Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Iowa State Cyclones Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/21/2024

Game Time: 2:00 pm ET, Saturday, September 21, 2024

Venue:  Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, IA 

Where to Watch:  ESPN+

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Arkansas State +22, Iowa State -22; Over/Under:  51.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Arkansas State +21, Iowa State -21; Over/Under:  51.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Arkansas State +21.5, Iowa State -21.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points

Arkansas State Red Wolves:  2-1 (0-0) (4th place, Sun Belt West)

Iowa State Cyclones:  2-0 (0-0) (7th place, Big 12)

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Arkansas State Red Wolves:  lost their last game on the road against the Michigan Wolverines 28-18.

Iowa State Cyclones:  won their last game on the road against the Iowa Hawkeyes 20-19.

Arkansas State is entering this game with a 2-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Michigan 28-18. Jaylen Raynor was the starting QB and he completed 19/33 passes for 140 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Devin Spencer led the team in rushing yards with 28. Reginald Harden Jr. led the receivers with 52 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 2 TDs. Trevian Thomas led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Jayden Jones and Ian Jeffries each led the defense in sacks with 1. Trevian Thomas, Charles Willekes, and Dontay Joyner each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Iowa State is entering this game with a 2-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Iowa 20-19. Rocco Becht was the starting QB and he completed 23/35 passes for 272 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Abu Sama III led the team in rushing yards with 58. Jaylin Noel led the receivers with 133 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Malik Verdon led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while J.R. Singleton led the defense in sacks with 1. Darien Porter came away with 2 interceptions for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Arkansas State listed as a 22 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Arkansas State has looked good in their games this season with their 2-1 record overall. They lost their only road game this season and are coming off that loss in their last one, but they only lost by 10 points on the road against Michigan. Michigan is just a shell of what it was last season, winning the National Championship, but that is still a really tough environment to go into and come away with that closer result. Meanwhile, Iowa State has also looked good in their games this season with their 2-0 record overall. They had a bye week last week so they have had extra time to prepare, but they are still coming off an emotional road win by 1 point against their rival Iowa. They looked good in that game, but their offense hasn't been great in their 2 games this season so they aren't the kind of team that is going to light up this Arkansas State defense. Iowa State hasn't looked great on defense either, giving up 19 points to Iowa, and Arkansas State was able to put up 18 points in Michigan last week so they are going to put up some points here. Iowa State will win this game, but they don't have the offense to pull away by a ton, leaving Arkansas State the ability to keep this game within 3 touchdowns. The best way to place a bet here is on Arkansas State to cover the spread in this game. 

Arkansas State Iowa State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 21, 2024 (2:00 pm ET start time) is Iowa State 28 Arkansas State 13.

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Arkansas State Red Wolves: 2-5 ATS in the 1st half of their last 7 road games. 8-6 to the under in their last 14 games. 4-3 to the 1st quarter under in their last 7 road games. 

Iowa State Cyclones: 8-4 (+6.95 units) on the moneyline in their last 12 games. 4-1 to the under in their last 5 home games. 3-0 to the 1st quarter under in their last 3 home games. 

Arkansas State Red Wolves:  C. Hawkins (RB) Out - Knee.

Iowa State Cyclones:  J. Travis (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Surges (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Bacon (LB) Questionable - Leg. D. Jackson (WR) Out - Leg.

“They controlled the football. It took us 10 possessions to force a three-and-out.” - Butch Jones after his team’s loss against Michigan in their last game. 

"Our kids' poise was probably better than their head coach's." - Matt Campbell after his team’s win against Iowa in their last game.  

WR Rucker, Corey

WR Harden Jr., Reginald

WR Jackson, Courtney 

TE Stevenson Jr., Manny

QB Raynor, Jaylen 

RB Cross, Ja'Quez

WR Higgins, Jayden 

WR Ngoyi, Beni

WR Noel, Jaylin 

TE Brahmer, Benjamin 

TE Klotz, Stevo 

QB Becht, Rocco

RB Sama III, Abu 

Passing: J. Raynor (712)

Rushing: Z. Wallace (124)

Receiving: C. Rucker (265)

Touchdowns: C. Rucker (2)

Passing: R. Becht (539)

Rushing: A. Sama (94)

Receiving: J. Noel (268)

Touchdowns: J. Noel (2)

Coaches:

Arkansas State Red Wolves: Butch Jones (4th season)

Iowa State Cyclones: Matt Campbell (9th season)