 3B

J McNeil (L) LF

F Alvarez (R) C

T Taylor (R) CF

D Stewart (L) RF

Batting Average:  Marcell Ozuna (.305)

Hits:  Marcell Ozuna (114)

Home Runs:  Marcell Ozuna (28)

RBI:  Marcell Ozuna (80)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuña (16)

Wins:  Chris Sale (13)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (22)

ERA:  AJ Smith-Shawver (0.00)

Batting Average:  Jose Iglesias (.366)

Hits:  Francisco Lindor (107)

Home Runs:  Francisco Lindor (22)

RBI:  Brandon Nimmo (63)

Stolen Bases:  Francisco Lindor (20)

Wins:  Reed Garrett (7)

Saves:  Edwin Díaz (12)

ERA:  Brooks Raley (0.00)

Managers:

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (9th season)

New York Mets: Carlos Mendoza (1st season)